IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/ags/aareaj/342992.html

The Great Chinese Famine (1959–1961) and farm households’ adoption of technology: evidence from China

Author

Listed:
  • Hu, Xinyan
  • Chen, Xiangpo
  • Yao, Siqi Ya
  • Zhang, Gaiqing

Abstract

The diffusion of new technology is an important driver of agricultural development, especially in the developing world. In this research, we follow the persistence of major historical events, employing a difference-in-differences method to carefully examine the long-term effect of China’s 1959–1961 famine on farm households’ current decisions to adopt technology. Further, we combine a mediating regression procedure with a bootstrap method to explore the mechanism of impact in this relationship. Overall, this study provides strong empirical evidence that the Great Famine attenuated technology adoption; moreover, a 1% increase in exposure to famine in childhood and adolescence resulted in a 0.137% decrease in the probability of technology adoption when controlling for village dummies. An analysis of mediating effects reveals that risk preferences account for the channel of famine persistence.

Suggested Citation

  • Hu, Xinyan & Chen, Xiangpo & Yao, Siqi Ya & Zhang, Gaiqing, 2021. "The Great Chinese Famine (1959–1961) and farm households’ adoption of technology: evidence from China," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(01), January.
  • Handle: RePEc:ags:aareaj:342992
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.342992
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://ageconsearch.umn.edu/record/342992/files/The%20Great%20Chinese%20Famine.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.22004/ag.econ.342992?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Adnan, Nadia & Nordin, Shahrina Md & Ali, Murad, 2018. "A solution for the sunset industry: Adoption of Green Fertiliser Technology amongst Malaysian paddy farmers," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 575-584.
    2. Kibrom A. Abay & Guush Berhane & Alemayehu Seyoum Taffesse & Kibrewossen Abay & Bethelhem Koru, 2018. "Estimating Input Complementarities with Unobserved Heterogeneity: Evidence from Ethiopia," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 69(2), pages 495-517, June.
    3. Yonas Alem & Mintewab Bezabih & Menale Kassie & Precious Zikhali, 2010. "Does fertilizer use respond to rainfall variability? Panel data evidence from Ethiopia," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 41(2), pages 165-175, March.
    4. Lisa A. Cameron, 1999. "The Importance of Learning in the Adoption of High-Yielding Variety Seeds," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 81(1), pages 83-94.
    5. Attila Ambrus & Erica Field & Robert Gonzalez, 2020. "Loss in the Time of Cholera: Long-Run Impact of a Disease Epidemic on the Urban Landscape," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 110(2), pages 475-525, February.
    6. Bhattamishra, Ruchira & Barrett, Christopher B., 2010. "Community-Based Risk Management Arrangements: A Review," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 38(7), pages 923-932, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Xinyan Hu & Xiangpo Chen & Siqi Yao & Gaiqing Zhang, 2022. "The Great Chinese Famine (1959–1961) and farm households’ adoption of technology: evidence from China," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 66(1), pages 93-117, January.
    2. Assefa, Thomas W. & Berhane, Guush & Abate, Gashaw T. & Abay, Kibrom A., 2025. "Fertilizer demand and profitability amid global fuel-food-fertilizer crisis: Evidence from Ethiopia," Food Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    3. Assefa, Thomas & Berhane, Guush & Abate, Gashaw T. & Abay, Kibrom A., 2024. "Revisiting the demand and profitability of chemical fertilizers amid global fuel-food-fertilizer crisis: Evidence from Ethiopia," IFPRI discussion papers 2263, International Food Policy Research Institute (IFPRI).
    4. Melesse, Mequanint B. & Cecchi, Francesco, 2017. "Does Market Experience Attenuate Risk Aversion? Evidence from Landed Farm Households in Ethiopia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 447-466.
    5. Chengyu Zhang & Dexin Zhai & Yu Cai & Dan Qiao & Tao Xu, 2025. "How Cadre Capacity and Eco-Policy Cognition Affect Rural Residents’ Eco-Conservation Willingness? Evidence From Hainan, China," SAGE Open, , vol. 15(4), pages 21582440251, November.
    6. Huang, Yi, 2021. "Salience of hazard disclosure and house prices: Evidence from Christchurch, New Zealand," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    7. Guizar-Mateos, Isai & Miranda, Mario J. & Gonzalez-Vega, Claudio, 2013. "The Role of Credit and Deposits in the Dynamics of Technology Decisions and Poverty Traps," 2013 Annual Meeting, August 4-6, 2013, Washington, D.C. 149860, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    8. Maertens, Annemie & Michelson, Hope, 2016. "Learning about Integrated Soil Fertility Practices: Evidence from a RCT in Malawi," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235475, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    9. Cristal Taboada & Armando Mamani & Dirk Raes & Erik Mathijs & Magalí Garcia & Sam Geerts & Jere Gilles, 2011. "Farmers’ willingness to adopt irrigation for quinoa in communities of the Central Altiplano of Bolivia," Revista Latinoamericana de Desarrollo Economico, Carrera de Economía de la Universidad Católica Boliviana (UCB), issue 16, pages 7-28.
    10. Anne T. Kuriakose & Rasmus Heltberg & William Wiseman & Cecilia Costella & Rachel Cipryk & Sabine Cornelius, 2013. "Climate-Responsive Social Protection," Development Policy Review, Overseas Development Institute, vol. 31, pages 19-34, November.
    11. Jingyue Feng & Shan He & Chunli Wan & Jia Liu & Fengjie Xie, 2025. "The effect of swine insurance participation on swine production efficiency: Evidence from China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 20(3), pages 1-29, March.
    12. Koen Rossel-Cambier, 2010. "Do Multiple Financial Services Enhance the Poverty Outreach of Microfinance Institutions?," Working Papers CEB 10-058, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    13. Díaz, Juan-José & Saldarriaga, Victor, 2023. "A drop of love? Rainfall shocks and spousal abuse: Evidence from rural Peru," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
    14. Fujimoto, Takefumi & Suzuki, Aya, 2021. "Do Fertilizer and Seed Subsidies Strengthen Farmers' Market Participation? the Impact of Tanzania NAIVS on Farmers' Purchase of Agricultural Inputs and Their Maize-Selling Activities," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315044, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    15. Jerch, Rhiannon L. & Phaneuf, Daniel J., 2024. "Cities and water quality," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    16. repec:ags:ccsesa:349334 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Christopher B. Barrett & Christine M. Moser & Oloro V. McHugh & Joeli Barison, 2004. "Better Technology, Better Plots, or Better Farmers? Identifying Changes in Productivity and Risk among Malagasy Rice Farmers," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 86(4), pages 869-888.
    18. Khor, Ling & Zeller, Manfred, 2015. "Perception of Substandard Fertilizer and Its Impact on Use Intensity," 2015 Conference, August 9-14, 2015, Milan, Italy 211843, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    19. Molla Alemayehu & Joost Beuving & Ruerd Ruben, 2019. "Disentangling Poor Smallholder Farmers’ Risk Preferences and Time Horizons: Evidence from a Field Experiment in Ethiopia," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 31(3), pages 558-580, July.
    20. Liu, Qi & Liu, Shilei & Liu, Zhaoyang & Deng, Xiangzheng & Xu, Jintao & Kontoleon, Andreas, 2025. "A regression discontinuity assessment of the differential impacts of China’s natural forest protection program across forestland property right regimes," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    21. Cui, Xiaoqian & Yu, Chunmiao & Zhou, Jing, 2026. "Does agricultural insurance promote the new-quality productivity? Evidence from double machine learning," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ags:aareaj:342992. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: AgEcon Search (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/aaresea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.