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Durable Goods: An Explanation for Their Slow Adjustment

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Ricardo J. Caballero

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Abstract

Aggregate expenditure on durable goods responds too slowly to wealth and other aggregate innovations to be consistent with the simplest frictionless version of PIH (permanent income hypothesis). In this paper I present a model of aggregate expenditure on durab1es that builds up from the lumpy nature of microeconomic purchases, and provide evidence supporting its contribution to the resolution of the ?slowness? puzzle. The paper also contains several new results on the problem of dynamic aggregation of stochastically heterogeneous units. In particular, I provide a simple characterization of the effects of heterogeneity and microeconomic lumpiness on aggregate dynamics.

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Paper provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Working Papers with number 3748.

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Date of creation: Jun 1991
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Publication status: published as Journal of Political Economy, April 1993
Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberwo:3748

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Please report citation or reference errors to , or , if you are the registered author of the cited work, log in to your RePEc Author Service profile, click on "citations" and make appropriate adjustments.:
  1. Alan S. Blinder, 1981. "Retail Inventory Behavior and Business Fluctuations," Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, Economic Studies Program, The Brookings Institution, vol. 12(1981-2), pages 443-520. [Downloadable!]
  2. Avner Bar-Ilan & Alan S. Blinder, 1987. "The Life-Cycle Permanent-Income Model and Consumer Durables," NBER Working Papers 2149, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Bernanke, Ben, 1985. "Adjustment costs, durables, and aggregate consumption," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 15(1), pages 41-68, January. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  1. Bertola, Giuseppe & Guiso, Luigi & Pistaferri, Luigi, 2002. "Uncertainty and Consumer Durables Adjustment," CEPR Discussion Papers 3332, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  2. Marjorie Flavin & Shinobu Nakagawa, 2004. "A Model of Housing in the Presence of Adjustment Costs: A Structural Interpretation of Habit Persistence," NBER Working Papers 10458, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  3. Christopher L. House & John V. Leahy, 2000. "An sS Model with Adverse Selection," NBER Working Papers 8030, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  4. Ellingsen, Tore & Holden, Steinar, 1997. "Indebtedness and Unemployment: A Durable Relationship," Working Paper Series in Economics and Finance 186, Stockholm School of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  5. Kiseok Hong, 2003. "Consumer Durables And The Interest Rate," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 17(2), pages 105-127, June. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  6. Jerome Adda & Russell Cooper, 2000. "The Dynamics of Car Sales: A Discrete Choice Approach," NBER Working Papers 7785, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  7. Steven Cook, 2003. "A Note on Business Cycle Non-Linearity in U. S. Consumption," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 0, pages 247-253, November. [Downloadable!]
  8. Andrew Caplin & John Leahy, 1999. "Durable Goods Cycles," NBER Working Papers 6987, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  9. Jonathan McCarthy & Egon Zakrajsek, 1998. "Microeconomic inventory adjustment and aggregate dynamics," Staff Reports 54, Federal Reserve Bank of New York. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  10. Ricardo J. Caballero, 1997. "Aggregate Investment," NBER Working Papers 6264, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  11. Judith Chevalier & Austan Goolsbee, 2005. "Are Durable Goods Consumers Forward Looking? Evidence from College Textbooks," NBER Working Papers 11421, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  12. Orazio P. Attanasio, 1995. "Consumer Durables and Inertial Behavior: Estimation and Aggregation of (S,s) Rules," NBER Working Papers 5282, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  13. Eun Young Chah & Valerie A. Ramey & Ross M. Starr, 1991. "Liquidity Constraints and Intertemporal Consumer Optimization: Theory and Evidence From Durable Goods," NBER Working Papers 3907, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  14. Ricardo J. Caballero & Eduardo M.R.A. Engel, 1994. "Explaining Investment Dynamics in U.S. Manufacturing: A Generalized (S,s) Approach," NBER Working Papers 4887, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
  15. Paivi Kankaanranta, 2006. "Consumption Over the Life Cycle: Theory and Empirical Regularities," Research Reports 118, University of Turku, Department of Economics. [Downloadable!]
  16. Paul Ehling, 2004. "Consumption, Portfolio Policies and Dynamic Equilibrium in the Presence of Preference for Ownership," Econometric Society 2004 North American Winter Meetings 311, Econometric Society.
  17. Ricardo J. Caballero, 1992. "Near-Rationality, Heterogeneity and Aggregate Consumption," NBER Working Papers 4035, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
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  18. Dmitriy Stolyarov & Ennio Stacchetti, 2004. "Obsolescence of Durable Goods and Optimal Consumption," Econometric Society 2004 Latin American Meetings 312, Econometric Society. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  19. Kiseok Hong, 1999. "Fluctuations In Consumer Durables Expenditure And Fixed Investment Of Korea," International Economic Journal, Korean International Economic Association, vol. 13(3), pages 59-65, October. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  20. Steven Cook, 1999. "Cyclicality and Durability: Evidence from U.S. Consumers' Expediture," Journal of Applied Economics, Universidad del CEMA, vol. 0, pages 299-310, November. [Downloadable!]
  21. Domenico Cuoco & Hong Liu, . "Optimal Consumption of a Divisible Durable Good," Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research Working Papers 20-98, Wharton School Rodney L. White Center for Financial Research. [Downloadable!]
    Other versions:
  22. Päivi Kankaanranta, 2006. "Consumption Over the Life Cycle: A Selected Literature Review," Discussion Papers 7, Aboa Centre for Economics. [Downloadable!]
  23. Steven Cook & Alan Speight, 2005. "A deeper look at asymmetries in UK consumers’ expenditure: the nonparametric analysis of 100 disaggregates," Applied Economics, Taylor and Francis Journals, vol. 37(8), pages 893-900, May. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
  24. John V. Leahy & Joseph Zeira, 2000. "The Timing of Purchases and Aggregate Fluctuations," NBER Working Papers 7672, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc. [Downloadable!] (restricted)
    Other versions:
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