IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/agr/journl/v3(632)y2022i3(632)p5-26.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Financial development and public debt. Estimating the role of institutional quality

Author

Listed:
  • Qamar ABBAS

    (Nankai University, China)

  • Muhammad RAMZAN

    (Jiangsu University, China)

  • Sumbal FATIMA

    (Nankai University, China)

Abstract

Maintaining a sustainable debt level has emerged as a critical issue, particularly when public debt exceeds a certain threshold level. This paper examines the impact of public debt on financial development as mediated by institutional quality. For this purpose, we use FE (LSDV) and system GMM estimators. Our empirical findings demonstrate that public debt has negative impact on financial development, but this negative impact turns positive when it interacts with institutional quality. This implies that public debt is a function of institutional quality, and policymakers must maintain the threshold level of institutional quality in order to make better use of the debt.

Suggested Citation

  • Qamar ABBAS & Muhammad RAMZAN & Sumbal FATIMA, 2022. "Financial development and public debt. Estimating the role of institutional quality," Theoretical and Applied Economics, Asociatia Generala a Economistilor din Romania - AGER, vol. 0(3(632), A), pages 5-26, Autumn.
    • Handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:3(632):y:2022:i:3(632):p:5-26
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://store.ectap.ro/articole/1605.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: http://www.ectap.ro/articol.php?id=1605&rid=148
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tobias Cwik & Volker Wieland, 2011. "Keynesian government spending multipliers and spillovers in the euro area [Fiscal policy and growth: do financial crises make a difference?]," Economic Policy, CEPR, CESifo, Sciences Po;CES;MSH, vol. 26(67), pages 493-549.
    2. Chinn, Menzie D. & Ito, Hiro, 2006. "What matters for financial development? Capital controls, institutions, and interactions," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(1), pages 163-192, October.
    3. Furceri, Davide & Guichard, Stéphanie & Rusticelli, Elena, 2012. "The effect of episodes of large capital inflows on domestic credit," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 23(3), pages 325-344.
    4. Janda, Karel & Kravtsov, Oleg, 2017. "Time-varying Effects of Public Debt on the Financial and Banking Development in the Central and Eastern Europe," MPRA Paper 77325, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Andrianova, Svetlana & Demetriades, Panicos & Xu, Chenggang, 2011. "Political Economy Origins of Financial Markets in Europe and Asia," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 39(5), pages 686-699, May.
    6. Hamilton, James D & Flavin, Marjorie A, 1986. "On the Limitations of Government Borrowing: A Framework for EmpiricalTesting," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 76(4), pages 808-819, September.
    7. Huybens, Elisabeth & Smith, Bruce D., 1999. "Inflation, financial markets and long-run real activity," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 283-315, April.
    8. Liew Chung-Yee & Normaz Wana Ismail & Tan Ai-Lian, 2020. "Is Public Debt Asymmetrically Link to Financial Development in Malaysia?," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(3), pages 97-110, March.
    9. Nicolas E. Magud & Carmen M. Reinhart & Esteban R. Vesperoni, 2014. "Capital Inflows, Exchange Rate Flexibility and Credit Booms," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(3), pages 415-430, August.
    10. Stijn Claessens & Luc Laeven, 2003. "Financial Development, Property Rights, and Growth," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 58(6), pages 2401-2436, December.
    11. Besancenot, Damien & Huynh, Kim & Vranceanu, Radu, 2004. "Default on sustainable public debt: illiquidity suspect convicted," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(2), pages 205-211, February.
    12. Mok Wei Mun & Normaz Wana Ismail, 2015. "The Impact of Domestic Public Debt on Financial Development in Malaysia," International Journal of Social Science Research, Macrothink Institute, vol. 3(2), pages 1-19, September.
    13. Hauner, David, 2009. "Public debt and financial development," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 88(1), pages 171-183, January.
    14. Kolstad, Ivar & Villanger, Espen, 2008. "Determinants of foreign direct investment in services," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 24(2), pages 518-533, June.
    15. Deniz Igan & Zhibo Tan, 2017. "Capital Inflows, Credit Growth, and Financial Systems," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 53(12), pages 2649-2671, December.
    16. Li, Xiaoying & Liu, Xiaming, 2005. "Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth: An Increasingly Endogenous Relationship," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 33(3), pages 393-407, March.
    17. Bahal, Girish & Raissi, Mehdi & Tulin, Volodymyr, 2018. "Crowding-out or crowding-in? Public and private investment in India," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 109(C), pages 323-333.
