Economic versus psychological forecasting. Evidence from consumer confidence surveys
Citations
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Cited by:
- De Baets, Shari & Harvey, Nigel, 2018. "Forecasting from time series subject to sporadic perturbations: Effectiveness of different types of forecasting support," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 163-180.
- Bovi, Maurizio, 2013. "Are the representative agent’s beliefs based on efficient econometric models?," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 37(3), pages 633-648.
- Abildgren, Kim & Hansen, Niels Lynggård & Kuchler, Andreas, 2018. "Overoptimism and house price bubbles," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 56(C), pages 1-14.
- Alla Koblyakova & Larisa Fleishman & Orly Furman, 2022. "Accuracy of Households’ Dwelling Valuations, Housing Demand and Mortgage Decisions: Israeli Case," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 65(1), pages 48-74, July.
- Bachmann, Rüdiger & Elstner, Steffen, 2015.
"Firm optimism and pessimism,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 79(C), pages 297-325.
- Rüdiger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner, 2013. "Firms' Optimism and Pessimism," NBER Working Papers 18989, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Steffen Elstner & Ruediger Bachmann, 2013. "Firms' Optimism and Pessimism," 2013 Meeting Papers 623, Society for Economic Dynamics.
- Ruediger Bachmann & Steffen Elstner, 2013. "Firms' Optimism and Pessimism," CESifo Working Paper Series 4176, CESifo.
- Lenka Mynaříková & Vít Pošta, 2023. "The Effect of Consumer Confidence and Subjective Well-being on Consumers’ Spending Behavior," Journal of Happiness Studies, Springer, vol. 24(2), pages 429-453, February.
- Elisabeth Beckmann & Isabella Moder, 2013. "Households’ Expectations and Macroeconomic Outcomes – Evidence from the Euro Survey," Focus on European Economic Integration, Oesterreichische Nationalbank (Austrian Central Bank), issue 4, pages 65-76.
- Sudeshna Ghosh, 2021. "Consumer Confidence and Consumer Spending in Brazil: A Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model Analysis," Arthaniti: Journal of Economic Theory and Practice, , vol. 20(1), pages 53-85, June.
- Claus, Edda & Nguyen, Viet Hoang, 2018. "Consumptor economicus: How do consumers form expectations on economic variables?," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 254-275.
- Edda Claus, Viet Hoang Nguyen, 2019. "The downside of being upbeat: The effects of consumer optimism on real economic activity," LCERPA Working Papers 0117, Laurier Centre for Economic Research and Policy Analysis, revised 01 May 2019.
- Paradiso, Antonio & Kumar, Saten & Margani, Patrizia, 2014. "Are Italian consumer confidence adjustments asymmetric? A macroeconomic and psychological motives approach," Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 43(C), pages 48-63.
- Michael Dietrich, 2010. "Efficiency and profitability: a panel data analysis of UK manufacturing firms, 1993-2007," Working Papers 2010003, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2010.
- Kristoffer Persson, 2020. "Economic Reality, Economic Media and Individuals' Expectations," Papers 2007.13823, arXiv.org.
- Argentiero, Amedeo & Bovi, Maurizio & Cerqueti, Roy, 2016. "Bayesian estimation and entropy for economic dynamic stochastic models: An exploration of overconsumption," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 143-157.
- Sarah Brown & Mark N. Harris & Christopher Spencer & Karl Taylor, 2024.
"Financial Expectations and Household Consumption: Does Middle‐Inflation Matter?,"
Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 56(4), pages 741-768, June.
- Sarah Brown & Mark N. Harris & Christopher Spencer & Karl Taylor, 2020. "Financial Expectations and Household Consumption: Does Middle Inflation Matter?," Working Papers 2020002, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics.
- Brown, Sarah & Harris, Mark N. & Spencer, Christopher & Taylor, Karl, 2020. "Financial Expectations and Household Consumption: Does Middle Inflation Matter?," IZA Discussion Papers 13023, IZA Network @ LISER.
