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Are Short-Lived Jobs Stepping Stones to Long-Lasting Jobs?

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  • B. COCKX

    ()

  • M. PICCHIO

Abstract

This paper assesses whether short-lived jobs (lasting one quarter or less and involuntarily ending in unemployment) are stepping stones to long-lasting jobs(enduring one year or more) for Belgian long-term unemployed school-leavers. We proceed in two steps. First, we estimate labour market trajectories in a multi-spell duration model that incorporates lagged duration and lagged occurrence dependence. Second, in a simulation we find that (fe)male school-leavers accepting a short-lived job are, within two years, 13.4 (9.5) percentage points more likely to find a long-lasting job than in the counterfactual in which they reject short-lived jobs.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Ghent University, Faculty of Economics and Business Administration in its series Working Papers of Faculty of Economics and Business Administration, Ghent University, Belgium with number 09/560.

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Length: 38 pages
Date of creation: Feb 2009
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:rug:rugwps:09/560

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Keywords: event history model; transition data; state dependence; short-lived jobs; stepping stone effect; long-lasting jobs.;

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