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Housing Wealth and Consumption: The Role of Heterogeneous Credit Constraints

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  • S. Boragan Aruoba
  • Ronel Elul
  • Sebnem Kalemli Ozcan

Abstract

We quantify the role of heterogeneity in households’ financial constraints in explaining the large decline in consumption between 2006 and 2009. Using household-level data, we show that in addition to a direct effect of changes in house prices, there are sizable indirect effects from general equilibrium feedback and bank health. About 60% of the aggregate response of consumption to changes in house prices is explained by ex-ante and ex-post financial constraints, where only a specific set of households face binding ex-post financial constraints as a result of declining house prices. We find a negligible wealth effect once we account for the role of heterogonous financial constraints

Suggested Citation

  • S. Boragan Aruoba & Ronel Elul & Sebnem Kalemli Ozcan, 2022. "Housing Wealth and Consumption: The Role of Heterogeneous Credit Constraints," Working Papers 22-34, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedpwp:94846
    DOI: 10.21799/frbp.wp.2022.34
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    1. Felix Chopra & Christopher Roth & Johannes Wohlfart, 2023. "Home Price Expectations and Spending: Evidence from a Field Experiment," CEBI working paper series 23-03, University of Copenhagen. Department of Economics. The Center for Economic Behavior and Inequality (CEBI).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial crisis; mortgage; individual-level data; general equilibrium; bank health; credit supply;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • O16 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Financial Markets; Saving and Capital Investment; Corporate Finance and Governance
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles

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