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Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago

Economic Perspectives

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Content

2002, Volume 26, Issue Q I

45-54 Origins of the use of Treasury debt in open market operations: lessons for the present
by David A. Marshall

2001, Volume 25, Issue Q IV

2-16 Electronic bill presentment and payment--is it just a click away?
by Alexandria Andreef & Lisa C. Binmoeller & Eve M. Boboch & Oscar Cerda & Sujit Chakravorti & Thomas Ciesielski & Edward J. Green
17-35 Liquidity effects in the bond market
by Boyan Jovanovic & Peter L. Rousseau
38-52 Countering contagion: Does China's experience offer a blueprint?
by Alan G. Ahearne & John G. Fernald & Prakash Loungani
53-74 Growth in worker quality
by Daniel Aaronson & Daniel G. Sullivan

2000, Volume 25, Issue Q II

2-20 Income inequality and redistribution in five countries
by Mariacristina De Nardi & Liqian Ren & Chao Wei
21-39 The expectations trap hypothesis
by Lawrence J. Christiano & Christopher J. Gust
40-53 Subordinated debt as bank capital: a proposal for regulatory reform
by Douglas D. Evanoff & Larry D. Wall
41-54 Unemployment and wage growth: recent cross-state evidence
by Daniel Aaronson & Daniel G. Sullivan

2000, Volume 24, Issue Q I

2-23 The price of bank mergers in the 1990s
by Elijah Brewer & William E. Jackson & Julapa Jagtiani & Thong Nguyen
24-37 Dollarization in Argentina
by Francois R. Velde & Marcelo Veracierto
38-50 Black/white differences in wealth
by Joseph Altonji & Ulrich Doraszelski & Lewis M. Segal

1999, Volume 23, Issue Q IV

2-20 Is the EMU a viable common currency area? a VAR analysis of regional business cycles
by Michael A. Kouparitsas
21-39 Regional employment growth and the business cycle
by Ellen R. Rissman
42-55 Child care costs and the return-to-work decisions of new mothers
by Lisa Barrow
56-75 Will a common European monetary policy have asymmetric effects?
by Luigi Guiso & Anil K. Kashyap & Fabio Panetta & Daniele Terlizzese

1999, Volume 23, Issue Q III

3-17 State budgets and the business cycle: implications for the federal balanced budgets amendment debate
by Leslie McGranahan
18-35 Birth, growth, and life or death of newly chartered banks
by Robert DeYoung
36-58 New facts in finance
by John H. Cochrane
59-78 Portfolio advice of a multifactor world
by John H. Cochrane

1999, Volume 23, Issue Q II

2-13 Measurement errors and quality-adjustment methodology: lessons from the Japanese CPI
by Shigenori Shiratsuka
14-30 The impact of technology on displacement and reemployment
by Daniel Aaronson & Kenneth Housinger
31-46 Slow work force growth: a challenge for the Midwest?
by Richard E. Kaglic & William A. Testa
46-62 Small business finance in two Chicago minority neighborhoods
by Philip Bond & Paul Huck & Sherrie L. W. Rhine & Robert M. Townsend

1999, Volume 23, Issue Q I

2-15 Competitive analysis in banking: appraisal of the methodologies
by Nicola Cetorelli
18-34 Agglomeration in the U.S. auto supplier industry
by Thomas H. Klier
35-56 The new view of growth and business cycles
by Jonas D. M. Fisher

1998, Volume 22, Issue Q IV

2-11 Credit derivatives: just-in-time provisioning for loan losses
by James T. Moser
12-34 Assessing the condition of Japanese banks: how informative are accounting earnings?
by Hesna Genay
35-55 Foreign growth, the dollar, and regional economies, 1970-97
by Jack L. Hervey & William A. Strauss
56-83 The business cycle: it's still a puzzle
by Lawrence J. Christiano & Terry J. Fitzgerald

1998, Volume 22, Issue Q III

2-12 The increasing importance of retailers' inventories
by Paula R. Worthington
13-38 Understanding the Asian crisis: systemic risk as coordination failure
by David A. Marshall
29-43 How does an increase in government purchases affect economy?
by Martin S. Eichenbaum & Jonas D. M. Fisher
44-55 Real-time Taylor rules and the federal funds futures market
by Charles L. Evans

