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Dollar jump fears, 1984-1992: distributional abnormalities implicit in currency futures options

Citations

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  1. Audrino, Francesco & Fengler, Matthias R., 2015. "Are classical option pricing models consistent with observed option second-order moments? Evidence from high-frequency data," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 46-63.
  2. Karen K. Lewis, 2011. "Global Asset Pricing," Annual Review of Financial Economics, Annual Reviews, vol. 3(1), pages 435-466, December.
  3. Carr, Peter & Wu, Liuren, 2007. "Stochastic skew in currency options," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 86(1), pages 213-247, October.
  4. Xu, Weidong & Wu, Chongfeng & Li, Hongyi, 2011. "Accounting for the impact of higher order moments in foreign equity option pricing model," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 1726-1729, July.
  5. Chien-Hsiu Lin & Shih-Kuei Lin & An-Chi Wu, 2015. "Foreign exchange option pricing in the currency cycle with jump risks," Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, Springer, vol. 44(4), pages 755-789, May.
  6. I‐Doun Kuo & Kai‐Li Wang, 2009. "Implied deterministic volatility functions: An empirical test for Euribor options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(4), pages 319-347, April.
  7. Jurczenko, Emmanuel & Maillet, Bertrand & Negrea, Bogdan, 2002. "Revisited multi-moment approximate option pricing models a general comparison (Part 1)," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 24950, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
  8. Li, Guangzhong & Zhu, Jiaqing & Li, Jie, 2016. "Understanding bilateral exchange rate risks," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 103-129.
  9. Coutant, Sophie & Jondeau, Eric & Rockinger, Michael, 2001. "Reading PIBOR futures options smiles: The 1997 snap election," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(11), pages 1957-1987, November.
  10. Yi-Hao Lai & Yi-Chiuan Wang & Wei-Shih Chung, 2018. "Initial Jump and Recovering Jump in the S&P 500 Index Returns: A Jump-Recovering-Switching Approach," Journal of Economics and Management, College of Business, Feng Chia University, Taiwan, vol. 14(1), pages 51-66, February.
  11. Malz, Allan M., 1996. "Using option prices to estimate realignment probabilities in the European Monetary System: the case of sterling-mark," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 15(5), pages 717-748, October.
  12. Panagiotelis, Anastasios & Smith, Michael, 2010. "Bayesian skew selection for multivariate models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 54(7), pages 1824-1839, July.
  13. Kim, Kyong-Hui & Yun, Sim & Kim, Nam-Ung & Ri, Ju-Hyuang, 2019. "Pricing formula for European currency option and exchange option in a generalized jump mixed fractional Brownian motion with time-varying coefficients," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 522(C), pages 215-231.
  14. Gabaix, Xavier & Verdelhan, Adrien & Rancière, Romain & Farhi, Emmanuel & Fraiberger, Samuel P., 2009. "Crash Risk in Currency Markets," CEPR Discussion Papers 7322, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  15. Cho-Hoi Hui & Chi-Fai Lo, 2008. "A Note on Estimating Realignment Probabilities -- A First-Passage-Time Approach," Working Papers 0809, Hong Kong Monetary Authority.
  16. Christoffersen, Peter & Jacobs, Kris & Chang, Bo Young, 2013. "Forecasting with Option-Implied Information," Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 581-656, Elsevier.
  17. Soderlind, Paul & Svensson, Lars, 1997. "New techniques to extract market expectations from financial instruments," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 40(2), pages 383-429, October.
  18. Xu, Weidong & Wu, Chongfeng & Li, Hongyi, 2011. "Foreign equity option pricing under stochastic volatility model with double jumps," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 28(4), pages 1857-1863, July.
  19. Henri Bertholon & Alain Monfort & Fulvio Pegoraro, 2006. "Pricing and Inference with Mixtures of Conditionally Normal Processes," Working Papers 2006-28, Center for Research in Economics and Statistics.
  20. Björn Lutz, 2010. "Pricing of Derivatives on Mean-Reverting Assets," Lecture Notes in Economics and Mathematical Systems, Springer, number 978-3-642-02909-7, March.
  21. Ahmad Telfah, "undated". "" Do Financial Planners Take Financial Crashes In Their Advice: Dynamic Asset Allocation Under Thick Tails And Fast Volatility Updating," API-Working Paper Series 0604, Arab Planning Institute - Kuwait, Information Center.
  22. Jie-Cao He & Hsing-Hua Chang & Ting-Fu Chen & Shih-Kuei Lin, 2023. "Upside and downside correlated jump risk premia of currency options and expected returns," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 1-58, December.
  23. Lee, Gabriel S. & Boss, Michael & Klisz, Chris, 2001. "Empirical Performance of the Czech and Hungarian Index Options under Jump," Economics Series 91, Institute for Advanced Studies.
