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Exponential smoothing with a damped multiplicative trend

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Kim, Jae H. & Wong, Kevin & Athanasopoulos, George & Liu, Shen, 2011. "Beyond point forecasting: Evaluation of alternative prediction intervals for tourist arrivals," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 887-901.
  2. Rob J Hyndman & Muhammad Akram, 2006. "Some Nonlinear Exponential Smoothing Models are Unstable," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 3/06, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  3. A A Syntetos & J E Boylan & S M Disney, 2009. "Forecasting for inventory planning: a 50-year review," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 60(1), pages 149-160, May.
  4. Gonghao Duan & Ruiqing Niu, 2018. "Lake Area Analysis Using Exponential Smoothing Model and Long Time-Series Landsat Images in Wuhan, China," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 10(1), pages 1-16, January.
  5. Fernández-Amador, Octavio & Francois, Joseph F. & Oberdabernig, Doris A. & Tomberger, Patrick, 2020. "The methane footprint of nations: Stylized facts from a global panel dataset," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
  6. Fotios Petropoulos & Spyros Makridakis, 2020. "Forecasting the novel coronavirus COVID-19," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(3), pages 1-8, March.
  7. Dinesh Reddy Vangumalli & Konstantinos Nikolopoulos & Konstantia Litsiou, 2019. "Clustering, Forecasting and Cluster Forecasting: using k-medoids, k-NNs and random forests for cluster selection," Working Papers 19016, Bangor Business School, Prifysgol Bangor University (Cymru / Wales).
  8. Athanasopoulos, George & Hyndman, Rob J. & Song, Haiyan & Wu, Doris C., 2011. "The tourism forecasting competition," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(3), pages 822-844.
  9. Niematallah Elamin & Mototsugu Fukushige, 2018. "Forecasting extreme seasonal tourism demand: the case of Rishiri Island in Japan," Asia-Pacific Journal of Regional Science, Springer, vol. 2(2), pages 279-296, August.
  10. Amiri, Arshia & Bakhshoodeh, Mohamad & Najafi, Bahaeddin, 2011. "Forecasting seasonality in prices of potatoes and onions: challenge between geostatistical models, neuro fuzzy approach and Winter method," MPRA Paper 34093, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  11. J D Bermúdez & J V Segura & E Vercher, 2006. "Improving demand forecasting accuracy using nonlinear programming software," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 57(1), pages 94-100, January.
  12. Kourentzes, Nikolaos & Petropoulos, Fotios & Trapero, Juan R., 2014. "Improving forecasting by estimating time series structural components across multiple frequencies," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 291-302.
  13. Athanasopoulos, George & Ahmed, Roman A. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2009. "Hierarchical forecasts for Australian domestic tourism," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 146-166.
  14. de Silva, Ashton J, 2010. "Forecasting Australian Macroeconomic variables, evaluating innovations state space approaches," MPRA Paper 27411, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  15. Jan G. De Gooijer & Rob J. Hyndman, 2005. "25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 12/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  16. R Fildes & K Nikolopoulos & S F Crone & A A Syntetos, 2008. "Forecasting and operational research: a review," Journal of the Operational Research Society, Palgrave Macmillan;The OR Society, vol. 59(9), pages 1150-1172, September.
  17. Song, Haiyan & Gao, Bastian Z. & Lin, Vera S., 2013. "Combining statistical and judgmental forecasts via a web-based tourism demand forecasting system," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(2), pages 295-310.
  18. Tiago Silveira Gontijo & Marcelo Azevedo Costa, 2020. "Forecasting Hierarchical Time Series in Power Generation," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 13(14), pages 1-17, July.
  19. Muslima Zahan & Ron S. Kenett, 2013. "Modeling and Forecasting Energy Consumption in the Manufacturing Industry in South Asia," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 3(1), pages 87-98.
  20. Rostami-Tabar, Bahman & Babai, Mohamed Zied & Ducq, Yves & Syntetos, Aris, 2015. "Non-stationary demand forecasting by cross-sectional aggregation," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 170(PA), pages 297-309.
  21. Bahman Rostami‐Tabar & Mohamed Zied Babai & Aris Syntetos & Yves Ducq, 2014. "A note on the forecast performance of temporal aggregation," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 61(7), pages 489-500, October.