- E. Kilic & S. Cankaya, 2016. "Consumer confidence and economic activity: a factor augmented VAR approach," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(32), pages 3062-3080, July.
- Witt, Ulrich & Binder, Martin, 2013.
"Disentangling motivational and experiential aspects of “utility” – A neuroeconomics perspective,"
Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 27-40.
- Ulrich Witt & Martin Binder, 2011. "Disentangling Motivational and Experiential Aspects of "Utility" - A Neuroeconomics Perspective," Papers on Economics and Evolution 2011-20, Philipps University Marburg, Department of Geography.
- Balleer, Almut & Duernecker, Georg & Forstner, Susanne & Goensch, Johannes, 2023.
"Biased expectations and labor market outcomes: Evidence from German survey data and implications for the East-West wage gap,"
CEPR Discussion Papers
18005, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
- Almut Balleer & Georg Duernecker & Susanne Forstner & Johannes Goensch, 2023. "Biased Expectations and Labor Market Outcomes: Evidence from German Survey Data and Implications for the East-West Wage Gap," CESifo Working Paper Series 10336, CESifo.
- Balleer, Almut & Duernecker, Georg & Forstner, Susanne & Goensch, Johannes, 2024. "Biased expectations and labor market outcomes: Evidence from German survey data and implications for the East-West wage gap," Ruhr Economic Papers 1062, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
- Claus, Edda & Nguyen, Viet Hoang, 2023. "Biased expectations," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 154(C).
- Dickerson, Andy & Green, Francis, 2012.
"Fears and realisations of employment insecurity,"
Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 19(2), pages 198-210.
- Andy Dickerson & Francis Green, 2009. "Fears and realisations of employment insecurity," Working Papers 2009016, The University of Sheffield, Department of Economics, revised Nov 2009.
- Maurizio Bovi, 2016. "The tale of two expectations," Quality & Quantity: International Journal of Methodology, Springer, vol. 50(6), pages 2677-2705, November.
- Maurizio Bovi & Roy Cerqueti, 2016. "Forecasting macroeconomic fundamentals in economic crises," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 247(2), pages 451-469, December.
- Luigi Giamboni & Emanuele Millemaci & Robert J. Waldmann, 2013.
"Evaluating how predictable errors in expected income affect consumption,"
Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 45(28), pages 4004-4021, October.
- Giamboni, Luigi & Millemaci, Emanuele & Waldmann, Robert, 2007. "Evaluating how predictable errors in expected income affect consumption," MPRA Paper 12939, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Dimitris Anastasiou & Panayotis Kapopoulos & Kalliopi-Maria Zekente, 2023. "Sentimental Shocks and House Prices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 67(4), pages 627-655, November.
- Dickinson, David L., 2024. "Deliberation, mood response, and the confirmation bias in the religious belief domain," Journal of Behavioral and Experimental Economics (formerly The Journal of Socio-Economics), Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
- Argentiero, Amedeo & Bovi, Maurizio & Cerqueti, Roy, 2015. "Over consumption. A horse race of Bayesian DSGE models," MPRA Paper 66445, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- Robert Gausden & Mohammad S. Hasan, 2016. "Would information on consumer confidence have helped to predict UK household expenditure during the recent economic crisis?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(18), pages 1695-1709, April.
- Maurizio Bovi, 2014. "Shocks and the Expectations Formation Process. A Tale of Two Expectations," Natural Field Experiments 00390, The Field Experiments Website.
- Roger Fernandez-Urbano & Nevena Kulic, 2020. "Requiem for a Dream: Perceived Economic Conditions and Subjective Well-Being in Times of Prosperity and Economic Crisis," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 151(3), pages 793-813, October.
- Peisong Han & Liang Li & Mengjie Xu & Yujia Tian & Zekun Wang, 2026. "The impact of people’s perception of livelihood risks on household consumption in China," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, December.
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