IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ayb/jrnerl/77.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Does Climate Risk Amplify Oil Market Volatility?

Author

Listed:
  • Kazeem Isah
  • Adedapo Odebode
  • Oluwafemi Ogunjemilua

    (School of Accounting, Economics and Finance, University of KwaZulu-Natal (UKZN), South Africa)

Abstract

Motivated by the increasing evidence of oil price-related transition risk from climate change, we employ the classic GARCH (1,1) and its extended variant (GARCH-X) to identify the degree of oil market volatility that is due to climate risk. We find that climate risk increases the persistence of volatility in the oil markets.

Suggested Citation

  • Kazeem Isah & Adedapo Odebode & Oluwafemi Ogunjemilua, 2023. "Does Climate Risk Amplify Oil Market Volatility?," Energy RESEARCH LETTERS, Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association, vol. 4(2), pages 1-5.
    • Handle: RePEc:ayb:jrnerl:77
    DOI: 2023/06/13
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://erl.scholasticahq.com/api/v1/articles/73219-does-climate-risk-amplify-oil-market-volatility.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/2023/06/13?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Robert S. Pindyck, 2013. "Climate Change Policy: What Do the Models Tell Us?," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 51(3), pages 860-872, September.
    2. Cristiana Tudor & Andrei Anghel, 2021. "The Financialization of Crude Oil Markets and Its Impact on Market Efficiency: Evidence from the Predictive Ability and Performance of Technical Trading Strategies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-19, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Wang, Jun-Zhuo & Narayan, Paresh Kumar & Gunadi, Iman & Hermawan, Danny, 2025. "Climate change and financial risk: Is there a role for central banks?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    2. Tumala, Mohammed M. & Salisu, Afees & Nmadu, Yaaba B., 2023. "Climate change and fossil fuel prices: A GARCH-MIDAS analysis," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 124(C).
    3. Jiang, Wei & Tang, Wanqing & Li, Jianfeng & Wei, Xiaokun, 2025. "Climate risk and renewable energy market volatility: Machine learning approach," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    4. Afees A. Salisu & Yinka S. Hammed & Ibrahim Ngananga Ouattara, 2023. "Climate Change, Technology Shocks and the US Equity Real Estate Investment Trusts (REITs)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-22, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Burda, Michael C. & Zessner-Spitzenberg, Leopold, 2024. "Greenhouse Gas Mitigation and Price-Driven Growth in a Solow-Swan Economy with an Environmental Limit," IZA Discussion Papers 16771, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    2. van den Bergh, J.C.J.M. & Botzen, W.J.W., 2015. "Monetary valuation of the social cost of CO2 emissions: A critical survey," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 114(C), pages 33-46.
    3. Margaret Insley & Peter A. Forsyth, 2019. "Climate games: Who’s on first? What’s on second?," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 95(2-3), pages 287-322.
    4. Stern, Nicholas, 2018. "Public economics as if time matters: Climate change and the dynamics of policy," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 4-17.
    5. Dubois, Loick & Sahuc, Jean-Guillaume & Vermandel, Gauthier, 2025. "A general equilibrium approach to carbon permit banking," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    6. Alessandro Moro, 2021. "Can capital controls promote green investments in developing countries?," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1348, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    7. Simon Levin & Anastasios Xepapadeas, 2021. "On the Coevolution of Economic and Ecological Systems," Annual Review of Resource Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 13(1), pages 355-377, October.
    8. Balint, T. & Lamperti, F. & Mandel, A. & Napoletano, M. & Roventini, A. & Sapio, A., 2017. "Complexity and the Economics of Climate Change: A Survey and a Look Forward," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 252-265.
    9. Awaworyi Churchill, Sefa & Inekwe, John & Smyth, Russell & Zhang, Xibin, 2019. "R&D intensity and carbon emissions in the G7: 1870–2014," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 30-37.
    10. Johan Eyckmans & Sam Fankhauser & Snorre Kverndokk, 2016. "Development Aid and Climate Finance," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 63(2), pages 429-450, February.
    11. Oliver Bettis & Simon Dietz & Nick Silver, 2015. "The risk of climate ruin," GRI Working Papers 217, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    12. Francisco Estrada & Veronica Lupi & W. J. Wouter Botzen & Richard S. J. Tol, 2025. "Urban and non-urban contributions to the social cost of carbon," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 16(1), pages 1-11, December.
    13. Eric Danan & Thibault Gajdos & Brian Hill & Jean-Marc Tallon, 2016. "Robust Social Decisions," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(9), pages 2407-2425, September.
    14. Melissa Dell & Benjamin F. Jones & Benjamin A. Olken, 2014. "What Do We Learn from the Weather? The New Climate-Economy Literature," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 52(3), pages 740-798, September.
    15. Chang, Charles W., 2014. "DICESC: Optimal Policy in a Stochastic Control Framework," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170831, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    16. Stephan Dietrich & Stafford Nichols, 2025. "More than a feeling: A global economic valuation of subjective wellbeing damages resulting from rising temperatures," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 20(2), pages 1-22, February.
    17. Miguel Poblete-Cazenave, 2021. "Simulating the Long-Term Impacts of the COVID-19 Pandemic on the Sustainability of the Population-Economy-Environment Nexus," Economics of Disasters and Climate Change, Springer, vol. 5(3), pages 415-430, October.
    18. Ido Nevat, 2022. "Climate-informed urban design via probabilistic acceptability criterion and Sharpe ratio selection," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 24(1), pages 617-645, January.
    19. Dietz, Simon & Gollier, Christian & Kessler, Louise, 2018. "The climate beta," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 258-274.
    20. van der Ploeg, Frederick & Rezai, Armon, 2017. "Cumulative emissions, unburnable fossil fuel, and the optimal carbon tax," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 216-222.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
    • F37 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Finance Forecasting and Simulation: Models and Applications
    • G17 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Financial Forecasting and Simulation

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ayb:jrnerl:77. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Asia-Pacific Applied Economics Association (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/apaeaea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.