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Tourism Demand Modelling and Forecasting: How Should Demand Be Measured?

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  1. Yu-Xia Lin & Ming-Hsiang Chen & Bi-Shu Lin & Shu-Yin Tseng & Ching-Hui (Joan) Su, 2021. "Nonlinear impact of World Heritage Sites on China’s tourism expansion," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(4), pages 795-819, June.
  2. Jose I Castillo-Manzano & Mercedes Castro-Nuño & Lourdes Lopez-Valpuesta & à lvaro Zarzoso, 2021. "Quality versus quantity: An assessment of the impact of Michelin-starred restaurants on tourism in Spain," Tourism Economics, , vol. 27(5), pages 1166-1174, August.
  3. Roberto Meurer & Hoyêdo Nunes Lins, 2018. "The effects of the 2014 World Cup and the 2016 Olympic Games on Brazilian international travel receipts," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(4), pages 486-491, June.
  4. Kagochi, John & Durmaz, Nazif, 2021. "Determinants of Intra-SSA Tourism Demand," MPRA Paper 106492, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  5. Nikeel Kumar & Ronald Ravinesh Kumar, 2020. "Relationship between ICT and international tourism demand: A study of major tourist destinations," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(6), pages 908-925, September.
  6. Antonia Correia & Metin Kozak & Seongseop (Sam) Kim, 2018. "Luxury shopping orientations of mainland Chinese tourists in Hong Kong," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(1), pages 92-108, February.
  7. Helena Nemec Rudez, 2018. "The Relationship between Income and Tourism Demand: Old Findings and New Research," Academica Turistica - Tourism and Innovation Journal, University of Primorska Press, vol. 11(1), pages 67-73.
  8. Seymur AÄŸazade, 2022. "The effect of tourism source market structure on international tourism revenues in Turkey," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(3), pages 714-727, May.
  9. Brida, Juan Gabriel & Pereyra, Juan Sebastián & Such, María Jesús & Pulina, Manuela, 2011. "Causalidad entre turismo y crecimiento económico de largo plazo: una revisión crítica de la literatura econométrica [Causality between tourism and long-term economic growth: a critical review of th," MPRA Paper 37332, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 2011.
  10. Vatsa, Puneet, 2020. "Comovement amongst the demand for New Zealand tourism," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 83(C).
  11. Peng, Bo & Song, Haiyan & Crouch, Geoffrey I., 2014. "A meta-analysis of international tourism demand forecasting and implications for practice," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 181-193.
  12. Okuyama, Tadahiro, 2018. "Analysis of optimal timing of tourism demand recovery policies from natural disaster using the contingent behavior method," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 64(C), pages 37-54.
  13. Jong, Meng-Chang & Hong, Puah & Arip, Mohammad Affendy, 2020. "Modelling Tourism Demand: An Augmented Gravity Model," Jurnal Ekonomi Malaysia, Faculty of Economics and Business, Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia, vol. 54(2), pages 105-112.
  14. Ermias Kifle Gedecho & Lorenzo Masiero & Ernest Balutie Wavei & Richard Tianran Qiu & Provia Kesande, 2023. "Investigating the determinants of outbound long-haul tourist daily expenditure and length of stay," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(8), pages 1995-2011, December.
  15. Albaladejo, Isabel P. & González-Martínez, María Isabel & Martínez-García, María Pilar, 2016. "Nonconstant reputation effect in a dynamic tourism demand model for Spain," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 132-139.
  16. Burak Darici & Ahmet Aydin & Fatih Ayhan & Merve Altaylar, 2023. "Macroeconomic Determinants of Tourism Demand Toward Emerging Markets," Istanbul Journal of Economics-Istanbul Iktisat Dergisi, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 73(73-2), pages 837-864, December.
  17. Manuel González-Gómez, 2022. "European outbound tourism expansion on the islands of Cape Verde," Tourism Economics, , vol. 28(4), pages 1129-1150, June.
  18. Katarzyna Kozicka & Romuald Szopa, 2016. "Managing Of The Tourist Destinations Offer Based On The Dynamics And The Forecast Of Tourist Movement," Polish Journal of Management Studies, Czestochowa Technical University, Department of Management, vol. 14(2), pages 127-136, December.
  19. Helena Nemec Rudež, 2020. "Is International Tourism Growth Supported by Increased Tourism Receipts?," Academica Turistica - Tourism and Innovation Journal, University of Primorska Press, vol. 13(2), pages 153-156.
  20. Jean Max Tavares & Nuno Carlos Leitão, 2017. "The determinants of international tourism demand for Brazil," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(4), pages 834-845, June.
  21. Hanitra Rakotondramaro & Laurent Botti, 2018. "Optimizing tourist demands with utility efficient frontier," Tourism Economics, , vol. 24(2), pages 157-166, March.
