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Asymmetric impacts of fundamentals on the natural gas futures volatility: An augmented GARCH approach

Citations

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Cited by:

  1. Chang, Chia-Lin & McAleer, Michael & Wang, Yanghuiting, 2018. "Testing Co-Volatility spillovers for natural gas spot, futures and ETF spot using dynamic conditional covariances," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 984-997.
  2. Gong, Xue & Lai, Ping & He, Mengxi & Wen, Danyan, 2024. "Climate risk and energy futures high frequency volatility prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
  3. Kannika Duangnate & James W. Mjelde, 2020. "Prequential forecasting in the presence of structure breaks in natural gas spot markets," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(5), pages 2363-2384, November.
  4. Zhang, Yu & Yu, Xin & Zhang, Peng & Zhang, Haoran, 2025. "Price impacts of natural gas chokepoints on China: an energy security analysis of the Russia-Ukraine conflict," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
  5. Josef Novotny & Petr Hajek, 2026. "A hybrid adaptive trading strategy integrating investor sentiment for precious metal ETFs," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 12(1), pages 1-33, December.
  6. Christian Urom & Gideon Ndubuisi & Jude Ozor, 2021. "Economic activity, and financial and commodity markets’ shocks: An analysis of implied volatility indexes," International Economics, CEPII research center, issue 165, pages 51-66.
  7. Khalfaoui, Rabeh & Goodell, John W. & Mefteh-Wali, Salma & Chishti, Muhammad Zubair & Gozgor, Giray, 2024. "Impact of climate risk shocks on global food and agricultural markets: A multiscale and tail connectedness analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
  8. Urom, Christian & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Ozor, Jude, 2021. "Economic activity, and financial and commodity markets’ shocks: An analysis of implied volatility indexes," International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 51-66.
  9. Sherzod N. Tashpulatov, 2021. "Modeling and Estimating Volatility of Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-11, March.
  10. Huang, Zhouchun & Zheng, Qipeng Phil, 2020. "A multistage stochastic programming approach for preventive maintenance scheduling of GENCOs with natural gas contract," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 287(3), pages 1036-1051.
  11. Dai, Peng-Fei & Xiong, Xiong & Zhang, Jin & Zhou, Wei-Xing, 2022. "The role of global economic policy uncertainty in predicting crude oil futures volatility: Evidence from a two-factor GARCH-MIDAS model," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  12. Chao Liang & Feng Ma & Lu Wang & Qing Zeng, 2021. "The information content of uncertainty indices for natural gas futures volatility forecasting," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(7), pages 1310-1324, November.
  13. Urom, Christian & Ndubuisi, Gideon & Guesmi, Khaled, 2022. "How do financial and commodity markets volatility react to real economic activity?," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 47(PB).
  14. Yanting Chen & Peter R. Hartley & Yihui Lan, 2023. "Temperature, storage, and natural gas futures prices," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(4), pages 549-575, April.
  15. Hailemariam, Abebe & Smyth, Russell, 2019. "What drives volatility in natural gas prices?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 731-742.
  16. Monteux, Manou & Arcuri, Maria Cristina & Gandolfi, Gino & Caselli, Stefano, 2025. "Can extreme weather forecasts lead to a risk premium? Evidence of a non-linear response in U.S. natural gas futures," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 80(C).
  17. Dimitrios I. Vortelinos & Konstantinos Gkillas, 2018. "Intraday realised volatility forecasting and announcements," International Journal of Banking, Accounting and Finance, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 9(1), pages 88-118.
  18. Sherzod N. Tashpulatov, 2022. "Modeling Electricity Price Dynamics Using Flexible Distributions," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-15, May.
  19. Wang, Lu & Wang, Xing & Liang, Chao, 2024. "Natural gas volatility prediction via a novel combination of GARCH-MIDAS and one-class SVM," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
  20. Pham, Son Duy & Nguyen, Thao Thac Thanh & Do, Hung Xuan, 2023. "Natural gas and the utility sector nexus in the U.S.: Quantile connectedness and portfolio implications," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
  21. Horváth, Roman & Kalistová, Anna & Lyócsa, Štefan & Miškufová, Marta & Moravcová, Michala, 2025. "Do hurricanes cause storm on the stock market? The case of US energy companies," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 97(C).
  22. Sherzod N. Tashpulatov, 2021. "The Impact of Regulatory Reforms on Demand Weighted Average Prices," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-15, May.
  23. Gong, Xue & Ye, Xin & Zhang, Weiguo & Zhang, Yue, 2023. "Predicting energy futures high-frequency volatility using technical indicators: The role of interaction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C).
  24. Kshitij Sharma & Yogesh K. Dwivedi & Bhimaraya Metri, 2024. "Incorporating causality in energy consumption forecasting using deep neural networks," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 339(1), pages 537-572, August.
  25. Liang, Chao & Xia, Zhenglan & Lai, Xiaodong & Wang, Lu, 2022. "Natural gas volatility prediction: Fresh evidence from extreme weather and extended GARCH-MIDAS-ES model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 116(C).
  26. Zhuolin Wu & Jiaqi Zhou & Xiaobing Yu, 2025. "Forecast Natural Gas Price by an Extreme Learning Machine Framework Based on Multi-Strategy Grey Wolf Optimizer and Signal Decomposition," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(12), pages 1-37, June.
  27. Luo, Keyu & Guo, Qiang & Li, Xiafei, 2022. "Can the return connectedness indices from grey energy to natural gas help to forecast the natural gas returns?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
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