1998, Volume 22, Issue Q II

2-20 Deposit insurance reform in the FDIC Improvement Act: the experience to date
by George J. Benston & George G. Kaufman
21-32 Assessing the impact of regulation on bank cost efficiency
by Douglas D. Evanoff
33-52 Access to FHLBank advances and the performance of thrift institutions
by Lisa K. Ashley & Elijah Brewer & Nancy E. Vincent
53-72 Trends in homeownership: race, demographics, and income
by Lewis M. Segal & Daniel G. Sullivan

1998, Volume 22, Issue Q I

2-16 Lessons from the history of money
by Francois R. Velde
17-43 The decline of job security in the 1990s: displacement, anxiety, and their effect on wage growth
by Daniel Aaronson & Daniel G. Sullivan
46-64 Are international business cycles different under fixed and flexible exchange rate regimes?
by Michael A. Kouparitsas
65-79 Effects of personal and school characteristics on estimates of the return to education
by Joseph Altonji

1997, Volume 22, Issue Sep

2-18 The role of banks in monetary policy: a survey with implications for the European Monetary Union
by Anil K. Kashyap & Jeremy C. Stein

1997, Volume 21, Issue Sep

19-37 Understanding aggregate job flows
by Jeffrey R. Campbell & Jonas D. M. Fisher

1997, Volume 21, Issue Nov

3-37 Where is the market going? Uncertain facts and novel theories
by John H. Cochrane

1997, Volume 21, Issue May

2-14 Measuring labor market turbulence
by Ellen R. Rissman
15-28 Labor market fluctuations in Japan and the U.S.--how similar are they?
by Hesna Genay & Prakash Loungani

1997, Volume 21, Issue Mar

2-13 Value at risk for a mixture of normal distributions: the use of quasi- Bayesian estimation techniques
by Subu Venkataraman
16-32 Banking reform in a transition economy: the case of Poland
by Thomas H. Mondschean & Timothy P. Opiela

1997, Volume 21, Issue Jul

2-17 Reversal of fortune: understanding the Midwest recovery
by Thomas H. Klier & Richard H. Mattoon & William A. Testa
18-28 Accounting for the federal government's cost of funds
by George J. Hall & Thomas J. Sargent

1997, Volume 21, Issue Jan

2-13 Industrialization in hog production: implications for Midwest agriculture
by Gary L. Benjamin
14-35 A dynamic macroeconomic analysis of NAFTA
by Michael A. Kouparitsas

1996, Volume 20, Issue Sep

2-15 A supply-side explanation of European unemployment
by Lars Ljungqvist & Thomas J. Sargent
16-32 Performance and access to government guarantees: the case of small business investment companies
by Elijah Brewer & Hesna Genay & William E. Jackson & Paula R. Worthington

1996, Volume 20, Issue Nov

2-18 How are small firms financed? Evidence from small business investment companies
by Elijah Brewer & Hesna Genay & William E. Jackson & Paula R. Worthington
19-46 CRA and fair lending regulations: resulting trends in mortgage lending
by Douglas D. Evanoff & Lewis M. Segal

1996, Volume 20, Issue May

2-13 Identification and the liquidity effect: a case study
by Lawrence J. Christiano
14-27 Soft landings on a bumpy runway
by Francesca Eugeni & Charles L. Evans

1996, Volume 20, Issue Mar

2-17 Monetary policy shocks and long-term interest rates
by Wendy Edelberg & David A. Marshall
20-28 Management efficiency in minority- and women-owned banks
by Iftekhar Hasan & William C. Hunter

1996, Volume 20, Issue Jul

3-27 Formal and informal financing in a Chicago neighborhood
by Philip Bond & Robert M. Townsend

1996, Volume 20, Issue Jan

2-19 State-local business taxation and the benefits principle
by William H. Oakland & William A. Testa
22-31 Some comments on the role of econometrics in economic theory
by Martin S. Eichenbaum

1995, Volume 19, Issue Sep

2-9 Chicago's economic transformation: past and future
by Geoffrey J. D. Hewings & Philip R. Israilevich & Graham Schindler
10-20 Internal organization and economic performance: the case of large U.S. commercial banks
by William C. Hunter

