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Erken Uyari Sistemlerý Yoluyla Turkiye’Deki Ekonomik Krizlerin Analizi

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Author Info
Prof.Dr. Cevat GERNI () (Gebze Yuksek Teknoloji Enstitusu)
Doc.Dr. O. Selcuk EMSEN () (Ataturk University)
Dr. M. Kemal DEGER () (Ataturk University)
Abstract

It is observed that the interest rate-exchange rate nexus in the Turkish economy appeared in the process of financial liberalization has formed a fragile structure and that this situation has triggered the economic crises along with the rising of the country’s risk premium. In this context, the attentions have been drawn up on the crises which were led by the artificial welfare increases created by the gap between interest rate and exchange rate, and up on the unsustainability of artificially appreciated national currency with high interest rates in the economy.

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File URL: http://eidergisi.istanbul.edu.tr/sayi2/iueis2m3.pdf
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Department of Econometrics, Faculty of Economics, Istanbul University in its journal Istanbul University Econometrics and Statistics e-Journal.

Volume (Year): 2 (2005)
Issue (Month): 1 (November)
Pages: 39-62
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Handle: RePEc:ist:ancoec:v:2:y:2005:i:1:p:39-62

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Related research
Keywords: Economic crises; Currency-balance of payment crises; Financial-banking crises; Early warning systems; exchange rate pressure index; Turkish economy; Logit model; Probit model;

Find related papers by JEL classification:
F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange

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This page was last updated on 2009-10-27.


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