    18. Liew Chung-Yee & Normaz Wana Ismail & Tan Ai-Lian, 2020. "Is Public Debt Asymmetrically Link to Financial Development in Malaysia?," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(3), pages 97-110.
    19. Gergely Kiss & Márton Nagy & Balázs Vonnák, 2006. "Credit Growth in Central and Eastern Europe: Convergence or Boom?," MNB Working Papers 2006/10, Magyar Nemzeti Bank (Central Bank of Hungary).
    20. Matias Braun & Claudio Raddatz, 2008. "The Politics of Financial Development: Evidence from Trade Liberalization," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 63(3), pages 1469-1508, June.
    21. Salvatore Capasso, 2004. "Financial Markets, Development and Economic Growth: Tales of Informational Asymmetries," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(3), pages 267-292, July.
    22. Abdelkarim Yahyaoui & Atef Rahmani, 2009. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: Role of Institutional Quality," Panoeconomicus, Savez ekonomista Vojvodine, Novi Sad, Serbia, vol. 56(3), pages 327-357, September.
    23. Khan, Muhammad Asif & Khan, Muhammad Atif & Abdulahi, Mohamued Elyas & Liaqat, Idrees & Shah, Sayyed Sadaqat Hussain, 2019. "Institutional quality and financial development: The United States perspective," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 67-80.
    24. Rajan, Raghuram G. & Zingales, Luigi, 2003. "The great reversals: the politics of financial development in the twentieth century," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(1), pages 5-50, July.
    25. Fujimori, Azusa & Sato, Takahiro, 2015. "Productivity and technology diffusion in India: The spillover effects from foreign direct investment," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 37(4), pages 630-651.
    26. Delis, Manthos D., 2012. "Bank competition, financial reform, and institutions: The importance of being developed," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 97(2), pages 450-465.
    27. Ali M. Kutan & Nahla Samargandi & Kazi Sohag, 2017. "Does Institutional Quality Matter for Financial Development and Growth? Further Evidence from MENA Countries," Australian Economic Papers, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 56(3), pages 228-248, September.
    28. Blundell, Richard & Bond, Stephen, 1998. "Initial conditions and moment restrictions in dynamic panel data models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 87(1), pages 115-143, August.
    29. Clague, Christopher & Keefer, Philip & Knack, Stephen & Olson, Mancur, 1996. "Property and Contract Rights in Autocracies and Democracies," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 1(2), pages 243-276, June.
    30. Sandrine Kablan, 2010. "Banking Efficiency and Financial Development in Sub-Saharan Africa," IMF Working Papers 2010/136, International Monetary Fund.
    31. Thorsten Beck & Asli Demirgüç-Kunt & Ross Levine, 2007. "Finance, inequality and the poor," Journal of Economic Growth, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 27-49, March.
    32. Hausman, Jerry, 2015. "Specification tests in econometrics," Applied Econometrics, Russian Presidential Academy of National Economy and Public Administration (RANEPA), vol. 38(2), pages 112-134.
    33. Bolgorian, Meysam, 2011. "Corruption and stock market development: A quantitative approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(23), pages 4514-4521.
    34. Stefan J Hock & Rajesh Bagchi & Darren DahlEditor & Eduardo AndradeAssociate Editor, 2018. "The Impact of Crowding on Calorie Consumption," Journal of Consumer Research, Journal of Consumer Research Inc., vol. 44(5), pages 1123-1140.
    35. Mr. Michael Kumhof & Mr. Evan C Tanner, 2005. "Government Debt: A Key Role in Financial Intermediation," IMF Working Papers 2005/057, International Monetary Fund.
    36. Adam, Christopher S. & Bevan, David L., 2005. "Fiscal deficits and growth in developing countries," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(4), pages 571-597, April.
    37. Qamar Abbas & Li Junqing & Muhammad Ramzan & Sumbal Fatima, 2021. "Role of Governance in Debt-Growth Relationship: Evidence from Panel Data Estimations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-19, May.
    38. Siong Hook Law, 2009. "Trade Openness, Capital Flows and Financial Development in Developing Economies," International Economic Journal, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(3), pages 409-426.
    39. Carlos Pérez Montes, 2013. "The impact of interbank and public debt markets on the competition for bank deposits," Working Papers 1319, Banco de España.
    40. Hoffman, Richard C. & Munemo, Jonathan & Watson, Sharon, 2016. "International Franchise Expansion: The Role of Institutions and Transaction Costs," Journal of International Management, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 101-114.
    41. Mishkin, Frederic S., 2009. "Globalization and financial development," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 89(2), pages 164-169, July.
    42. Ang, James B., 2008. "Determinants of foreign direct investment in Malaysia," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(1), pages 185-189.