  24. Ako Doffou & Jimmy E. Hilliard, 2001. "Pricing Currency Options Under Stochastic Interest Rates And Jump-Diffusion Processes," Journal of Financial Research, Southern Finance Association;Southwestern Finance Association, vol. 24(4), pages 565-585, December.
  25. José Fajardo & Ernesto Mordecki, 2006. "Skewness Premium with Lévy Processes," IBMEC RJ Economics Discussion Papers 2006-04, Economics Research Group, IBMEC Business School - Rio de Janeiro.
  26. Wajih Abbasi & Petr H jek & Diana Ismailova & Saira Yessimzhanova & Zouhaier Ben Khelifa & Kholnazar Amonov, 2016. "Kou Jump Diffusion Model: An Application to the Standard and Poor 500, Nasdaq 100 and Russell 2000 Index Options," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 6(4), pages 1918-1929.
  27. Jose M. Campa & P.H. Kevin Chang & James F. Refalo, 1999. "An Options-Based Analysis of Emerging Market Exchange Rate Expectations: Brazil's Real Plan, 1994-1997," NBER Working Papers 6929, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  28. Lim, Terence & Lo, Andrew W. & Merton, Robert C. & Scholes, Myron S., 2006. "The Derivatives Sourcebook," Foundations and Trends(R) in Finance, now publishers, vol. 1(5–6), pages 365-572, April.
  29. Fajardo, José & Mordecki, Ernesto, 2008. "Duality and Symmetry with Time-Changed Lévy Processes," Brazilian Review of Econometrics, Sociedade Brasileira de Econometria - SBE, vol. 28(1), May.
  30. Irving Fisher Committee, 2003. "Proceedings of the IFC Conference on "Challenges to Central Bank Statistical Activities", Basel, August 2002," IFC Bulletins, Bank for International Settlements, number 14.
  31. Michael Funke & Julius Loermann & Richhild Moessner, 2017. "The discontinuation of the EUR/CHF minimum exchange rate in January 2015: was it expected?," BIS Working Papers 652, Bank for International Settlements.
  32. Ammann, Manuel & Buesser, Ralf, 2013. "Variance Risk Premiums in Foreign Exchange Markets," Working Papers on Finance 1304, University of St. Gallen, School of Finance.
  33. Cao, Melanie, 2001. "Systematic jump risks in a small open economy: simultaneous equilibrium valuation of options on the market portfolio and the exchange rate," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 191-218, April.
  34. Hui, C.H. & Lo, C.F., 2009. "A note on estimating realignment probabilities - A first-passage-time approach," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 28(5), pages 804-812, September.
  35. Sun, Qi & Xu, Weidong, 2015. "Pricing foreign equity option with stochastic volatility," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 437(C), pages 89-100.
  36. José Fajardo, 2014. "Symmetry and Bates’ rule in Ornstein–Uhlenbeck stochastic volatility models," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 37(2), pages 319-327, October.
  37. Jondeau, Eric & Rockinger, Michael, 2000. "Reading the smile: the message conveyed by methods which infer risk neutral densities," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 19(6), pages 885-915, December.
  38. Abraham Atsiwo, 2025. "A three-step machine learning approach to predict market bubbles with financial news," Papers 2510.16636, arXiv.org.
  39. Busch, Thomas & Christensen, Bent Jesper & Nielsen, Morten Ørregaard, 2011. "The role of implied volatility in forecasting future realized volatility and jumps in foreign exchange, stock, and bond markets," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 160(1), pages 48-57, January.
  40. Rzepkowski, Bronka, 2003. "The devaluation expectations in Hong Kong and their determinants," Journal of the Japanese and International Economies, Elsevier, vol. 17(2), pages 174-191, June.
  41. Melanie Cao & Batur Celik, 2021. "Valuation of bitcoin options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(7), pages 1007-1026, July.
  42. Jean-Thomas Bernard & Lynda Khalaf & Maral Kichian & Sebastien Mcmahon, 2008. "Forecasting commodity prices: GARCH, jumps, and mean reversion," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(4), pages 279-291.
  43. Yen-Hsien Lee & Ya-Ling Huang & Chun-Yu Wu, 2013. "Conditional Jump Dynamics in the Stock Prices of Alternative Energy Companies," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 3(3), pages 288-296.
  44. Moraux, Franck, 2004. "Modeling the business risk of financially weakened firms: A new approach for corporate bond pricing," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 13(1), pages 47-61.
  45. Campa, Jose M. & Chang, P. H. Kevin & Reider, Robert L., 1998. "Implied exchange rate distributions: evidence from OTC option markets1," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 17(1), pages 117-160, February.
  46. Chuang, Ming-Che & Wen, Chin-Hsiang & Lin, Shih-Kuei, 2020. "Valuation and empirical analysis of currency options," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 71-91.
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