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Is Job Stability Declining in Germany? Evidences from Count Data Models

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Author Info
Winkelmann, Rainer () (Department of Economics, University of Canterbury)
Zimmermann, Klaus F. () (IZA Bonn)

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Abstract

The macro evidence of increased adjustment pressure since the early seventies suggests that job mobility should have increased. Hence, retrospective and spell data from the German Socio-Economic Panel are combined in order to test the hypothesis that job stability for German workers declined between 1974 and 1994. Using count data regression models in which we control for labour market experience, various demographic factors, and occupation, we find that job stability did not decrease, but if anything increase, between 1974 and 1994. Our finding suggests that labour market inflexibility is an important factor in explaining the European unemployment problem.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA) in its series IZA Discussion Papers with number 01.

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Length: 17 pages
Date of creation: Apr 1998
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Publication status: published in: Applied Economics, 30 (1998), 1413-1420.
Handle: RePEc:iza:izadps:dp1

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Related research
Keywords: job mobility labour market flexibility count data models

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
J6 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies

References listed on IDEAS
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  1. Booth, Alison L & Francesconi, Marco & Garcia-Serrano, Carlos, 1997. "Job Tenure: Does History Matter?," CEPR Discussion Papers 1531, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Winkelmann, Rainer, 1995. "Duration Dependence and Dispersion in Count-Data Models," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 13(4), pages 467-74, October.
  3. Winkelmann, Rainer & Zimmermann, Klaus F, 1995. " Recent Developments in Count Data Modelling: Theory and Application," Journal of Economic Surveys, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 9(1), pages 1-24, March.
  4. Katharine G. Abraham & Susan N. Houseman, 1993. "Earnings Inequality in Germany," NBER Working Papers 4541, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  5. Zimmermann, Klaus F., 1998. "German Job Mobility and Wages," IZA Discussion Papers 04, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  6. Topel, Robert H & Ward, Michael P, 1992. "Job Mobility and the Careers of Young Men," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, MIT Press, vol. 107(2), pages 439-79, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  7. Jovanovic, Boyan, 1979. "Job Matching and the Theory of Turnover," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 87(5), pages 972-90, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Angelika Tölke, 2004. "Die Bedeutung von Herkunftsfamilie, Berufsbiografie und Partnerschaften für den Übergang zur Ehe und Vaterschaft," MPIDR Working Papers WP-2004-007, Max Planck Institute for Demographic Research, Rostock, Germany. [Downloadable!]
  2. Launov, Andrey, 2004. "An Alternative Approach to Testing Dual Labour Market Theory," IZA Discussion Papers 1289, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
  3. Caparros, A. & Navarro, M.L., 2005. "Factors Affecting Quits and Layoffs in Spanish Labour Market," Applied Econometrics and International Development, Euro-American Association of Economic Development, vol. 5(4). [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  4. Ernesto Villanueva, 2004. "Compensating Wage Differentials and Voluntary Job Changes: Evidence from West Germany," Economics Working Papers 738, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra. [Downloadable!]
  5. Euwals, Rob & Winkelmann, Rainer, 2001. "Why do Firms Train? Empirical Evidence on the First Labour Market Outcomes of Graduate Apprentices," CEPR Discussion Papers 2880, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  6. Bergemann, Annette & Mertens, Antje, 2004. "Job Stability Trends, Layoffs, and Transitions to Unemployment: An Empirical Analysis for West Germany," IZA Discussion Papers 1368, Institute for the Study of Labor (IZA). [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  7. A. Mertens, . "Job Stability Trends and Labor Market (Re-) Entry in West Germany 1984-1997," Sonderforschungsbereich 373 1999-60, Humboldt Universitaet Berlin.
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