  22. Apostolos Ampountolas, 2021. "Modeling and Forecasting Daily Hotel Demand: A Comparison Based on SARIMAX, Neural Networks, and GARCH Models," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(3), pages 1-16, August.
  23. Susana Borrego-Domínguez & Fernando Isla-Castillo & Mercedes Rodríguez-Fernández, 2022. "Determinants of Tourism Demand in Spain: A European Perspective from 2000–2020," Economies, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-21, November.
  24. Li, Gang & Song, Haiyan & Cao, Zheng & Wu, Doris Chenguang, 2013. "How competitive is Hong Kong against its competitors? An econometric study," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 247-256.
  25. Álvarez-Albelo, Carmen D. & Hernández-Martín, Raúl & Padrón-Fumero, Noemi, 2017. "Air passenger duties as strategic tourism taxation," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 442-453.
  26. Hatice Öncel Çekim & Ahmet Koyuncu, 2022. "The Impact of Google Trends on the Tourist Arrivals: A Case of Antalya Tourism," Alphanumeric Journal, Bahadir Fatih Yildirim, vol. 10(1), pages 1-14, June.
  27. Jorge Ridderstaat, 2023. "Measuring hidden demand and price behavior from US outbound health tourism spending," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(3), pages 759-787, May.
  28. Ramesh Neupane & Anup K C & Manoj Aryal & Kedar Rijal, 2021. "Status of ecotourism in Nepal: a case of Bhadaure-Tamagi village of Panchase area," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(11), pages 15897-15920, November.
  29. Juan L. Nicolau & Lorenzo Masiero, 2013. "Relationship between Price Sensitivity and Expenditures in the Choice of Tourism Activities at the Destination," Tourism Economics, , vol. 19(1), pages 101-114, February.
  30. Gabriela Mordecki & Ana Leiva & Nathalie Desplas, 2016. "Tourism demand for Mexico and Uruguay," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 16-09, Instituto de Economía - IECON.
  31. Jaume Rosselló-Nadal & Jianan HE, 2020. "Tourist arrivals versus tourist expenditures in modelling tourism demand," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(8), pages 1311-1326, December.
  32. Quah, Euston & Chia, Wai-Mun & Tan, Tsiat-Siong, 2021. "Economic impact of 2015 transboundary haze on Singapore," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  33. Dogru, Tarik & Sirakaya-Turk, Ercan & Crouch, Geoffrey I., 2017. "Remodeling international tourism demand: Old theory and new evidence," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 47-55.
  34. Luca Zamparini & Anna Serena Vergori & Serena Arima, 2017. "Assessing the determinants of local tourism demand," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(5), pages 981-992, August.
  35. Etzo, Ivan & Massidda, Carla & Piras, Romano, 2014. "Migration and outbound tourism: Evidence from Italy," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 48(C), pages 235-249.
  36. Jacky S. Charles & Thomas M. Fullerton Jr, 2012. "Research Note: An Error Correction Analysis of Visitor Arrivals in the Bahamas," Tourism Economics, , vol. 18(1), pages 253-259, February.
  37. Ashrafi Tannaz Alizadeh & Myrland Øystein, 2017. "Determinants of trip duration for international tourists in Norway; a parametric survival analysis," European Journal of Tourism, Hospitality and Recreation, Sciendo, vol. 8(1), pages 75-86, May.
  38. Wamboye, Evelyn F. & Nyaronga, Peter John & Sergi, Bruno S., 2020. "What are the determinant of international tourism in Tanzania?," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 17(C).
  39. Wanvilai Chulaphan & Jorge Fidel Barahona, 2021. "The Determinants of Tourist Expenditure Per Capita in Thailand: Potential Implications for Sustainable Tourism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-14, June.
  40. Tzu-Ming Liu, 2020. "Habit formation or word of mouth: What does lagged dependent variable in tourism demand models imply?," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(3), pages 461-474, May.
  41. Wolfram Höpken & Tobias Eberle & Matthias Fuchs & Maria Lexhagen, 2019. "Google Trends data for analysing tourists’ online search behaviour and improving demand forecasting: the case of Åre, Sweden," Information Technology & Tourism, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 45-62, March.
  42. Chhorn, Theara & Chaiboonsri, Chukiat, 2017. "Modelling and Forecasting Tourist Arrivals to Cambodia: An Application of ARIMA-GARCH Approach," MPRA Paper 83942, University Library of Munich, Germany, revised 27 Dec 2017.
  43. Shahzad, Syed Jawad Hussain & Shahbaz, Muhammad & Ferrer, Román & Kumar, Ronald Ravinesh, 2017. "Tourism-led growth hypothesis in the top ten tourist destinations: New evidence using the quantile-on-quantile approach," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 223-232.
