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What to Expect from the Lower Bound on Interest Rates: Evidence from Derivatives Prices

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Pablo Cuba-Borda & Sanjay R. Singh, 2024. "Understanding Persistent ZLB: Theory and Assessment," American Economic Journal: Macroeconomics, American Economic Association, vol. 16(3), pages 389-416, July.
  2. Bok, Brandyn & Mertens, Thomas M. & Williams, John C., 2025. "Macroeconomic drivers and the pricing of uncertainty, inflation, and bonds," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 172(C).
  3. David Staines, 2023. "Stochastic Equilibrium the Lucas Critique and Keynesian Economics," Papers 2312.16214, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2024.
  4. Janice C. Eberly & James H. Stock & Jonathan H. Wright, 2020. "The Federal Reserve's Current Framework for Monetary Policy: A Review and Assessment," International Journal of Central Banking, International Journal of Central Banking, vol. 16(1), pages 5-71, February.
  5. Hills, Timothy S. & Nakata, Taisuke & Schmidt, Sebastian, 2019. "Effective lower bound risk," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
  6. Sophia Cho & Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2025. "The Zero Lower Bound Remains a Medium-Term Risk," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2025(16), pages 1-6, July.
  7. Rostagno, Massimo & Altavilla, Carlo & Carboni, Giacomo & Lemke, Wolfgang & Motto, Roberto & Saint-Guilhem, Arthur, 2025. "An options-based impact study of the negative interest rate policy and forward guidance," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 152(C).
  8. Anna Cole & Julian Kozlowski & Joseph Martorana, 2025. "The Dynamics of Long-Run Inflation Expectations: A Market-Based Perspective," Review, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis, vol. 107(13), pages 1-14, September.
  9. Ryan Niladri Banerjee & Juan Contreras & Aaron Mehrotra & Fabrizio Zampolli, 2020. "Inflation at risk in advanced and emerging economies," BIS Working Papers 883, Bank for International Settlements.
  10. Mary C. Daly, 2025. "Dynamic Central Bank Communication," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2025(15), pages 1-6, June.
  11. Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2019. "Tying down the anchor: monetary policy rules and the lower bound on interest rates," Staff Reports 887, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  12. Sirio Aramonte, 2022. "Inflation risk and the labor market: beneath the surface of a flat Phillips curve," BIS Working Papers 1054, Bank for International Settlements.
  13. Michael D Bauer & Aeimit Lakdawala & Philippe Mueller, 2022. "Market-Based Monetary Policy Uncertainty," The Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 132(644), pages 1290-1308.
  14. Roussellet, Guillaume, 2025. "The term structure of macroeconomic risks at the effective lower bound," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
  15. He Nie & Jordan Roulleau-Pasdeloup, 2023. "The promises (and perils) of control-contingent forward guidance," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 49, pages 77-98, July.
  16. Michael Bauer & Mikhail Chernov, 2024. "Interest Rate Skewness and Biased Beliefs," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 79(1), pages 173-217, February.
  17. Mary C. Daly, 2022. "This Time Is Different…Because We Are," FRBSF Economic Letter, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, vol. 2022(05), pages 1-08, February.
  18. Schupp, Fabian, 2020. "The (ir)relevance of the nominal lower bound for real yield curve analysis," Discussion Papers 32/2020, Deutsche Bundesbank.
  19. Michael J. Lamla & Damjan Pfajfar & Lea Rendell, 2024. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in the Distribution of Inflation Expectations: Theory and Empirical Evidence from Nine Countries," Working Papers 24-26, Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland.
  20. Pablo A. Cuba-Borda & Sanjay R. Singh, 2019. "Understanding Persistent Stagnation," International Finance Discussion Papers 1243, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
  21. Banerjee, Ryan & Contreras, Juan & Mehrotra, Aaron & Zampolli, Fabrizio, 2024. "Inflation at risk in advanced and emerging market economies," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
  22. John C. Williams, 2023. "Effective dialogue and well anchored inflation expectations: essential tools for navigating challenging times," BIS Papers chapters, in: Bank for International Settlements (ed.), Central banking in the Americas: Lessons from two decades, volume 127, pages 149-162, Bank for International Settlements.
  23. Lamla, Michael & PJaifar, Damian & Rendell, Lea, 2019. "Inflation and Deflationary Biases in Inflation Expectations," Essex Finance Centre Working Papers 24771, University of Essex, Essex Business School.
  24. Woodford, Michael & Xie, Yinxi, 2022. "Fiscal and monetary stabilization policy at the zero lower bound: Consequences of limited foresight," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 125(C), pages 18-35.
  25. Robert Amano & Thomas Carter & Sylvain Leduc, 2019. "Precautionary Pricing: The Disinflationary Effects of ELB Risk," Working Paper Series 2019-26, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  26. Ghaderi, Mohammad & Seo, Sang Byung & Shaliastovich, Ivan, 2026. "Learning and subjective beliefs about good and bad inflation ranges," SAFE Working Paper Series 478, Leibniz Institute for Financial Research SAFE.
  27. Thomas M. Mertens & John C. Williams, 2019. "Monetary Policy Frameworks and the Effective Lower Bound on Interest Rates," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 109, pages 427-432, May.
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