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Do Momentum‐Based Trading Strategies Work in the Commodity Futures Markets?

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Day, Min-Yuh & Ni, Yensen & Huang, Paoyu, 2019. "Trading as sharp movements in oil prices and technical trading signals emitted with big data concerns," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 525(C), pages 349-372.
  2. Libo Yin & Qingyuan Yang & Zhi Su, 2017. "Predictability of structural co-movement in commodity prices: the role of technical indicators," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(5), pages 795-812, May.
  3. Avdoulas, Christos & Bekiros, Stelios & Boubaker, Sabri, 2016. "Detecting nonlinear dependencies in eurozone peripheral equity markets: A multistep filtering approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 580-587.
  4. Jose Eduardo Gomez-Gonzalez & Jorge Hirs-Garzon, 2017. "Uncovering the time-varying nature of causality between oil prices and stock market returns: A multi-country study," Borradores de Economia 1009, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
  5. Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio, 2021. "Forecasting commodity futures returns with stepwise regressions: Do commodity-specific factors help?," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 299(1), pages 1317-1356, April.
  6. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Raza, Naveed & Balcilar, Mehmet & Ali, Sajid & Shahbaz, Muhammad, 2017. "Can economic policy uncertainty and investors sentiment predict commodities returns and volatility?," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 208-218.
  7. Zhang, Yue-Jun & Yao, Ting, 2016. "Interpreting the movement of oil prices: Driven by fundamentals or bubbles?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 226-240.
  8. Ikhlaas Gurrib & Mohammad Nourani & Rajesh Kumar Bhaskaran, 2022. "Energy crypto currencies and leading U.S. energy stock prices: are Fibonacci retracements profitable?," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 8(1), pages 1-27, December.
  9. Nakagawa, Kei & Sakemoto, Ryuta, 2024. "Commodity sectors and factor investment strategies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 95(PC).
  10. Ma, Wei & Li, Haiqi, 2016. "Time-varying saving–investment relationship and the Feldstein–Horioka puzzle," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 166-178.
  11. Oussama Tilfani & Paulo Ferreira & My Youssef El Boukfaoui, 2021. "Dynamic cross-correlation and dynamic contagion of stock markets: a sliding windows approach with the DCCA correlation coefficient," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1127-1156, March.
  12. Otero, Jesús & Argüello, Ricardo & Oviedo, Juan Daniel & Ramírez, Manuel, 2018. "Explaining coffee price differentials in terms of chemical markers: Evidence from a pairwise approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 190-201.
  13. Thi Hong Van Hoang & Amine Lahiani & David Heller, 2016. "Is gold a hedge against inflation? New evidence from a nonlinear ARDL approach," Post-Print hal-02012307, HAL.
  14. Pal, Debdatta & Mitra, Subrata K., 2019. "Oil price and automobile stock return co-movement: A wavelet coherence analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 172-181.
  15. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Nor, Safwan Mohd & Ferrer, Roman & Hammoudeh, Shawkat, 2017. "Asymmetric determinants of CDS spreads: U.S. industry-level evidence through the NARDL approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 211-230.
  16. Yildirim, Zekeriya, 2016. "Global financial conditions and asset markets: Evidence from fragile emerging economies," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 208-220.
  17. Tsuji, Chikashi, 2020. "Correlation and spillover effects between the US and international banking sectors: New evidence and implications for risk management," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  18. Bannigidadmath, Deepa & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2016. "Stock return predictability and determinants of predictability and profits," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 153-173.
  19. Jose E. Gomez-Gonzalez & Jorge Hirs-Garzón & Sebastián Sanín-Restrepo, 2021. "Dynamic relations between oil and stock markets: Volatility spillovers, networks and causality," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 165, pages 37-50.
  20. Zhu, Yanhui & Fan, Jingwen & Tucker, Jon, 2018. "The impact of monetary policy on gold price dynamics," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 319-331.
  21. Tong, Bin & Diao, Xundi & Wu, Chongfeng, 2015. "Modeling asymmetric and dynamic dependence of overnight and daytime returns: An empirical evidence from China Banking Sector," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 366-382.
  22. Mustafa Demirel & Gazanfer Unal, 2020. "Applying multivariate-fractionally integrated volatility analysis on emerging market bond portfolios," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 6(1), pages 1-29, December.
  23. Han, Liyan & Jin, Jiayu & Wu, Lei & Zeng, Hongchao, 2020. "The volatility linkage between energy and agricultural futures markets with external shocks," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
  24. Ahmed BenSaïda & Houda Litimi, 2021. "Financial contagion across G10 stock markets: A study during major crises," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 26(3), pages 4798-4821, July.