  44. Vladimir Otrachshenko & Francesco Bosello, 2017. "Fishing for answers? Impacts of marine ecosystem quality on coastal tourism demand," Tourism Economics, , vol. 23(5), pages 963-980, August.
  45. Gunter, Ulrich & Zekan, Bozana, 2021. "Forecasting air passenger numbers with a GVAR model," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  46. Apostolos Ampountolas, 2019. "Forecasting hotel demand uncertainty using time series Bayesian VAR models," Tourism Economics, , vol. 25(5), pages 734-756, August.
  47. Song, Haiyan & Qiu, Richard T.R. & Park, Jinah, 2019. "A review of research on tourism demand forecasting," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 75(C), pages 338-362.
  48. Athanasopoulos, George & Deng, Minfeng & Li, Gang & Song, Haiyan, 2014. "Modelling substitution between domestic and outbound tourism in Australia: A system-of-equations approach," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 45(C), pages 159-170.
  49. Recep Ulucak & Ali Gökhan Yücel & Salih Çağrı İlkay, 2020. "Dynamics of tourism demand in Turkey: Panel data analysis using gravity model," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(8), pages 1394-1414, December.
  50. Lorde, Troy & Li, Gang & Airey, David, 2014. "Modeling Caribbean Tourism Demand: An Augmented Gravity Approach," MPRA Paper 95476, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  51. Karma Emiljan, 2023. "Patriotic Tourism Demand in Albania: A System GMM Model Approach," South East European Journal of Economics and Business, Sciendo, vol. 18(2), pages 186-196, December.
  52. Hassani, Hossein & Webster, Allan & Silva, Emmanuel Sirimal & Heravi, Saeed, 2015. "Forecasting U.S. Tourist arrivals using optimal Singular Spectrum Analysis," Tourism Management, Elsevier, vol. 46(C), pages 322-335.
  53. Georgios Gatopoulos & Helen Gazopoulou & George A. Zombanakis, 2020. "Assessing the Impact of Domestic Economic Crises on Foreign Travel Data Recording: The Greek Case," European Research Studies Journal, European Research Studies Journal, vol. 0(3), pages 327-339.
  54. Charles, Jacky S. & Fullerton, Thomas M., Jr., 2012. "An Error Correction Analysis of Visitor Arrivals to the Bahamas," MPRA Paper 43064, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  55. Shaolong Suna & Dan Bi & Ju-e Guo & Shouyang Wang, 2020. "Seasonal and Trend Forecasting of Tourist Arrivals: An Adaptive Multiscale Ensemble Learning Approach," Papers 2002.08021, arXiv.org, revised Mar 2020.
  56. Dragouni, Mina & Filis, George & Gavriilidis, Konstantinos & Santamaria, Daniel, 2016. "Sentiment, mood and outbound tourism demand," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 60(C), pages 80-96.
  57. Andrea Saayman & Melville Saayman, 2015. "An ARDL Bounds Test Approach to Modelling Tourist Expenditure in South Africa," Tourism Economics, , vol. 21(1), pages 49-66, February.
  58. Lin, Vera Shanshan & Qin, Yuan & Li, Gang & Jiang, Fan, 2022. "Multiple effects of “distance” on domestic tourism demand: A comparison before and after the emergence of COVID-19," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
  59. Silvia Emili & Paolo Figini & Andrea Guizzardi, 2020. "Modelling international monthly tourism demand at the micro destination level with climate indicators and web-traffic data," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(7), pages 1129-1151, November.
  60. Paravee Maneejuk & Woraphon Yamaka & Wilawan Srichaikul, 2022. "Tourism Development and Economic Growth in Southeast Asian Countries under the Presence of Structural Break: Panel Kink with GME Estimator," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-17, February.
  61. Zhang, Yishuo & Li, Gang & Muskat, Birgit & Vu, Huy Quan & Law, Rob, 2021. "Predictivity of tourism demand data," Annals of Tourism Research, Elsevier, vol. 89(C).
  62. Smiljana Pivčević & Zvonimir Kuliš & Neven Šerić, 2016. "The pull factors of tourism demand: a panel data analysis for Latin American and Carribean countries," Tourism and Hospitality Industry 24, University of Rijeka, Faculty of Tourism and Hospitality Management.
  63. Xueying Huang & Yuanjun Han & Xuhong Gong & Xiangyan Liu, 2020. "Does the belt and road initiative stimulate China’s inbound tourist market? An empirical study using the gravity model with a DID method," Tourism Economics, , vol. 26(2), pages 299-323, March.
  64. Cheng Zhang & Wei Cheng & Wanli Zhang, 2023. "Does World Heritage inscription promote regional tourism? Evidence from China," Tourism Economics, , vol. 29(4), pages 929-951, June.
  65. Sigbjorn Tveteras & Kristin H. Roll, 2014. "Non-Stop Flights and Tourist Arrivals," Tourism Economics, , vol. 20(1), pages 5-20, February.
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