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Do Institutional Investors Destabilize Stock Prices? Evidence from an Emerging Market

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  • Martin T. Bohl
  • Janusz Brzeszczynski

Abstract

In this paper, we provide empirical evidence on the impact of institutional investors on stock market returns dynamics in Poland. The Polish pension system reform in 1999 and the associated increase in institutional ownership due to the investment activities of pension funds are used as an unique institutional characteristic. Performing a variant of the event study methodology in an asymmetric GARCH framework we find robust empirical evidence that the increase of institutional ownership has changed the autocorrelation and volatility structure of aggregate stock returns. However, the findings do not support the hypothesis that institutional investors have destabilized stock prices. The results are interpretable in favor of a stabilizing effect on index stock returns induced by institutional trading.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by Centre for Economic Reform and Transformation, Heriot Watt University in its series CERT Discussion Papers with number 0501.

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Date of creation: 2005
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Handle: RePEc:hwe:certdp:0501

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Keywords: institutional traders; Polish stock market; pension fund investors; stock market volatility; asymmetric GARCH models;

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References

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  1. John Y. Campbell & Sanford J. Grossman & Jiang Wang, 1992. "Trading Volume and Serial Correlation in Stock Returns," NBER Working Papers 4193, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  2. Randolph B. Cohen & Paul A. Gompers & Tuomo Vuolteenaho, 2002. "Who Underreacts to Cash-Flow News? Evidence from Trading between Individuals and Institutions," NBER Working Papers 8793, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
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Citations

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Cited by:
  1. Kling, Gerhard & Gao, Lei, 2008. "Chinese institutional investors' sentiment," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 18(4), pages 374-387, October.
  2. Chen, Zhian & Du, Jinmin & Li, Donghui & Ouyang, Rui, 2013. "Does foreign institutional ownership increase return volatility? Evidence from China," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(2), pages 660-669.
  3. Zhang Zongxin & Zhang Xiao, 2011. "Trading duration, mutual funds behavior and stock market shock: Based on ACD model to mine mutual funds investment behavior," China Finance Review International, Emerald Group Publishing, vol. 1(3), pages 220-240, June.
  4. Economou, Fotini & Kostakis, Alexandros & Philippas, Nikolaos, 2011. "Cross-country effects in herding behaviour: Evidence from four south European markets," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 21(3), pages 443-460, July.
  5. Vaalmikki Argoon & Spiros Bougheas & Chris Milner, 2013. "Lead-Lag Relationships and Institutional Ownership: Evidence from an Embryonic Equity Market," Discussion Papers 2013/08, University of Nottingham, Centre for Finance, Credit and Macroeconomics (CFCM).
  6. Janusz Brzeszczynski & Martin T. Bohl & Dobromił Serwa, 2012. "Large capital inflows and stock returns in a thin market," National Bank of Poland Working Papers 120, National Bank of Poland, Economic Institute.
  7. Lang, Gunnar & Shen, Yu & Xu, Xian, 2014. "Chinese pension fund investment efficiency: Evidence from CNCSSF stock holdings," ZEW Discussion Papers 14-007, ZEW - Zentrum für Europäische Wirtschaftsforschung / Center for European Economic Research.
  8. Georgios Kouretas & Manolis Syllignakis, 2012. "Switching Volatility in Emerging Stock Markets and Financial Liberalization: Evidence from the new EU Member Countries," Central European Journal of Economic Modelling and Econometrics, CEJEME, vol. 4(2), pages 65-93, June.

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