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Do Institutional Investors Destabilize Stock Prices? Evidence from an Emerging Market

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  • Martin T. Bohl
  • Janusz Brzeszczynski

Abstract

In this paper, we provide empirical evidence on the impact of institutional investors on stock market returns dynamics in Poland. The Polish pension system reform in 1999 and the associated increase in institutional ownership due to the investment activities of pension funds are used as an unique institutional characteristic. Performing a variant of the event study methodology in an asymmetric GARCH framework we find robust empirical evidence that the increase of institutional ownership has changed the autocorrelation and volatility structure of aggregate stock returns. However, the findings do not support the hypothesis that institutional investors have destabilized stock prices. The results are interpretable in favor of a stabilizing effect on index stock returns induced by institutional trading.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin T. Bohl & Janusz Brzeszczynski, 2005. "Do Institutional Investors Destabilize Stock Prices? Evidence from an Emerging Market," CERT Discussion Papers 0501, Centre for Economic Reform and Transformation, Heriot Watt University.
    • Handle: RePEc:hwe:certdp:0501
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    Cited by:

    1. Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2015. "Foreign ownership and stock return volatility – Evidence from Vietnam," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 101-109.
    2. Lang, Gunnar & Shen, Yu & Xu, Xian, 2014. "Chinese pension fund investment efficiency: Evidence from CNCSSF stock holdings," ZEW Discussion Papers 14-007, ZEW - Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research.
    3. Gehde-Trapp, Monika & Klingler, Linda, 2022. "The effect of sentiment on institutional investors: A gender analysis," CFR Working Papers 22-08, University of Cologne, Centre for Financial Research (CFR).
    4. Zhang Zongxin & Zhang Xiao, 2011. "Trading duration, mutual funds behavior and stock market shock," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 1(3), pages 220-240, July.
    5. Shu-Ling Lin & Jun Lu, 2019. "Institutional Investors and Corporate Performance: Insights from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(21), pages 1-26, October.
    6. Tian, Shu & Wu, Eliza & Wu, Qiongbing, 2018. "Who exacerbates the extreme swings in the Chinese stock market?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 50-59.
    7. Economou, Fotini & Kostakis, Alexandros & Philippas, Nikolaos, 2011. "Cross-country effects in herding behaviour: Evidence from four south European markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 443-460, July.
    8. Danny Yeung, 2012. "The Impact of Institutional Ownership: A Study of the Australian Equity Market," PhD Thesis, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney, number 2-2012.
    9. Gu, Xin & Ying, Shan & Wang, Liangliang & Yu, Zhen & Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2021. "A new estimation of institutional informed trading and firm transparency: Evidence from China," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    10. Shu Ling Lin & Jun Lu & Jung-Bin Su & Wei-Peng Chen, 2018. "Sustainable Returns: The Effect of Regional Industrial Development Policy on Institutional Investors’ Behavior in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-28, August.
    11. Chakraborty, Sandip & Kakani, Ram Kumar, 2016. "Institutional investment, equity volume and volatility spillover: Causalities and asymmetries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 1-20.
    12. Vo, Xuan Vinh, 2016. "Does institutional ownership increase stock return volatility? Evidence from Vietnam," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 54-61.
    13. Georgios Kouretas & Manolis Syllignakis, 2012. "Switching Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets and Financial Liberalization: Evidence from the new EU Member Countries," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, vol. 4(2), pages 65-93, June.
    14. Janusz Brzeszczyński & Martin T. Bohl & Dobromił Serwa, 2012. "Large Capital Inflows and Stock Returnsin a Thin Market," CFI Discussion Papers 1201, Centre for Finance and Investment, Heriot Watt University.
    15. Vaalmikki Argoon & Spiros Bougheas & Chris Milner, 2013. "Lead-Lag Relationships and Institutional Ownership: Evidence from an Embryonic Equity Market," Discussion Papers 2013/08, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
    16. Xue, Wenjun & He, Zhongzhi & Hu, Yu, 2021. "The stabilizing effects of pension funds vs. mutual funds on country-specific market risk," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    17. Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Gajdka, Jerzy & Kutan, Ali M., 2015. "Investor response to public news, sentiment and institutional trading in emerging markets: A review," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 40(C), pages 338-352.
    18. Rajesh Mohnot, 2020. "Examining Granger Causality in the Behavioral Reactions of Institutional Investors— Evidence from India," Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies (RPBFMP), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(04), pages 1-21, January.
    19. Chen, Zhian & Du, Jinmin & Li, Donghui & Ouyang, Rui, 2013. "Does foreign institutional ownership increase return volatility? Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 660-669.
    20. Arjoon, Vaalmikki & Bougheas, Spiros & Milner, Chris, 2016. "Lead-lag relationships in an embryonic stock market: Exploring the role of institutional ownership and liquidity," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 38(C), pages 262-276.
    21. Kling, Gerhard & Gao, Lei, 2008. "Chinese institutional investors' sentiment," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 374-387, October.
    22. Sheng, Jiliang & Xu, Si & An, Yunbi & Yang, Jun, 2022. "Dynamic asset pricing in delegated investment: An investigation from the perspective of heterogeneous beliefs of institutional and retail investors," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    23. Monica Singhania & Neha Saini, 2018. "Determinants of FPI in Developed and Developing Countries," Global Business Review, International Management Institute, vol. 19(1), pages 187-213, February.
    24. Brzeszczyński, Janusz & Bohl, Martin T. & Serwa, Dobromił, 2019. "Pension funds, large capital inflows and stock returns in a thin market," Journal of Pension Economics and Finance, Cambridge University Press, vol. 18(3), pages 347-387, July.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    institutional traders; Polish stock market; pension fund investors; stock market volatility; asymmetric GARCH models;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G23 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors

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