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Conditional convergence and the dynamics of the capital-output ratio

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Author Info
Kieran McQuinn
Karl Whelan

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Abstract

Output per worker can be expressed as a function of technological efficiency and of the capital-output ratio. Because technology is exogenous in the Solow model, all of the endogenous convergence dynamics take place through the adjustment of the capital-output ratio. This paper uses the empirical behavior of the capital-output ratio to estimate the speed of conditional convergence of economies towards their steady-state paths. We find that the conditional convergence speed is about seven percent per year. This is somewhat faster than predicted by the Solow model and is significantly higher than reported in most previous studies based on output per worker regressions. We show that, once there are stochastic shocks to technology, standard panel econometric techniques produce downward-biased estimates of convergence speeds, while our approach does not. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media, LLC 2007

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File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10887-007-9013-3
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Publisher Info
Article provided by Springer in its journal Journal of Economic Growth.

Volume (Year): 12 (2007)
Issue (Month): 2 (June)
Pages: 159-184
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Handle: RePEc:kap:jecgro:v:12:y:2007:i:2:p:159-184

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Web page: http://www.springerlink.com/link.asp?id=102931

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Related research
Keywords: Convergence; Solow Model; Panel Data; O41; O30; C23;

Cited by:
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  1. McGuinness, Anne, 2007. "Institutions and Total Factor Productivity Convergence," Research Technical Papers 9/RT/07, Central Bank & Financial Services Authority of Ireland (CBFSAI). [Downloadable!]
  2. Michael Paffermayr, 2009. "Spatial Convergence of Regions Revisited: A Spatial Maximum Likelihood Systems Approach," Working Papers 2009-07, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, University of Innsbruck. [Downloadable!]
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This page was last updated on 2009-11-25.


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