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Productivity Growth in Global Agriculture Shifting to Developing Countries

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  • Fuglie, Keith O.
  • Wang, Sun Ling

Abstract

Improving agricultural productivity has been the world’s primary defense against a recurring Malthusian crisis— where needs of a growing population outstrip the ability of humankind to supply food. Over the last half-century, world population doubled while food supply tripled, even as land under cultivation grew by only 12% (FAO, 2012). It is by raising productivity, or getting more output from existing resources, that has been driving growth in global agriculture, and what has proven Malthus wrong. In fact, at the global level, the long-run trend since at least 1900 has been one of increasing food abundance—in inflationadjusted dollars, food prices fell by an average of 1% per year over the course of the 20th Century

Suggested Citation

  • Fuglie, Keith O. & Wang, Sun Ling, 2012. "Productivity Growth in Global Agriculture Shifting to Developing Countries," Choices: The Magazine of Food, Farm, and Resource Issues, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 27(4), pages 1-7.
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:aaeach:143193
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.143193
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Emiko Fukase & Will Martin, 2016. "Who Will Feed China in the 21st Century? Income Growth and Food Demand and Supply in China," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 67(1), pages 3-23, February.
    2. Souza, Geraldo da Silva e & Gomes, Eliane Gonçalves & Alves, Eliseu Roberto de Andrade & Gasques, José Garcia, 2020. "Technological progress in the Brazilian agriculture," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 72(C).
    3. Baráth, Lajos & Fertő, Imre, 2020. "Accounting for TFP Growth in Global Agriculture - a Common-Factor- Approach-Based TFP Estimation," AGRIS on-line Papers in Economics and Informatics, Czech University of Life Sciences Prague, Faculty of Economics and Management, vol. 12(4), December.
    4. Wyatt Thompson & Joe Dewbre & Patrick Westfhoff & Kateryna Schroeder & Simone Pieralli & Ignacio Perez Dominguez, 2017. "Introducing medium-and long-term productivity responses in Aglink-Cosimo," JRC Research Reports JRC105738, Joint Research Centre.
    5. Md. Rabiul Islam & Jakob B. Madsen, 2018. "Knowledge diffusion and agricultural development," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 49(2), pages 265-276, March.
    6. Birhanu, Mulugeta Yitayih & Girma, Anteneh & Puskur, Ranjitha, 2017. "Determinants of success and intensity of livestock feed technologies use in Ethiopia: Evidence from a positive deviance perspective," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 15-25.
    7. Ogundari, Kolawole, 2014. "The Paradigm of Agricultural Efficiency and its Implication on Food Security in Africa: What Does Meta-analysis Reveal?," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 690-702.
    8. Yu Jin & Wallace E. Huffman, 2016. "Measuring public agricultural research and extension and estimating their impacts on agricultural productivity: new insights from U.S. evidence," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 47(1), pages 15-31, January.
    9. Jean‐Paul Chavas & Céline Nauges, 2020. "Uncertainty, Learning, and Technology Adoption in Agriculture," Applied Economic Perspectives and Policy, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 42(1), pages 42-53, March.
    10. José Augusto Correa Martins & Alberto Yoshiriki Hisano Higuti & Aiesca Oliveira Pellegrin & Raquel Soares Juliano & Adriana Mello de Araújo & Luiz Alberto Pellegrin & Veraldo Liesenberg & Ana Paula Ma, 2024. "Assessment of UAV-Based Deep Learning for Corn Crop Analysis in Midwest Brazil," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-15, November.
    11. Buks, Joanna & Obiedzińska, Agnieszka & Prandecki, Konrad, 2016. "Environmental Externalities And Food Security," Journal of Agribusiness and Rural Development, University of Life Sciences, Poznan, Poland, vol. 40(2).
    12. Joachim Braun & Regina Birner, 2017. "Designing Global Governance for Agricultural Development and Food and Nutrition Security," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 21(2), pages 265-284, May.
    13. Nauges, Céline & Bougherara, Douadia & Koussoubé, Estelle, 2021. "Fertilizer use and risk: New evidence from Sub-Saharan Africa," TSE Working Papers 21-1266, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    14. Kayenat Kabir & Uris Lantz C. Baldos & Thomas W. Hertel, 2023. "The new Malthusian challenge in the Sahel: prospects for improving food security in Niger," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 15(2), pages 455-476, April.
    15. Nicholas Rada, 2016. "India's post-green-revolution agricultural performance: what is driving growth?," Agricultural Economics, International Association of Agricultural Economists, vol. 47(3), pages 341-350, May.
    16. Zhipeng Huang & Yan Zhang & Yi Huang & Gang Xu & Shengping Shang, 2022. "Sales Scale, Non-Pastoral Employment and Herders’ Technology Adoption: Evidence from Pastoral China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-13, July.

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