    43. Law, Siong Hook & Azman-Saini, W.N.W. & Ibrahim, Mansor H., 2013. "Institutional quality thresholds and the finance – Growth nexus," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(12), pages 5373-5381.
    44. Siong Law & W. Azman-Saini, 2012. "Institutional quality, governance, and financial development," Economics of Governance, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 217-236, September.
    45. Doblas-Madrid, Antonio & Minetti, Raoul, 2013. "Sharing information in the credit market: Contract-level evidence from U.S. firms," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(1), pages 198-223.
    46. Arestis, Philip & Demetriades, Panicos O, 1997. "Financial Development and Economic Growth: Assessing the Evidence," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 107(442), pages 783-799, May.
    47. Carmen M. Reinhart & Kenneth S. Rogoff, 2011. "From Financial Crash to Debt Crisis," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 101(5), pages 1676-1706, August.
    48. Elsie Addo Awadzi, 2015. "Designing Legal Frameworks for Public Debt Management," IMF Working Papers 2015/147, International Monetary Fund.
    49. Yang, Yung Y. & Yi, Myung Hoon, 2008. "Does financial development cause economic growth? Implication for policy in Korea," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 30(5), pages 827-840.
    50. Ismihan, Mustafa & Ozkan, F. Gulcin, 2012. "Public debt and financial development: A theoretical exploration," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 115(3), pages 348-351.
    51. Huang, Yongfu, 2010. "Political Institutions and Financial Development: An Empirical Study," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 38(12), pages 1667-1677, December.
    52. Hernán Ricardo Briceño & Javier Perote, 2020. "Determinants of the Public Debt in the Eurozone and Its Sustainability Amid the Covid-19 Pandemic," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(16), pages 1-29, August.
    53. Bartolini, Leonardo & Cottarelli, Carlo, 1994. "Government Ponzi games and the sustainability of public deficits under uncertainty," Ricerche Economiche, Elsevier, vol. 48(1), pages 1-22, March.
    54. repec:oup:ecpoli:v:26:y:2011:i:67:p:493-549 is not listed on IDEAS
    55. Sunanda Sen, 2003. "Global Finance and Development," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Global Finance at Risk, chapter 4, pages 156-181, Palgrave Macmillan.
    56. Walid Benayed & Foued Badr Gabsi, 2020. "Domestic public debt and financial development in Sub-Saharan Africa: Is there an inverted-U relationship?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 40(1), pages 846-854.
    57. Debi Prasad Bal & Badri Narayan Rath, 2014. "Public debt and economic growth in India: A reassessment," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(3), pages 292-300.
    58. Jain, Pankaj K. & Kuvvet, Emre & Pagano, Michael S., 2017. "Corruption’s impact on foreign portfolio investment," International Business Review, Elsevier, vol. 26(1), pages 23-35.
    59. Baotai Wang, 2005. "Effects of government expenditure on private investment: Canadian empirical evidence," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 30(2), pages 493-504, September.
    60. Thorsten Beck & Asli Demirgüç-Kunt & Ross Levine, 2010. "Financial Institutions and Markets across Countries and over Time: The Updated Financial Development and Structure Database," The World Bank Economic Review, World Bank, vol. 24(1), pages 77-92, January.
    61. Manuel Arellano & Stephen Bond, 1991. "Some Tests of Specification for Panel Data: Monte Carlo Evidence and an Application to Employment Equations," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 58(2), pages 277-297.
    62. Ana M. Fernandes & Caroline Paunov, 2015. "The Risks of Innovation: Are Innovating Firms Less Likely to Die?," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 97(3), pages 638-653, July.
    63. Estrada, Gemma Esther & Park, Donghyun & Ramayandi, Arief, 2015. "Financial Development, Financial Openness, and Economic Growth," ADB Economics Working Paper Series 442, Asian Development Bank.
    64. David Dollar & Aart Kraay, 2004. "Trade, Growth, and Poverty," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 114(493), pages 22-49, February.
    65. Eichengreen, Barry & Hausmann, Ricardo (ed.), 2010. "Other People's Money," University of Chicago Press Economics Books, University of Chicago Press, number 9780226194578, September.
    66. Muhammad Asif Khan & Dongmin Kong & Junyi Xiang & Jian Zhang, 2020. "Impact of Institutional Quality on Financial Development: Cross-Country Evidence based on Emerging and Growth-Leading Economies," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(15), pages 3829-3845, December.
    67. Boyd, John H. & Levine, Ross & Smith, Bruce D., 2001. "The impact of inflation on financial sector performance," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 47(2), pages 221-248, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Siong Law & W. Azman-Saini, 2012. "Institutional quality, governance, and financial development," Economics of Governance, Springer, vol. 13(3), pages 217-236, September.