  22. Niematallah Elamin & Mototsugu Fukushige, 2016. "Forecasting extreme seasonal tourism demand," Discussion Papers in Economics and Business 16-23, Osaka University, Graduate School of Economics.
  23. Dimitrov, Preslav & Daleva, Diana & Stoyanova, Milena, 2017. "Forecasting of the Volume of the SPA and Wellness Tourism Receipts in the South-West Bulgaria," Journal of Spatial and Organizational Dynamics, Cinturs - Research Centre for Tourism, Sustainability and Well-being, University of Algarve, vol. 5(2), pages 83-99.
  24. Oscar Trull & Angel Peiró-Signes & J. Carlos García-Díaz, 2019. "Electricity Forecasting Improvement in a Destination Using Tourism Indicators," Sustainability, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 11(13), pages 1-16, July.
  25. Li, Qinyun & Disney, Stephen M. & Gaalman, Gerard, 2014. "Avoiding the bullwhip effect using Damped Trend forecasting and the Order-Up-To replenishment policy," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C), pages 3-16.
  26. Ferbar Tratar, Liljana & Mojškerc, Blaž & Toman, Aleš, 2016. "Demand forecasting with four-parameter exponential smoothing," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 181(PA), pages 162-173.
  27. Lingbing Feng & Yanlin Shi, 2018. "Forecasting mortality rates: multivariate or univariate models?," Journal of Population Research, Springer, vol. 35(3), pages 289-318, September.
  28. Hyndman, Rob J. & Khandakar, Yeasmin, 2008. "Automatic Time Series Forecasting: The forecast Package for R," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 27(i03).
  29. De Gooijer, Jan G. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2006. "25 years of time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 443-473.
  30. Yavuz Acar, 2014. "Forecasting Method Selection Based on Operational Performance," Bogazici Journal, Review of Social, Economic and Administrative Studies, Bogazici University, Department of Economics, vol. 28(1), pages 95-114.
  31. George P. Papaioannou & Christos Dikaiakos & Anargyros Dramountanis & Panagiotis G. Papaioannou, 2016. "Analysis and Modeling for Short- to Medium-Term Load Forecasting Using a Hybrid Manifold Learning Principal Component Model and Comparison with Classical Statistical Models (SARIMAX, Exponential Smoot," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 9(8), pages 1-40, August.
  32. Francisco Zamora-Martínez & Pablo Romeu & Paloma Botella-Rocamora & Juan Pardo, 2013. "Towards Energy Efficiency: Forecasting Indoor Temperature via Multivariate Analysis," Energies, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 6(9), pages 1-21, September.
  33. Bahman Rostami‐Tabar & M. Zied Babai & Aris Syntetos & Yves Ducq, 2013. "Demand forecasting by temporal aggregation," Naval Research Logistics (NRL), John Wiley & Sons, vol. 60(6), pages 479-498, September.
  34. James W. Taylor, 2004. "Smooth transition exponential smoothing," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 23(6), pages 385-404.
  35. Muhammad Akram & Rob J. Hyndman & J. Keith Ord, 2007. "Non-linear exponential smoothing and positive data," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 14/07, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  36. Gardner, Everette Jr., 2006. "Exponential smoothing: The state of the art--Part II," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(4), pages 637-666.
  37. Yanlin Shi & Sixian Tang & Jackie Li, 2020. "A Two-Population Extension of the Exponential Smoothing State Space Model with a Smoothing Penalisation Scheme," Risks, MDPI, Open Access Journal, vol. 8(3), pages 1-18, June.
  38. Svetunkov, Ivan & Kourentzes, Nikolaos, 2015. "Complex Exponential Smoothing," MPRA Paper 69394, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  39. E. Vercher & A. Corberán-Vallet & J. Segura & J. Bermúdez, 2012. "Initial conditions estimation for improving forecast accuracy in exponential smoothing," TOP: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 20(2), pages 517-533, July.
  40. Sun, Zhentian & Li, Xuhong & Xie, Yuanchang, 2014. "A comparison of innovative financing and general fiscal investment strategies for second-class highways: Perspectives for building a sustainable financing strategy," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 35(C), pages 193-201.
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