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Correlated Trading and Returns

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Author Info
Daniel Dorn
Gur Huberman
Paul Sengmueller

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Abstract

Retail clients at a major German discount broker trade in tandem – they tend to be on the same side of the market in a given stock during a given day, week, month, and quarter. Neither aggregate liquidity effects nor short sale constraints fully explain this behavior. The systematic execution of limit orders, coordinated through price movements or the correlated trading of other investors who pick retail limit orders, do not fully explain the observed comovement either. Rather, tandem trading appears to be mostly due to investors placing similar speculative bets. Correlated speculative trades perturb markets enough to make returns predictable over a short horizon. Correlated limit orders also predict subsequent returns, but for a different reason: limit order traders are compensated for accommodating other traders’ temporary liquidity demands. KEYWORDS: Retail investor trading, speculative trading, limit orders.

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Paper provided by Netherlands Central Bank, Research Department in its series DNB Working Papers with number 072.

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Date of creation: Dec 2005
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Handle: RePEc:dnb:dnbwpp:072

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Find related papers by JEL classification:
G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing

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Cited by:
(explanations, Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.)

  1. Dorn, Daniel & Huberman, Gur, 2007. "Preferred Risk Habitat of Individual Investors," CEPR Discussion Papers 6532, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  2. Foucault, Thierry & Sraer, David & Thesmar, David, 2008. "Individual Investors and Volatility," CEPR Discussion Papers 6915, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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