    2. Chris Doucouliagos & Jakob de Haan & Jan-Egbert Sturm, 2022. "What drives financial development? A Meta-regression analysis [A new database of financial reforms]," Oxford Economic Papers, Oxford University Press, vol. 74(3), pages 840-868.
    3. Olufemi Adewale Aluko & Muazu Ibrahim, 2020. "On the macroeconomic determinants of financial institutions development in sub-Saharan Africa," International Review of Economics, Springer;Happiness Economics and Interpersonal Relations (HEIRS), vol. 67(1), pages 69-85, March.
    4. Jean-Pierre Allegret & Sana Azzabi, 2014. "Intégration financière internationale et croissance économique dans les pays émergents et en développement : le canal du développement financier," Revue d’économie du développement, De Boeck Université, vol. 22(3), pages 27-68.
    5. Bayar, Yilmaz & Sakar, Emre, 2021. "Impact of Domestic Public Borrowing on Financial Development: Evidence from EU Transition Economies," Asian Journal of Applied Economics, Kasetsart University, Center for Applied Economics Research, vol. 28(1).
    6. Khan, Muhammad Atif & Gu, Lulu & Khan, Muhammad Asif & Bhatti, Muhammad Ishaq, 2022. "Institutional perspective of financial sector development: A multidimensional assessment," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 46(4).
    7. Clement Olalekan Olaniyi & Sunday Idowu Oladeji, 2021. "Moderating the effect of institutional quality on the finance–growth nexus: insights from West African countries," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 54(1), pages 43-74, February.
    8. Liew Chung-Yee & Normaz Wana Ismail & Tan Ai-Lian, 2020. "Is Public Debt Asymmetrically Link to Financial Development in Malaysia?," Asian Journal of Empirical Research, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 10(3), pages 97-110, March.
    9. Yongfu Huang & Jonathan Temple, 2005. "Does external trade promote financial development?," Bristol Economics Discussion Papers 05/575, School of Economics, University of Bristol, UK.
    10. Muhammad Asif Khan & Hossam Haddad & Mahmoud Odeh & Ahsanuddin Haider & Mohammed Arshad Khan, 2022. "Institutions, Culture, or Interaction: What Determines the Financial Market Development in Emerging Markets?," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-23, November.
    11. Islam, Mollah Aminul & Liu, Haiyun & Khan, Muhammad Asif & Islam, Md Tariqul & Sultanuzzaman, Md Reza, 2021. "Does foreign direct investment deepen the financial system in Southeast Asian economies?," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    12. Abdelkarim Yahyaoui & Kaies Samet & Amina Amirat, 2021. "Examining the Financial Development–Economic Growth Nexus from an Institutional Approach: Evidence from Non-Oil Arab Countries," Asian Economic and Financial Review, Asian Economic and Social Society, vol. 11(6), pages 457-470, June.
    13. Bello K. Ajide, 2020. "Fragmentation and financial development in Sub-Saharan Africa Countries: the case of diversity debit versus diversity dividend theses," Economic Change and Restructuring, Springer, vol. 53(3), pages 379-428, August.
    14. Cemil Kuzey & Ali Uyar & Amal Hamrouni & Merve Kilic & Rim Boussaada, 2021. "The link between institutional quality, ethical behaviors of firms, and market regulations on stock market developments," Managerial and Decision Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 998-1021, June.
    15. Qamar Abbas & Li Junqing & Muhammad Ramzan & Sumbal Fatima, 2021. "Role of Governance in Debt-Growth Relationship: Evidence from Panel Data Estimations," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-19, May.
    16. Dennis Essers & Hans J. Blommestein & Danny Cassimon & Perla Ibarlucea Flores, 2016. "Local Currency Bond Market Development in Sub-Saharan Africa: A Stock-Taking Exercise and Analysis of Key Drivers," Emerging Markets Finance and Trade, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 52(5), pages 1167-1194, May.
    17. Aluko, Olufemi Adewale & Opoku, Eric Evans Osei, 2022. "The financial development impact of financial globalization revisited: A focus on OECD countries," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 13-29.
    18. Ayadi, Rym & Arbak, Emrah & Ben-Naceur, Sami & De Groen, Willem Pieter, 2013. "Determinants of Financial Development across the Mediterranean," CEPS Papers 7770, Centre for European Policy Studies.
    19. Simplice Asongu & Rexon Nting, 2021. "The role of finance in inclusive human development in Africa revisited," Journal of Economic and Administrative Sciences, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 38(2), pages 345-370, February.
    20. Muhammad Shahbaz & Hrushikesh Mallick & Mantu Kumar Mahalik & Shawkat Hammoudeh, 2018. "Is globalization detrimental to financial development? Further evidence from a very large emerging economy with significant orientation towards policies," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 50(6), pages 574-595, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:agr:journl:v:3(632):y:2022:i:3(632):p:5-26. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Marin Dinu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/agerrea.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.