IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/aoq/ekonom/y2025i3p352-378.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Should I Stay or Should I Go? Transitions to Inactivity in Poland

Author

Listed:
  • Olga Zajkowska
  • Paulina Broniatowska

Abstract

Given Poland’s aging population, maintaining the labor supply is a major long-term policy challenge. This study investigates the determinants of individual decisions to leave the labor force. The flow probabilities were estimated using the rotating panel data from the 2010–2019 Polish Labor Force Survey (PLFS). We find that these decisions depend not only on life-cycle moment, educational level, and work experience, but also on family arrangements and work-life preferences. We also discuss that agricultural employment can be considered a labor force buffer in rural areas.

Suggested Citation

  • Olga Zajkowska & Paulina Broniatowska, 2025. "Should I Stay or Should I Go? Transitions to Inactivity in Poland," Ekonomista, Polskie Towarzystwo Ekonomiczne, issue 3, pages 352-378.
  • Handle: RePEc:aoq:ekonom:y:2025:i:3:p:352-378
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ekonomista.pte.pl/pdf-194838-125566
    File Function: Full text
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Unay Gailhard, ilkay & Kataria, Karin, 2014. "Economic crisis and labour force transition to inactivity: a comparative study in German rural and urban areas," Studies in Agricultural Economics, Research Institute for Agricultural Economics, vol. 116(01), pages 1-8, April.
    2. John Earle, 2012. "Industrial decline and labor reallocation in a transforming economy: Romania in early transition," IZA Journal of Labor & Development, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 1(1), pages 1-18, December.
    3. Arnaud Chéron & Jean-Olivier Hairault & François Langot, 2013. "Life-Cycle Equilibrium Unemployment," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 31(4), pages 843-882.
    4. Haltiwanger, John C. & Vodopivec, Milan, 2002. "Gross worker and job flows in a transition economy: an analysis of Estonia," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 9(5), pages 601-630, November.
    5. Tasci, H. Mehmet & Tansel, Aysit, 2005. "Unemployment and Transitions in the Turkish Labor Market: Evidence from Individual Level Data," IZA Discussion Papers 1663, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    6. Unay Gailhard, Ilkay & Kataria, Karin, 2014. "Economic crisis and labour force transition to inactivity: A comparative study in German rural and urban areas," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 116(1), pages 25-32.
    7. Maciej Bukowski & Piotr Lewandowski, 2005. "Assessing flows out of employment in Poland: evidence from multinomial logit analysis," Labor and Demography 0511007, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 30 Nov 2005.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Pradeep Mitra & Alexander Muravyev & Mark Schaffer, 2014. "Labor reallocation and firm growth: benchmarking transition countries against mature market economies," IZA Journal of Labor & Development, Springer;Forschungsinstitut zur Zukunft der Arbeit GmbH (IZA), vol. 3(1), pages 1-22, December.
    2. Joanna Tyrowicz & Lucas Velde & Jan Svejnar, 2017. "Effects Of Labor Reallocation On Productivity And Inequality—Insights From Studies On Transition," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 712-732, July.
    3. Joanna Tyrowicz & Lucas Velde & Jan Svejnar, 2017. "Effects Of Labor Reallocation On Productivity And Inequality—Insights From Studies On Transition," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 712-732, July.
    4. Tyrowicz, Joanna & van der Velde, Lucas, 2018. "Labor reallocation and demographics," Journal of Comparative Economics, Elsevier, vol. 46(1), pages 381-412.
    5. Joanna Tyrowicz & Lucas van der Velde, 2014. "Can We Really Explain Worker Flows in Transition Economies?," Working Papers 2014-28, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
    6. Stanisław Cichocki & Paweł Kopiec, 2017. "Modelling labour reallocation during the Polish transition: a search-and-matching approach," Bank i Kredyt, Narodowy Bank Polski, vol. 48(6), pages 557-570.
    7. Unay-Gailhard, İlkay, 2016. "Job access after leaving education: A comparative analysis of young women and men in rural Germany," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 19(10), pages 1355-1381.
    8. Cilasun, Seyit Mumin & Acar, Elif Oznur & Gunalp, Burak, 2015. "The Effects of Labor Market Reforms on the Labor Market Dynamics in Turkey," MPRA Paper 64767, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    9. J. David Brown & John S. Earle, 2003. "The reallocation of workers and jobs in Russian industry," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 11(2), pages 221-252, June.
    10. J. David Brown & John S. Earle, 2002. "Job Reallocation and Productivity Growth Under Alternative Economic Systems and Policies: Evidence from the Soviet Transition," Upjohn Working Papers 02-88, W.E. Upjohn Institute for Employment Research.
    11. Giuseppe Tattara & Marco Valentini, 2007. "The cyclical behaviour of job and worker flows," Working Papers 2007_16, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
    12. Claudio Michelacci & Hernán Ruffo, 2015. "Optimal Life Cycle Unemployment Insurance," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 105(2), pages 816-859, February.
    13. Jaanika Meriküll & Pille Mõtsmees, 2017. "Do you get what you ask? The gender gap in desired and realised wages," International Journal of Manpower, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 38(6), pages 893-908, September.
    14. Albertini, Julien & Terriau, Anthony, 2019. "Informality over the life-cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 182-202.
    15. Graham, James & Ozbilgin, Murat, 2021. "Age, industry, and unemployment risk during a pandemic lockdown," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    16. repec:iza:izawol:journl:y:2015:i:180:p:1-10 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. de la Croix, David & Pierrard, Olivier & Sneessens, Henri R., 2013. "Aging and pensions in general equilibrium: Labor market imperfections matter," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(1), pages 104-124.
    18. Niels-Hugo Blunch & Victor Sulla, 2014. "World gone wrong: the financial crisis, labor market transitions and earnings in Serbia," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 47(3), pages 187-226, August.
    19. Julien Albertini & Arthur Poirier & Anthony Terriau, 2020. "The impact of EITC on education, labor market trajectories, and inequalities," Working Papers halshs-03082382, HAL.
    20. Kyvik Nordås, Hildegunn & Lodefalk, Magnus & Tang, Aili, 2019. "Trade and jobs: a description of Swedish labor market dynamics," Working Papers 2019:2, Örebro University, School of Business.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • J21 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Force and Employment, Size, and Structure
    • J62 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Job, Occupational and Intergenerational Mobility; Promotion

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:aoq:ekonom:y:2025:i:3:p:352-378. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Tomasz Kwarcinski (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/pteeeea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.