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Price Jumps in Visegrad Country Stock Markets: An Empirical Analysis

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  • Jan Novotny

Abstract

I empirically study price jumps using high frequency data comprising 5-, 10-, 15- and 30-minute market data on the main indices from the Prague, Warsaw, Budapest and Frankfurt Stock Exchanges for June 2003 to the end of 2008. I use two definitions of price jumps: the price jump index and normalized returns. First, I analyze the distribution of returns to support the presence of jumps. Second, I find that the distributions of the price jump indicators employed are significantly different for positive moves compared with negative moves in all the markets studied. In addition, the comparison of jump distributions across different frequencies and markets suggests a possible relationship with market micro-structure as well as with the composition of investors. In particular, at the Prague Stock Exchange, the lower the frequency, the lower the number of extreme jumps, but this is not so at the other markets. Last but not least, I show that the recent financial crisis caused an overall increase in volatility. However, this was not translated into an increase in the absolute number of jumps.

Suggested Citation

  • Jan Novotny, 2010. "Price Jumps in Visegrad Country Stock Markets: An Empirical Analysis," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp412, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
  • Handle: RePEc:cer:papers:wp412
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    Cited by:

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    2. Martin Širůček, 2013. "Impact of money supply on stock bubbles," Acta Universitatis Agriculturae et Silviculturae Mendelianae Brunensis, Mendel University Press, vol. 61(7), pages 2835-2842.
    3. Mohammad Abu Sayeed & Mardi Dungey & Wenying Yao, 2018. "High-frequency Characterisation of Indian Banking Stocks," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 17(2_suppl), pages 213-238, August.
    4. Tomasz Schabek & Bojana Olgiæ Draženoviæ & Davor Mance, 2019. "Reaction of Zagreb Stock Exchange CROBEX Index to macroeconomic announcements within a high frequency time interval," Zbornik radova Ekonomskog fakulteta u Rijeci/Proceedings of Rijeka Faculty of Economics, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Economics and Business, vol. 37(2), pages 741-758.
    5. Dungey, Mardi & Matei, Marius & Treepongkaruna, Sirimon, 2014. "Identifying periods of financial stress in Asian currencies: the role of high frequency financial market data," Working Papers 2014-12, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics.
    6. Ankudinov, Andrei & Ibragimov, Rustam & Lebedev, Oleg, 2017. "Heavy tails and asymmetry of returns in the Russian stock market," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 200-219.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    financial markets; Visegrad region; price jumps.;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets
    • P59 - Political Economy and Comparative Economic Systems - - Comparative Economic Systems - - - Other

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