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Roads to Prosperity or Bridges to Nowhere? Theory and Evidence on the Impact of Public Infrastructure Investment

In: NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2012, Volume 27

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  • Sylvain Leduc
  • Daniel Wilson

Abstract

We examine the dynamic macroeconomic effects of public infrastructure investment both theoretically and empirically, using a novel data set we compiled on various highway spending measures. Relying on the institutional design of federal grant distributions among states, we construct a measure of government highway spending shocks that captures revisions in expectations about future government investment. We find that shocks to federal highway funding has a positive effect on local GDP both on impact and after 6 to 8 years, with the impact effect coming from shocks during (local) recessions. The direct channel appears to stem from federal grants leading to increased state government spending, and we provide strong evidence of this "flypaper effect."

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This chapter was published in:

  • Daron Acemoglu & Jonathan Parker & Michael Woodford, 2013. "NBER Macroeconomics Annual 2012, Volume 27," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number acem12-2, July.
    This item is provided by National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc in its series NBER Chapters with number 12750.

    Handle: RePEc:nbr:nberch:12750

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    Cited by:
    1. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel Wilson, 2013. "Are state governments roadblocks to federal stimulus? Evidence from highway grants in the 2009 Recovery Act," Working Paper Series 2013-16, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    2. Sylvain Leduc & Daniel J. Wilson, 2012. "Should transportation spending be included in a stimulus program? a review of the literature," Working Paper Series 2012-15, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    3. John C. Williams, 2012. "The economy, fiscal policy, and monetary policy," Speech 111, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
    4. repec:fip:fedfsp:y:2012:i:oct15 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Kuralbayeva, Karlygash, 2013. "Optimal fiscal policy and different degrees of access to international capital markets," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 336-352.

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