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Macroeconomic Implications of Real Exchange Rate Targeting in Developing Countries

Author

Listed:
  • Peter J. Montiel

    (International Monetary Fund)

  • Jonathan D. Ostry

    (International Monetary Fund)

Abstract

The macroeconomic effects of a variety of exogenous and policy-induced real disturbances are examined under the assumption that the authorities target the level of the real exchange rate. We first discuss the implications--particularly for inflation and the current account--of targeting the rate at an "overdepreciated" level, and then examine the dynamic response of both output and inflation to a number of shocks. Further applications of the model to fiscal explanations of inflation, high-inflation plateaus, and money-based stabilization programs are also considered.

Suggested Citation

  • Peter J. Montiel & Jonathan D. Ostry, 1991. "Macroeconomic Implications of Real Exchange Rate Targeting in Developing Countries," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 38(4), pages 872-900, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:pal:imfstp:v:38:y:1991:i:4:p:872-900
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    Cited by:

    1. Carmen M. Reinhart. & Vicent R. Reinhart, 1991. "Fluctuaciones del producto y choques monetarios: evidencia colombiana," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 10(20), pages 53-85, December.
    2. Guillermo Calvo & Carmen Reinhart & Carlos Végh, 1994. "La tasa de cambio real como meta de política: teoría y evidencia," Revista ESPE - Ensayos Sobre Política Económica, Banco de la República, vol. 13(25), pages 7-50, June.
    3. Bouoiyour, Jamal & Marimoutou, Velayoudoum & Rey, Serge, 2003. "Trends non linéaires et co-trending dans le taux de change réel effectif du dinar tunisien [Nonlinear trend and co-trending in the Tunisian real effective exchange rate]," MPRA Paper 30249, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    4. Roberto Junguito B. & Hernando Vargas Herrera, 1996. "Central Bank Independence And Foreign Exchange Policies In Latin America," Borradores de Economia 2110, Banco de la Republica.
    5. Calvo, Guillermo A. & Vegh, Carlos A., 1999. "Inflation stabilization and bop crises in developing countries," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 24, pages 1531-1614, Elsevier.
    6. Ndung'u, N.S., 1999. "Monetary and Exchange Rate Policy in Kenya," Papers 94, African Economic Research Consortium.
    7. Kirill Sosunov & Oleg Zamulin, 2006. "The Inflationary Consequences of Real Exchange Rate Targeting via Accumulation of Reserves," Working Papers w0082, New Economic School (NES).
    8. BEN ALI Mohamed Sami, 2006. "Capital Account Liberalization And Exchange Rate Regime Choice, What Scope For Flexibility In Tunisia?," William Davidson Institute Working Papers Series wp815, William Davidson Institute at the University of Michigan.
    9. Calvo, Guillermo A. & Reinhart, Carmen M. & Vegh, Carlos A., 1995. "Targeting the real exchange rate: theory and evidence," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 97-133, June.
    10. ABBAS, Shah & Nguyen, V.C. & YANFU, Zhu & Nguyen, Huu Tinh, 2020. "The Impact of China Exchange Rate Policy on its Trading Partners Evidence Based on the GVAR Model," OSF Preprints cwvqb, Center for Open Science.
    11. Carmen M. Reinhart & Vincent R. Reinhart, 1991. "Output Fluctuations and Monetary Shocks: Evidence from Colombia," IMF Staff Papers, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 38(4), pages 705-735, December.
    12. repec:zbw:bofitp:2006_011 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. International Monetary Fund, 2002. "Tunisia’s Experience with Real Exchange Rate Targeting and the Transition to a Flexible Exchange Rate Regime," IMF Working Papers 2002/190, International Monetary Fund.
    14. International Monetary Fund, 2005. "Algeria: Selected Issues," IMF Staff Country Reports 2005/052, International Monetary Fund.
    15. Erol, Turan & Van Wijnbergen, Sweder, 1997. "Real exchange rate targeting and inflation in Turkey: An empirical analysis with policy credibility," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 25(10), pages 1717-1730, October.
    16. Artus P., 2001. "What Exchange - Rate System For Emerging Countries?," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(1-2), pages 27-60, January -.
    17. Bouzid Amaira, 2021. "Real Effective Exchange Rate Misalignment of the Tunisian dinar," Romanian Economic Journal, Department of International Business and Economics from the Academy of Economic Studies Bucharest, vol. 24(80), pages 2-23, June.
    18. Cunha, Alexandre Barros da, 2001. "What is Behind the Brazilian Stabilization?," Revista Brasileira de Economia - RBE, EPGE Brazilian School of Economics and Finance - FGV EPGE (Brazil), vol. 55(1), January.
    19. Miss Taline Koranchelian, 2005. "The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate in a Commodity Exporting Country: Algeria’s Experience," IMF Working Papers 2005/135, International Monetary Fund.
    20. Steven B. Kamin, 1998. "A multi-country comparison of the linkages between inflation and exchange rate competitiveness," International Finance Discussion Papers 603, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    21. Kirill Sosunov & Oleg Zamulin, 2006. "The Inflationary Consequences of Real Exchange Rate Targeting via Accumulation of Reserves," Working Papers w0082, Center for Economic and Financial Research (CEFIR).
    22. Jácome Hidalgo, Luis, 1994. "De la inflación crónica a la inflación moderada en el Ecuador," Revista CEPAL, Naciones Unidas Comisión Económica para América Latina y el Caribe (CEPAL), April.
    23. Steven B. Kamin, 1997. "A multi-country comparison of the linkages between inflation and exchange rate competitiveness," BIS Working Papers 45, Bank for International Settlements.
    24. UFOEZE, Lawrence Olisaemeka, 2018. "Effect Of Foreign Exchange Rate Fluctuations On Nigerian Economy," Annals of Spiru Haret University, Economic Series, Universitatea Spiru Haret, vol. 9(1), pages 105-122.
    25. Fatma Marrakchi Charfi, 2008. "Equilibrium real exchange rate and misalignments : Lessons from a VAR-ECM model applied to Tunisia," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 55(4), pages 439-464, December.

    More about this item

    JEL classification:

    • F30 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - General
    • F41 - International Economics - - Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance - - - Open Economy Macroeconomics

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