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Real-time Taylor rules and the federal funds futures market Author info | Abstract | Publisher info | Download info | Related research | Statistics Charles L. Evans
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This article compares movements in the federal funds rate from 1987 through 1997 with predictions from the federal funds market and a Taylor rule using unemployment and core CPI data. Although a Taylor rule using revised data does about as well as the futures market predictions, the best real-time predictions would have produced forecast errors about 50 percent larger than the futures data.
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Article provided by Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago in its journal Economic Perspectives .
Volume (Year): (1998)
Issue (Month): Q III ()
Pages: 44-55
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Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhep:y:1998:i:qiii:p:44-55:n:v.22no.3Contact details of provider: Postal: P.O. Box 834, 230 South LaSalle Street, Chicago, Illinois 60690-0834 Phone: 312/322-5111 Fax: 312/322-5515 Email: Web page: http://www.chicagofed.org/ More information through EDIRC
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Keywords: Federal funds market (United States) ; Federal funds market (United States) ; Monetary policy ; Other versions of this item:
References listed on IDEAS Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile , click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.: Richard Clarida & Jordi Gali & Mark Gertler, 1997.
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