1995, Volume 19, Issue Nov

2-16 The geography of lean manufacturing: recent evidence from the U.S. auto industry
by Thomas H. Klier
20-32 Can alternative forms of governance help metropolitan areas?
by Richard H. Mattoon

1995, Volume 19, Issue May

2-12 Temporal instability of the unemployment-inflation relationship
by Robert G. King & James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson
13-35 An analysis of the effect of Chicago school reform on student performance
by Thomas A. Downes & Jacquelyn L. Horowitz

1995, Volume 19, Issue Mar

2-19 The temporary labor force
by Lewis M. Segal & Daniel G. Sullivan
22-32 Does business development raise taxes?
by William H. Oakland & William A. Testa

1995, Volume 19, Issue Jul

2-14 Big emerging markets and U.S. trade
by Linda M. Aguilar & Mike A. Singer
15-28 Sectoral wage growth and inflation
by Ellen R. Rissman

1995, Volume 19, Issue Jan

2-19 Midwest approaches to school reform
by Richard H. Mattoon & William A. Testa
20-28 A current look at foreign banking in the U.S. and Seventh District
by Linda M. Aguilar

1994, Volume 18, Issue Sep

2-10 Demographic changes, consumption patterns, and the Midwest economy
by Paul D. Ballew & Robert H. Schnorbus
11-24 Interest rate shocks and the dollar
by Charles L. Evans

1994, Volume 18, Issue Nov

2-14 Does inflation reduce productivity?
by Kenneth N. Kuttner & Argia M. Sbordone
15-28 A review of regulatory mechanisms to control the volatility of prices
by Virginia G. France & Laura E. Kodres & James T. Moser

1994, Volume 18, Issue May

2-21 Is banking a declining industry? A historical perspective
by George G. Kaufman & Larry R. Mote
22-34 Funding small businesses through the SBIC program
by Elijah Brewer & Hesna Genay

1994, Volume 18, Issue Mar

2-14 Is there a role for gold in monetary policy?
by Robert D. Laurent
15-27 Long-run labor market dynamics and short-run inflation
by Jeffrey R. Campbell & Ellen R. Rissman

1994, Volume 18, Issue Jul

2-7 Remember - central bankers are paid to worry!
by Silas Keehn
8-18 The impact of lean manufacturing on sourcing relationships
by Thomas H. Klier
19-24 Does program trading cause stock prices to overreact?
by James T. Moser

1994, Volume 18, Issue Jan

2-9 Realignment in the auto supplier industry: the rippling effects of Big Three restructuring
by Paul D. Ballew & Robert H. Schnorbus
10-27 The geographic distribution of financial institutions in Chicago
by George G. Kaufman & Larry R. Mote

1993, Volume 17, Issue Sep

2-11 Tracking Midwest manufacturing and productivity growth
by Philip R. Israilevich & Kenneth N. Kuttner & Robert H. Schnorbus
12-24 Why the life insurance industry did not face an \\"S&L-type\\" crisis
by Elijah Brewer & Thomas H. Mondschean & Philip E. Strahan

1993, Volume 17, Issue Nov

2-20 Long-term earnings losses of high-seniority displaced workers
by Louis S. Jacobson & Robert J. LaLonde & Daniel G. Sullivan
22-24 Cost effective control of urban smog. A report of a conference held at the Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago, June 7-8, 1993
by Donald A. Hanson & Richard F. Kosobud & William A. Testa

1993, Volume 17, Issue May

2-9 How lean manufacturing changes the way we understand the manufacturing sector
by Thomas H. Klier
11-23 Economic development policy in the 1990s-are state economic development agencies ready?
by Richard H. Mattoon
24-31 Recent trends in corporate leverage
by Paula R. Worthington

1993, Volume 17, Issue Mar

2-13 Consumer debt and home equity borrowing
by Francesca Eugeni
15-26 Assessing global auto trends
by Paul D. Ballew & Robert H. Schnorbus
27-36 Trends and prospects for rural manufacturing
by William A. Testa