  25. Ikhlaas Gurrib & Firuz Kamalov & Elgilani Elshareif, 2021. "Can the Leading US Energy Stock Prices be Predicted using the Ichimoku Cloud?," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 11(1), pages 41-51.
  26. Sharma, Susan Sunila, 2016. "Can consumer price index predict gold price returns?," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 55(C), pages 269-278.
  27. Fong, Tom Pak Wing & Wu, Shui Tang, 2020. "Predictability in sovereign bond returns using technical trading rules: Do developed and emerging markets differ?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  28. Simarjeet Singh & Nidhi Walia, 2022. "Momentum investing: a systematic literature review and bibliometric analysis," Management Review Quarterly, Springer, vol. 72(1), pages 87-113, February.
  29. Yufeng Han & Lingfei Kong, 2022. "A trend factor in commodity futures markets: Any economic gains from using information over investment horizons?," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(5), pages 803-822, May.
  30. Burdekin, Richard C. K & Tao, Ran, 2021. "From Shanghai to Sydney: Chinese stock market influences on Australia," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
  31. Massimo Guidolin & Manuela Pedio, 2018. "Forecasting Commodity Futures Returns: An Economic Value Analysis of Macroeconomic vs. Specific Factors," BAFFI CAREFIN Working Papers 1886, BAFFI CAREFIN, Centre for Applied Research on International Markets Banking Finance and Regulation, Universita' Bocconi, Milano, Italy.
  32. Taylor, Nick, 2019. "Forecasting returns in the VIX futures market," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1193-1210.
  33. Vedenov, Dmitry & Power, Gabriel J., 2022. "We don't need no fancy hedges! Or do we?," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 81(C).
  34. Eric Benhamou & Jean-Jacques Ohana & Alban Etienne & B'eatrice Guez & Ethan Setrouk & Thomas Jacquot, 2025. "Re-evaluating Short- and Long-Term Trend Factors in CTA Replication: A Bayesian Graphical Approach," Papers 2507.15876, arXiv.org.
  35. Zaremba, Adam & Mikutowski, Mateusz & Szczygielski, Jan Jakub & Karathanasopoulos, Andreas, 2021. "The alpha momentum effect in commodity markets," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
  36. Bazán-Palomino, Walter, 2022. "Interdependence, contagion and speculative bubbles in cryptocurrency markets," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 49(C).
  37. Miffre, Joëlle, 2016. "Long-short commodity investing: A review of the literature," Journal of Commodity Markets, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 3-13.
  38. Kagraoka, Yusho, 2016. "Common dynamic factors in driving commodity prices: Implications of a generalized dynamic factor model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 52(PB), pages 609-617.
  39. Charfeddine, Lanouar, 2016. "Breaks or long range dependence in the energy futures volatility: Out-of-sample forecasting and VaR analysis," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 354-374.
  40. Auer, Benjamin R., 2016. "How does Germany's green energy policy affect electricity market volatility? An application of conditional autoregressive range models," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 98(C), pages 621-628.
  41. Antonios K. Alexandridis & Mohammad S. Hasan, 2020. "Global financial crisis and multiscale systematic risk: Evidence from selected European stock markets," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 25(4), pages 518-546, October.
  42. Chui, Andy & Ranganathan, Kavitha & Rohit, Abhishek & Veeraraghavan, Madhu, 2023. "Momentum, reversals and liquidity: Indian evidence," Pacific-Basin Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
  43. Hoang, Thi Hong Van & Lahiani, Amine & Heller, David, 2016. "Is gold a hedge against inflation? New evidence from a nonlinear ARDL approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 54-66.
  44. Liow, Kim Hiang & Song, Jeongseop, 2020. "Dynamic interdependence of ASEAN5 with G5 stock markets," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 45(C).
  45. Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Hirs-Garzon, Jorge & Gamboa-Arbelaez, Juliana, 2020. "Dynamic relations between oil and stock market returns: A multi-country study," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 51(C).
  46. Fan, Minyou & Kearney, Fearghal & Li, Youwei & Liu, Jiadong, 2022. "Momentum and the Cross-section of Stock Volatility," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
  47. Hoang, Thi-Hong-Van & Zhu, Zhenzhen & El Khamlichi, Abdelbari & Wong, Wing-Keung, 2019. "Does the Shari’ah screening impact the gold-stock nexus? A sectorial analysis," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 617-626.
