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Impacts of the sovereign risk perception on financial stability: Evidence from Brazil

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  • Montes, Gabriel Caldas
  • Valladares, Matheus
  • de Moraes, Claudio Oliveira

Abstract

Credit Rating Agencies (CRAs) provide credit information related to sovereign bonds and play a crucial role in international financial markets. This study investigates whether CRAs sovereign credit news such as rating changes, outlook, and credit watch status affects Brazil’s financial stability as represented by credit risk and solvency risk of Brazilian banks. Using a panel with a sample of 125 banks, the results reveal that the sovereign credit news alters credit risk coverage (credit provisions) and solvency risk (capital buffer) secured by Brazilian banks. The improvement of Brazilian sovereign risk leads banks to reduce their protections against credit risk (credit provisions) and capital level, which can threaten financial stability.

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  • Montes, Gabriel Caldas & Valladares, Matheus & de Moraes, Claudio Oliveira, 2021. "Impacts of the sovereign risk perception on financial stability: Evidence from Brazil," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 358-369.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:81:y:2021:i:c:p:358-369
    DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2021.06.010
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Financial stability; Credit risk; Capital buffer; Sovereign credit rating; Sovereign risk;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E44 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Financial Markets and the Macroeconomy
    • E52 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Monetary Policy
    • G24 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Investment Banking; Venture Capital; Brokerage

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