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Oil Prices, Geography and Endogenous Regionalism: Too Much Ado About (Almost) Nothing

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  • Daniel Mirza
  • Habib Zitouna

Abstract

This paper studies the effect of oil prices on the geography of international trade. We model transport costs as a function of variable and fixed costs. By affecting the first cost component, oil prices can then modify the structure of transportation costs across partners. This, we argue, acts as a factor of distortion in relative prices, thereby creating a reallocation of trade at the expense of remote countries. In that respect, an increase in oil prices should favor regionalism.

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Bibliographic Info

Paper provided by CEPII research center in its series Working Papers with number 2009-26.

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Date of creation: Oct 2009
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Handle: RePEc:cii:cepidt:2009-26

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Keywords: REGIONALISM; OIL PRICES; GEOGRAPHY; TRANSPORT;

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  1. David Hummels & Alexandre Skiba, 2004. "Shipping the Good Apples Out? An Empirical Confirmation of the Alchian-Allen Conjecture," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 112(6), pages 1384-1402, December.
  2. Erkel-Rousse, H. & Mirza, D., 2000. "Import Price-Elasticities : Reconsidering the Evidence," Papiers d'Economie Mathématique et Applications 2000.52, Université Panthéon-Sorbonne (Paris 1).
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