  48. Hübel, Benjamin, 2022. "Do markets value ESG risks in sovereign credit curves?," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 134-148.
  49. Jammazi, Rania & Ferrer, Román & Jareño, Francisco & Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain, 2017. "Time-varying causality between crude oil and stock markets: What can we learn from a multiscale perspective?," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 453-483.
  50. Mimouni, Karim & Charfeddine, Lanouar & Al-Azzam, Moh'd, 2016. "Do oil producing countries offer international diversification benefits? Evidence from GCC countries," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 263-280.
  51. Malvika Saraf & Parthajit Kayal, 2022. "How Much Does Volatility Influence Stock Market Returns? – Empirical Evidence from India," Working Papers 2022-215, Madras School of Economics,Chennai,India.
  52. Dorfleitner, Gregor & Fischer, Lukas & Lung, Carina & Willmertinger, Philipp & Stang, Nico & Dietrich, Natalie, 2018. "To follow or not to follow – An empirical analysis of the returns of actors on social trading platforms," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 160-171.
  53. Bhuvaneskumar Annamalaisamy & Sivakumar Vepur Jayaraman, 2024. "Do cryptocurrencies integrate with the indices of equity, sustainability, clean energy, and crude oil? A wavelet coherency approach," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(3), pages 3372-3392, July.
  54. Fuertes, Ana-Maria & Robles, Maria-Dolores, 2021. "Bank credit risk events and peers' equity value," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  55. Apergis, Nicholas & Eleftheriou, Sofia, 2016. "Gold returns: Do business cycle asymmetries matter? Evidence from an international country sample," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 57(C), pages 164-170.
  56. Li, Haiqi & Kim, Hyung-Gun & Park, Sung Y., 2015. "The role of financial speculation in the energy future markets: A new time-varying coefficient approach," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 112-122.
  57. Abdelbari El Khamlichi & Thi Hong Van Hoang & Wing‐keung Wong, 2016. "Is Gold Different for Islamic and Conventional Portfolios? A Sectorial Analysis," Post-Print hal-02964594, HAL.
  58. Lu, Quanying & Li, Yuze & Chai, Jian & Wang, Shouyang, 2020. "Crude oil price analysis and forecasting: A perspective of “new triangle”," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  59. Cubillos-Rocha, Juan S. & Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Melo-Velandia, Luis F., 2019. "Detecting exchange rate contagion using copula functions," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 13-22.
  60. Robert Hudson & Andrew Urquhart, 2021. "Technical trading and cryptocurrencies," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 297(1), pages 191-220, February.
  61. Belkhouja, Mustapha & Mootamri, Imene, 2016. "Long memory and structural change in the G7 inflation dynamics," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 54(C), pages 450-462.
  62. Daejin Kim, 2025. "Term Structure and Risk Premiums of Commodity Futures With Linear Regressions," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 45(2), pages 118-142, February.
  63. Bannigidadmath, Deepa & Narayan, Paresh Kumar, 2022. "Economic importance of correlations for energy and other commodities," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
  64. Narongsak Sukma & Chakkrit Snae Namahoot, 2025. "Enhancing Trading Strategies: A Multi-indicator Analysis for Profitable Algorithmic Trading," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 65(6), pages 3807-3840, June.
  65. Gomez-Gonzalez, Jose E. & Rojas-Espinosa, Wilmer, 2019. "Detecting contagion in Asian exchange rate markets using asymmetric DCC-GARCH and R-vine copulas," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 43(3).
  66. Changqing, Luo & Chi, Xie & Cong, Yu & Yan, Xu, 2015. "Measuring financial market risk contagion using dynamic MRS-Copula models: The case of Chinese and other international stock markets," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 51(C), pages 657-671.
  67. Benjamin R. Auer, 2021. "Have trend-following signals in commodity futures markets become less reliable in recent years?," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 35(4), pages 533-553, December.
  68. Bazán-Palomino, Walter & Svogun, Daniel, 2023. "On the drivers of technical analysis profits in cryptocurrency markets: A Distributed Lag approach," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 86(C).
  69. Zorgati, Imen & Lakhal, Faten, 2020. "Spatial contagion in the subprime crisis context: Adjusted correlation versus local correlation approaches," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 92(C), pages 162-169.
  70. Anthony N. Rezitis & Panagiotis Andrikopoulos & Theodoros Daglis, 2024. "Assessing the asymmetric volatility linkages of energy and agricultural commodity futures during low and high volatility regimes," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 44(3), pages 451-483, March.
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