1993, Volume 17, Issue Jul

2-21 Capital shocks and bank growth -- 1973 to 1991
by Herbert L. Baer & John N. McElravey
22-27 Shaping the Great Lakes economy: a conference summary
by Richard H. Mattoon & William A. Testa

1993, Volume 17, Issue Jan

2-11 Indicators, performance, and policy in the 1930s and today
by Robert D. Laurent
12-20 NAFTA: a review of the issues
by Linda M. Aguilar
21-31 Reducing credit risk in over-the-counter derivatives
by John B. Behof

1992, Volume 16, Issue Sep

2-31 Making sense of economic indicators: a consumer's guide to indicators of real economic activity
by Francesca Eugeni & Charles L. Evans & Steven Strongin

1992, Volume 16, Issue Nov

2-14 Liquidity effects, the monetary transmission mechanism, and monetary policy
by Lawrence J. Christiano & Martin S. Eichenbaum
15-27 Can the states solve the health care crisis?
by Richard H. Mattoon

1992, Volume 16, Issue May

2-18 The 1990 Clean Air Act: a tougher regulatory challenge facing Midwest industry
by Donald A. Hanson
19-28 Producer services: trends and prospects for the Seventh District
by William A. Testa

1992, Volume 16, Issue Mar

2-18 Determining margin for futures contracts: the role of private interests and the relevance of excess volatility
by James T. Moser
19-27 State and local governments' reaction to recession
by Richard H. Mattoon & William A. Testa

1992, Volume 16, Issue Jul

2-12 Ex ante risk and ex post collapse of S&Ls in the 1980s
by Elijah Brewer & Thomas H. Mondschean
13-24 Derivative markets and competitiveness
by Janet Napoli

1992, Volume 16, Issue Jan

2-15 Monetary policy with uncertain estimates of potential output
by Kenneth N. Kuttner
16-31 Market value accounting for commercial banks
by Thomas H. Mondschean

1991, Volume 15, Issue Sep

2-21 Energy dependence and efficiency
by Jack L. Hervey
22-32 Balancing act: tax structure in the seventh district
by Richard H. Mattoon

1991, Volume 15, Issue Nov

2-12 Lenders and environmental policies
by Eleanor H. Erdevig
14-25 Using econometric models to predict recessions
by Mark W. Watson

1991, Volume 15, Issue May

2-10 Rounding errors and index numbers
by Thomas A. Gittings
11-16 Preview of the Great Lakes economy looking north and south
by William A. Testa
17-28 The going gets tough: state and local governments confront the nineties
by Linda M. Aguilar & Richard H. Mattoon & William A. Testa

1991, Volume 15, Issue Mar

2-13 Hog butchers no longer: 20 years of employment change in metropolitan Chicago
by Philip R. Israilevich & Ramamohan Mahidhara
14-31 Technology shocks and the business cycle
by Martin S. Eichenbaum

1991, Volume 15, Issue Jul

2-10 Investment, GNP, and real exchange rates
by Paula R. Worthington
11-32 Productive efficiency in banking
by Douglas D. Evanoff & Philip R. Israilevich

1991, Volume 15, Issue Jan

2-8 Stock market dispersion and business cycles
by Prakash Loungani & Mark Rush & William Tave
9-19 The cyclicality of cash flow and investment in U.S. manufacturing
by Bruce C. Petersen & William A. Strauss
20-30 Japan's corporate groups
by Hesna Genay

1990, Volume 14, Issue Sep

2-13 Circuit breakers
by James T. Moser
14-24 Highway capacity and economic growth
by David Alan Aschauer

1990, Volume 14, Issue Nov

2-15 Payments system issues in financial markets that never sleep
by Herbert L. Baer & Douglas D. Evanoff
16-23 The need for social security reserves and their effect on the budget
by Eleanor H. Erdevig

1990, Volume 14, Issue May

3-18 Globalization in the financial services industry
by John N. McElravey & Christine A. Pavel
19-21 Is Europe ready for 1992?
by Kathryn Moran
22-29 Foreign competition in U.S. banking markets
by Herbert L. Baer
30-38 The supervisory implications of financial globalization: three views
by Chester B. Feldberg & Edward J. Kane & Grant Reuber

