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The Volatility Costs of Procyclical Lending Standards: An Assessment Using a DSGE Model

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  • Bertrand Gruss
  • Silvia Sgherri

Abstract

The ongoing financial turmoil has triggered a lively debate on ways of containing systemic risk and lessening the likelihood of future boom-and-bust episodes in credit markets. Particularly, it has been argued that banking regulation might attenuate procyclicality in lending standards by affecting the behavior of banks capital buffers. This paper uses a two-country DSGE model with financial frictions to illustrate how procyclicality in borrowing limits reinforces the ”overreaction” of asset prices to shocks described by Aiyagari and Gertler (1999), and to quantify the stabilization gains from policies aimed at smoothing cyclical swings in credit conditions. Results suggest that, in financially constrained economies, the ensuing volatility reduction in equity prices, investment, and external imbalances would be sizable. In the presence of cross-border spillovers, gains would be even higher.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by European University Institute in its series Economics Working Papers with number ECO2009/07.

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Date of creation: 2009
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Handle: RePEc:eui:euiwps:eco2009/07

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Keywords: Credit Cycles; Collateral Constraints; DSGE Models;

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Cited by:
  1. Quint, Dominic & Rabanal, Pau, 2014. "Monetary and macroprudential policy in an estimated DSGE model of the Euro Area," Discussion Papers 2014/5, Free University Berlin, School of Business & Economics.
  2. K. Batu Tunay, 2010. "Banking Crises and Early Warning Systems: A Model Suggestion for Turkish Banking Sector," Journal of BRSA Banking and Financial Markets, Banking Regulation and Supervision Agency, vol. 4(1), pages 9-46.
  3. Hans-Joachim Dübel & Simon Walley, 2010. "Regulation of Foreign Currency Mortgage Loans : The Case of Transition Countries in Central and Eastern Europe," World Bank Other Operational Studies 12943, The World Bank.

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