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Estimation of speculative attack models: Mexico yet again

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Author Info
William R. Melick (Kenyon College)

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Abstract

An amalgamation of standard speculative attack models is applied to Mexican exchange rate regimes over the past twenty years. The paper develops the first simultaneous (non-iterative) estimator for speculative attack models. Particular attention is paid to the December 1994 devaluation of the peso. Estimation results for the recent devaluation are a disappointment, less so for earlier periods when the assumptions of the model are more appropriate.

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Publisher Info
Paper provided by Bank for International Settlements in its series BIS Working Papers with number 36.

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Length: 32 pages
Date of creation: Aug 1996
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Handle: RePEc:bis:biswps:36

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  1. Kruger, Mark & Osakwe, Patrick N. & Page, Jennifer, 1998. "Fundamentals, Contagion and Currency Crises: An Empirical Analysis," Working Papers 98-10, Bank of Canada. [Downloadable!]
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