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Testing for a time-varying price-cost markup in the Euro area inflation process

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Author Info

  • Christopher Bowdler

    () (Economics Group, Nuffield College, Oxford University)

  • Eilev S. Jansen

    () (Bank of Norway and Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology)

Abstract

Empirical models of inflation often incorporate equilibrium correction effects based upon levels of prices and input costs. Such models assume that the steady-state price-cost markup is constant, but recent research suggests that this may not be true for the Euro area economy, which has undergone major structural reforms over the last 25 years. We allow for permanent shifts in the markup factor through estimating an inflation equation that includes a time-varying intercept. The model suggests that a reduction in the markup contributed to disinflation in the Euro area during the period 1981-2000.

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File URL: http://www.svt.ntnu.no/iso/WP/2004/5markupinflationwpano_11may04.pdf
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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Department of Economics, Norwegian University of Science and Technology in its series Working Paper Series with number 4004.

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Length: 18 pages
Date of creation: 01 Feb 2004
Date of revision: 11 May 2004
Handle: RePEc:nst:samfok:4004

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Keywords: inflation; price-cost markup; cointegration; time-varying intercept; dynamic modelling.;

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References

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Cited by:
  1. Eilev S. Jansen, 2004. "Modelling inflation in the Euro Area," Working Paper 2004/10, Norges Bank.
  2. Nir Klein, 2011. "South Africa: The Cyclical Behavior of the Markups and its Implications for Monetary Policy," IMF Working Papers 11/204, International Monetary Fund.

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