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Optimising Microfoundations for Inflation Persistence

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Richard Mash

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Abstract

Much recent monetary policy literature has searched for structural models suitable for policy analysis that are both based on optimising microfoundations and consistent with the data, especially observed persistence in inflation and output. Few models do well on both criteria. We derive an optimising model of the Phillips curve based on a generalised time dependent pricing rule, calibrate it using microeconomic evidence on price changing behaviour and simulate it with a standard discretionary policy maker. The model predicts inflation and output persistence comparable to that observed without reliance on rule of thumb behaviour or serially correlated shock processes.

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Paper provided by University of Oxford, Department of Economics in its series Economics Series Working Papers with number 183.

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Date of creation: 2004
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Handle: RePEc:oxf:wpaper:183

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Keywords: Monetary Policy Phillips Curve Inflation Persistence Microfoundations

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
E58 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Central Banks and Their Policies
E22 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomics: Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Capital; Investment; Capacity

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Full references

Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Richard Mash, 2005. "Simple Pricing Rules, the Phillips Curve and the Microfoundations of Inflation Persistence," Computing in Economics and Finance 2005 427, Society for Computational Economics. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  2. Adolfson, Malin & Laséen, Stefan & Lindé, Jesper & Villani, Mattias, 2005. "Bayesian Estimation of an Open Economy DSGE Model with Incomplete Pass-Through," Working Paper Series 179, Sveriges Riksbank (Central Bank of Sweden). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  3. Tatiana Damjanovic & Charles Nolan, 2006. " Relative Price Distortions and Inflation Persistence," CDMA Working Paper Series 0611, Centre for Dynamic Macroeconomic Analysis. [Downloadable!]
  4. Luc Aucremanne & Emmanuel Dhyne, 2005. "Time-dependent versus State-dependent Pricing: A Panel Data Approach to the Determinants of Belgian Consumer Price Changes," Research series 200504-1, National Bank of Belgium. [Downloadable!]
  5. Richard Mash, 2003. "A Note on Simple MSV Solution Methods for Rational Expectations Models of Monetary Policy," Economics Series Working Papers 173, University of Oxford, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
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