1990, Volume 14, Issue Mar

2-12 Changing U.S. trade patterns
by Jack L. Hervey
13-23 Chicago Fed and University of Illinois form regional research lab
by David R. Allardice
15-23 Chicago's economy: twenty years of structural change
by Philip R. Israilevich & Ramamohan Mahidhara

1990, Volume 14, Issue Jul

2-10 International credit market connections
by Steven Strongin
11-20 Banking 1989: not quite a twice-told tale
by George Gregorash & Eileen Maloney

1990, Volume 14, Issue Jan

2-11 Inflation and the growth rate of money
by Kenneth N. Kuttner
12-23 Still toe-to-toe: banks and nonbanks at the end of the '80s
by Linda M. Aguilar

1989, Volume 13, Issue Sep

2-12 The geography of value added
by Philip R. Israilevich & William A. Testa
13-16 25th conference on bank structure and competition
by David Alan Aschauer
17-25 Public investment and productivity growth in the Group of Seven
by David Alan Aschauer

1989, Volume 13, Issue Nov

2-17 Full-blown crisis, half-measure cure
by Elijah Brewer
19-28 Investment cyclicality in manufacturing industries
by Bruce C. Petersen & William A. Strauss

1989, Volume 13, Issue May

2-9 Capacity utilization and inflation
by Thomas A. Gittings
10-30 Deposit insurance: lessons from the record
by Charles W. Calomiris

1989, Volume 13, Issue Mar

2-15 Unemployment insurance and regional economic development
by Natalie A. Davila & William A. Testa
16-26 Competitive pricing behavior in the U.S. steel industry
by Christopher J. Erceg & Philip R. Israilevich & Robert H. Schnorbus

1989, Volume 13, Issue Jul

2-12 Banking 1988: the eye of the storm
by George Gregorash & Eileen Maloney
13-21 Reconsidering the regional manufacturing indexes
by Philip R. Israilevich & Peter R. Schneider & Robert H. Schnorbus
22-34 Testing the "spread"
by Robert D. Laurent

1989, Volume 13, Issue Jan

2-16 Hostile takeovers and the market for corporate control
by Diana Fortier
17-24 Countertrade--counterproductive?
by Jack L. Hervey

1988, Volume 12, Issue Sep

3-12 Capital market imperfections and investment fluctuations
by Bruce C. Petersen
13-16 Financial services in the year 2000
by Christine A. Pavel
17-24 New directions for economic development-the banking industry
by Eleanor H. Erdevig

1988, Volume 12, Issue Nov

3-13 The grass may not be greener: commercial banks and investment banking
by Betsy Dale
16-20 A note on the increase in noninsured commercial banks
by Nancy N. Andrews & George G. Kaufman & Larry R. Mote
21-28 Real boats rock: monetary policy and real business cycles
by Steven Strongin

1988, Volume 12, Issue May

3-10 A policymakers' guide to economic forecasts
by Paula Binkley & Steven Strongin
11-17 Government spending and the "falling rate of profit."
by David Alan Aschauer
18-29 Daylight overdrafts: rationale and risks
by Douglas D. Evanoff

1988, Volume 12, Issue Mar

3-15 Does regulation drive innovation?
by Herbert L. Baer & Christine A. Pavel
23-31 Loan sales have little effect on bank risk
by Christine A. Pavel

1988, Volume 12, Issue Jul

3-13 Banking 1987: a year of reckoning
by Theresa Ford & George Gregorash
14-26 Bank risk from nonbank activities
by Elijah Brewer & Diana Fortier & Christine A. Pavel

1988, Volume 12, Issue Jan

3-14 An interest rate-based indicator of monetary policy
by Robert D. Laurent
15-29 Looking back: the use of interest rates in monetary policy
by Larry R. Mote

1987, Volume 11, Issue Sep

3-7 The Midwest manufacturing index: the Chicago Fed's new regional economic indicator
by Philip R. Israilevich & Robert H. Schnorbus
8-14 Technology and manufacturing in the seventh district
by Alenka S. Giese & William A. Testa
15-26 Service sector growth in the seventh district
by Eleanor H. Erdevig
27-31 Nothing is forever: boom and bust in Midwest farming
by Peter Heffernan

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