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Simulating Bst Introduction In California For Dairy Policy Analysis

Author

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  • Zepeda, Lydia
  • Butler, Leslie J.
  • Carter, Harold O.

Abstract

An econometric model is estimated to simulate the impact of introducing bovine somatotropin (BST) on the California dairy industry. Forecasts of 1991-94 milk production and prices without BST are compared to those with BST under the 1990 Farm Bill. The effects are evaluated under a range in assumptions, given the uncertainty about BST's commercial benefits and costs. Results indicate the aggregate returns of BST introduction for California are positive, but small, assuming no adverse consumer reaction.

Suggested Citation

  • Zepeda, Lydia & Butler, Leslie J. & Carter, Harold O., 1991. "Simulating Bst Introduction In California For Dairy Policy Analysis," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 16(02), December.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:wjagec:32595
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    File URL: http://purl.umn.edu/32595
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Weersink, Alfons & Howard, Wayne H., 1990. "Regional Adjustment Response In The U.S. Dairy Sector To Changes In Milk Support Price," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 15(01), July.
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    Cited by:

    1. Constantine, John H & Alston, Julian M & Smith, Vincent H, 1994. "Economic Impacts of the California One-Variety Cotton Law," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 102(5), pages 951-974, October.

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