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Collateral Booms and Information Depletion
[Rational Exuberance Booms]

Author

Listed:
  • Vladimir Asriyan
  • Luc Laeven
  • Alberto Martín

Abstract

We develop a new theory of information production during credit booms. Entrepreneurs need credit to undertake investment projects, some of which enable them to divert resources. Lenders can protect themselves from such diversion in two ways: collateralization, and costly screening that generates durable information about projects. In equilibrium, the collateralization-screening mix depends on the value of aggregate collateral. High collateral values make it possible to reallocate resources towards productive projects, but they also crowd out screening. This has important dynamic implications. During credit booms driven by high collateral values (e.g. real estate booms), economic activity expands but the economy’s stock of information on existing projects gets depleted. As a result, collateral-driven booms end in deep crises and slow recoveries: when booms end, investment is constrained both by the lack of collateral and by the lack of information on existing projects, which takes time to rebuild. We provide empirical support for the mechanism using US firm-level data.

Suggested Citation

  • Vladimir Asriyan & Luc Laeven & Alberto Martín, 2022. "Collateral Booms and Information Depletion [Rational Exuberance Booms]," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 89(2), pages 517-555.
    • Handle: RePEc:oup:restud:v:89:y:2022:i:2:p:517-555.
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    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1093/restud/rdab046
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    Blog mentions

    As found by EconAcademics.org, the blog aggregator for Economics research:
    1. Collateral Booms and Information Depletion
      by Christian Zimmermann in NEP-DGE blog on 2018-12-13 15:49:27

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    Cited by:

    1. Mikel Bedayo & Gabriel Jiménez & José-Luis Peydró & Raquel Vegas, 2020. "Screening and Loan Origination Time: Lending Standards, Loan Defaults and Bank Failures," Working Papers 1215, Barcelona School of Economics.
    2. Straub, Ludwig & Ulbricht, Robert, 2015. "Endogenous Uncertainty and Credit Crunches," TSE Working Papers 15-604, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE), revised Dec 2017.
    3. Farboodi, Maryam & Kondor, Péter, 2023. "Cleansing by tight credit: Rational cycles and endogenous lending standards," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 150(1), pages 46-67.
    4. Biswas, Sonny, 2023. "Collateral and bank screening as complements: A spillover effect," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    5. Cuciniello, Vincenzo & di Iasio, Nicola, 2020. "Determinants of the credit cycle: a flow analysis of the extensive margin," Working Paper Series 2445, European Central Bank.
    6. Vladimir Asriyan & Luc Laeven & Alberto Martin & Alejandro Van der Ghote & Victoria Vanasco, 2021. "Falling interest rates and credit reallocation: Lessons from general equilibrium," Economics Working Papers 1784, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jun 2022.
    7. Matt Darst & Ehraz Refayet & Alexandros Vardoulakis, 2020. "Banks, Non Banks, and Lending Standards," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2020-086, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    8. Franklin Allen & Gadi Barlevy & Douglas Gale, 2022. "Asset Price Booms and Macroeconomic Policy: A Risk-Shifting Approach," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 243-280, April.
    9. Vladimir Asriyan & Luc Laeven & Alberto Martin & Alejandro Van der Ghote & Victoria Vanasco, 2021. "Falling Interest Rates and Credit Misallocation: Lessons from General Equilibrium," Working Papers 1268, Barcelona School of Economics.
    10. Laura Nowzohour & Livio Stracca, 2020. "More Than A Feeling: Confidence, Uncertainty, And Macroeconomic Fluctuations," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 34(4), pages 691-726, September.
    11. Maryam Farboodi & Péter Kondor, 2020. "Rational Sentiments and Economic Cycles," NBER Working Papers 27472, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    12. Minetti, Raoul & Cao, Qingqing & Di Pietro, Marco & Kokas, Sotirios, 2020. "Bank Due Diligence in the Business Cycle," Working Papers 2020-3, Michigan State University, Department of Economics, revised 11 May 2020.
    13. Ricardo Duque Gabriel, 2022. "The Credit Channel of Public Procurement," GEE Papers 0171, Gabinete de Estratégia e Estudos, Ministério da Economia, revised Nov 2022.
    14. Kyriakos T. Chousakos & Gary B. Gorton & Guillermo Ordoñez, 2020. "The Macroprudential Role of Stock Markets," NBER Working Papers 27113, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Jaccard, Ivan, 2021. "Leveraged property cycles," Working Paper Series 2539, European Central Bank.
    16. Péter Fáykiss & Erzsébet-Judit Rariga & Márton Zsigó, 2019. "Portfolio Cleaning of Problem Project Loans in Hungary – Experiences Related to the Systemic Risk Buffer, as a Targeted Macroprudential Instrument," Financial and Economic Review, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary), vol. 18(3), pages 52-82.
    17. Bank for International Settlements, 2022. "Private sector debt and financial stability," CGFS Papers, Bank for International Settlements, number 67, december.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Credit booms; Collateral; Information production; Crises; Bubbles; Misallocation;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • G01 - Financial Economics - - General - - - Financial Crises
    • D80 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - General

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