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Fluctuaciones del producto y choques monetarios: evidencia colombiana
[Output Fluctuations and Monetary Shocks: Evidence from Colombia]

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  • Reinhart, Carmen
  • Reinhart, Vincent

Abstract

Usando los datos anuales para Colombia durante los 30 años pasados, probamos las teorías de oposición que explican fluctuaciones macroeconómicas: la síntesis neoclásica, que postula eso en presencia de rigidez temporal del precio una extensión monetaria inesperada produce los aumentos de la salida que erosionan en un cierto plazo con aumentos en el nivel de precios; y una explicación alternativa, que se centra en " real" los choques tecnológicos o de la preferencia como las fuentes de salida cambian. Los coeficientes de este sistema se utilizan para examinar neutralidad duradera de cantidades nominales con respecto a los movimientos permanentes en la acción de dinero y la sensibilidad a corto plazo de la salida a inflación.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by University Library of Munich, Germany in its series MPRA Paper with number 13654.

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Date of creation: Dec 1991
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Handle: RePEc:pra:mprapa:13654

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Keywords: inflacion tipo de cambio producto politica monetaria;

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References

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  1. Peter C.B. Phillips, 1985. "Time Series Regression with a Unit Root," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 740R, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University, revised Feb 1986.
  2. Leiderman, Leonardo, 1984. "On the monetary-macro dynamics of Colombia and Mexico," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 14(1), pages 183-201.
  3. Stock, James H. & Watson, Mark W., 1989. "Interpreting the evidence on money-income causality," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 40(1), pages 161-181, January.
  4. Ben S. Bernanke, 1986. "Alternative Explanations of the Money-Income Correlation," NBER Working Papers 1842, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  5. Mussa, Michael, 1981. "Sticky Prices and Disequilibrium Adjustment in a Rational Model of the Inflationary Process," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 71(5), pages 1020-27, December.
  6. Kydland, Finn E & Prescott, Edward C, 1982. "Time to Build and Aggregate Fluctuations," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(6), pages 1345-70, November.
  7. Ohanian, Lee E., 1988. "The spurious effects of unit roots on vector autoregressions : A Monte Carlo study," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 251-266, November.
  8. John Y. Campbell & Pierre Perron, 1991. "Pitfalls and Opportunities: What Macroeconomists Should Know About Unit Roots," NBER Chapters, in: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 1991, Volume 6, pages 141-220 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  9. Plosser, C.I., 1989. "Understanding Real Business Cycles," RCER Working Papers 198, University of Rochester - Center for Economic Research (RCER).
  10. Mankiw, N Gregory, 1989. "Real Business Cycles: A New Keynesian Perspective," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 3(3), pages 79-90, Summer.
  11. Peter Montiel & Jonathan David Ostry, 1991. "Macroeconomic Implications of Real Exchange Rate Targeting in Developing Countries," IMF Working Papers 91/29, International Monetary Fund.
  12. Granger, C. W. J. & Newbold, P., 1974. "Spurious regressions in econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 2(2), pages 111-120, July.
  13. King, Robert G & Plosser, Charles I, 1984. "Money, Credit, and Prices in a Real Business Cycle," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 74(3), pages 363-80, June.
  14. Blanchard, Olivier Jean, 1989. "A Traditional Interpretation of Macroeconomic Fluctuations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 79(5), pages 1146-64, December.
  15. Edwards, Sebastian, 1984. "Coffee, money and inflation in Colombia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 12(11-12), pages 1107-1117.
  16. Robert J. Barro, 1979. "Money and Output in Mexico, Colombia, and Brazil," NBER Chapters, in: Short-Term Macroeconomic Policy in Latin America, pages 177-200 National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Cited by:
  1. Juan Carlos Echeverry G., 1996. "The Rise And Perpetuation Of A Moderate Inflation, Colombia 1970-1991," BORRADORES DE ECONOMIA 003621, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA.
  2. Cristina Fernández & Andrés González, . "Integración y Vulneralidad Externa en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 156, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  3. Carlos Gustavo Cano, . "Regla fiscal y estabilidad macroeconómica en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 607, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  4. Juan Carlos Echeverry, 1993. "Indicadores de política y canales de transmisión monetaria. Colombia: 1975-1991," ENSAYOS SOBRE POLÍTICA ECONÓMICA, BANCO DE LA REPÚBLICA - ESPE.
  5. José Mauricio Salazar Sáenz, . "Evaluación de pronóstico de una red neuronal sobre el PIB en Colombia," Borradores de Economia 575, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.

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