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The Housing Wealth Effect: Quasi-Experimental Evidence

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  • Vestman, Roine
  • Bojeryd, Jesper
  • Tyrefors, Björn
  • Kessel, Dany

Abstract

Empirical studies have estimated a big range of consumption response sizes to changes in house prices. Using a quasi-experiment, we estimate a shock of -19.4 percent to house prices in the area surrounding an airport in Stockholm after its operations were unexpectedly continued as a result of political bargaining behind closed doors. This source of price divergence is ideal for identifying housing wealth effects since it is local and unrelated to variations in macroeconomic conditions. Using a household data set with information on the location of primary residence relative to the airport, we find a short-run elasticity with respect to new car purchases of 0.39, corresponding to a one-year marginal propensity for car expenditures of 0.12 cents per dollar lost in housing wealth. Households with high loan-to-value ratios and little bank deposits respond the most. A quantitative model is consistent with the empirical findings and pinpoints important determinants of the response size, which may explain the variation in previous estimates.

Suggested Citation

  • Vestman, Roine & Bojeryd, Jesper & Tyrefors, Björn & Kessel, Dany, 2023. "The Housing Wealth Effect: Quasi-Experimental Evidence," CEPR Discussion Papers 18034, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:18034
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    Cited by:

    1. S. Boragan Aruoba & Ronel Elul & Sebnem Kalemli Ozcan, 2022. "Housing Wealth and Consumption: The Role of Heterogeneous Credit Constraints," Working Papers 22-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
    2. Mr. Christopher Carroll & Mr. Martin Sommer & Mr. Jiri Slacalek, 2012. "Dissecting Saving Dynamics: Measuring Wealth, Precautionary, and Credit Effects," IMF Working Papers 2012/219, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Lindgren, Samuel, 2018. "Traffic Noise and Housing Values: Evidence from an Airport Concession Renewal," Working papers in Transport Economics 2018:15, CTS - Centre for Transport Studies Stockholm (KTH and VTI), revised 26 Feb 2019.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Consumption; House prices; Marginal propensity to consume; Housing wealth; Collateral effect; House price elasticity;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D12 - Microeconomics - - Household Behavior - - - Consumer Economics: Empirical Analysis
    • E21 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Consumption; Saving; Wealth
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E60 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Macroeconomic Policy, Macroeconomic Aspects of Public Finance, and General Outlook - - - General

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