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Monitorowanie ryzyka na rynku nieruchomości mieszkalnych w Polsce

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  • Grothe, Magdalena

Abstract

This paper applies a framework for monitoring vulnerabilities in the residential real estate sector to the case of Poland. The framework considers indicators across three dimensions of real estate-related vulnerabilities, i.e. valuation, household indebtedness and the bank credit cycle, and builds a composite model-free measure shown to have a significant forecasting performance for real estate crises. The paper shows how the monitoring can be implemented for the Polish market, discusses the developments from a historical perspective, and highlights remaining data gaps.

Suggested Citation

  • Grothe, Magdalena, 2020. "Monitorowanie ryzyka na rynku nieruchomości mieszkalnych w Polsce," Gospodarka Narodowa-The Polish Journal of Economics, Szkoła Główna Handlowa w Warszawie / SGH Warsaw School of Economics, vol. 2020(2), June.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:polgne:359206
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.359206
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