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A quasi-Bayesian local likelihood approach to time varying parameter VAR models

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Cited by:

  1. Elie Bouri & Mahdi Ghaemi Asl & Sahar Darehshiri & David Gabauer, 2024. "Asymmetric connectedness between conventional and Islamic cryptocurrencies: Evidence from good and bad volatility spillovers," Financial Innovation, Springer;Southwestern University of Finance and Economics, vol. 10(1), pages 1-26, December.
  2. Bowen Fu & Mengheng Li & Qazi Haque, 2025. "Exchange Rates, Uncovered Interest Parity, and Time‐Varying Fama Regressions," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 40(3), pages 310-324, April.
  3. Kanazawa, Nobuyuki, 2020. "Radial basis functions neural networks for nonlinear time series analysis and time-varying effects of supply shocks," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 64(C).
  4. Baruník, Jozef & Kurka, Josef, 2024. "Risks of heterogeneously persistent higher moments," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 96(PA).
  5. Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2024. "The macroeconomy as a random forest," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 39(3), pages 401-421, April.
  6. Thorsten Drautzburg & Jesús Fernández-Villaverde & Pablo A. Guerrón-Quintana & Dick Oosthuizen, 2024. "Filtering with Limited Information," NBER Working Papers 32754, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
  7. Jonathan Acosta-Smith & Jozef Barunik & Eddie Gerba & Petros Katsoulis, 2024. "Moderation or indulgence? Effects of bank distribution restrictions during stress," Bank of England working papers 1053, Bank of England.
  8. Albrecht, Peter & Kočenda, Evžen, 2025. "Event-driven changes in volatility connectedness in global forex markets," Journal of Multinational Financial Management, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
  9. Albrecht, Peter & Kočenda, Evžen & de Oliveira, Alexandre Silva & Ceretta, Paulo Sergio & Drábek, Michal, 2025. "Event-driven changes in connectedness among commodities and commodity currencies: A quantile, network and probabilistic analysis," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 75(C).
  10. Goodhead, Robert, 2024. "The economic impact of yield curve compression: Evidence from euro area forward guidance and unconventional monetary policy," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
  11. Yayi Yan & Jiti Gao & Bin Peng, 2021. "On Time-Varying VAR models: Estimation, Testing and Impulse Response Analysis," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 17/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  12. Hauzenberger Niko & Huber Florian & Koop Gary, 2024. "Dynamic Shrinkage Priors for Large Time-Varying Parameter Regressions Using Scalable Markov Chain Monte Carlo Methods," Studies in Nonlinear Dynamics & Econometrics, De Gruyter, vol. 28(2), pages 201-225, April.
  13. Mykola Babiak & Jozef Barunik, 2021. "Currency Network Risk," Papers 2101.09738, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2021.
  14. Chatziantoniou, Ioannis & Gabauer, David & Perez de Gracia, Fernando, 2022. "Tail risk connectedness in the refined petroleum market: A first look at the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
  15. Canova, Fabio & Ferroni, Filippo, 2020. "A hitchhiker guide to empirical macro models," CEPR Discussion Papers 15446, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
  16. Baruník, Jozef & Ellington, Michael, 2024. "Persistence in financial connectedness and systemic risk," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 314(1), pages 393-407.
  17. Boubekeur Baba, 2024. "Spillovers of good and bad volatility in Asian emerging markets: insights from global and regional perspectives," Journal of Economics and Finance, Springer;Academy of Economics and Finance, vol. 48(4), pages 1233-1274, December.
  18. Lastrapes, William D. & Wiesen, Thomas F.P., 2025. "Regional bank failures and volatility transmission," Journal of Financial Stability, Elsevier, vol. 78(C).
  19. Petrova, Katerina, 2022. "Asymptotically valid Bayesian inference in the presence of distributional misspecification in VAR models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 230(1), pages 154-182.
  20. Magnus Reif, 2022. "Time‐Varying Dynamics of the German Business Cycle: A Comprehensive Investigation," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 84(1), pages 80-102, February.
  21. Kapetanios, George & Masolo, Riccardo M. & Petrova, Katerina & Waldron, Matthew, 2019. "A time-varying parameter structural model of the UK economy," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 1-1.
  22. Chetan Dave & Marco M. Sorge, 2025. "Fat‐tailed DSGE models: A survey and new results," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 39(1), pages 146-171, February.
  23. Yayi Yan & Jiti Gao & Bin peng, 2020. "A Class of Time-Varying Vector Moving Average (infinity) Models," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 39/20, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
  24. Markus Heinrich & Magnus Reif, 2020. "Real-Time Forecasting Using Mixed-Frequency VARS with Time-Varying Parameters," CESifo Working Paper Series 8054, CESifo.
  25. Jozef Barunik & Michael Ellington, 2020. "Dynamic Network Risk," Papers 2006.04639, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2020.
  26. Nikolaos Antonakakis & Ioannis Chatziantoniou & David Gabauer, 2020. "Refined Measures of Dynamic Connectedness based on Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressions," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 13(4), pages 1-23, April.
  27. Dellaportas, Petros & Titsias, Michalis K. & Petrova, Katerina & Plataniotis, Anastasios, 2023. "Scalable inference for a full multivariate stochastic volatility model," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 232(2), pages 501-520.
  28. Sila, Jan & Kocenda, Evzen & Kristoufek, Ladislav & Kukacka, Jiri, 2024. "Good vs. bad volatility in major cryptocurrencies: The dichotomy and drivers of connectedness," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 96(C).
  29. Emanuela Ciapanna & Marco Taboga, 2019. "Bayesian Analysis of Coefficient Instability in Dynamic Regressions," Econometrics, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-32, June.
  30. Ellington, Michael & Fu, Xi & Zhu, Yunyi, 2023. "Real estate illiquidity and returns: A time-varying regional perspective," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 58-72.
  31. Baruník, Jozef & Bevilacqua, Mattia & Faff, Robert, 2024. "Dynamic industry uncertainty networks and the business cycle," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
  32. Joshua C.C. Chan & Rodney W. Strachan, 2023. "Bayesian State Space Models In Macroeconometrics," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 58-75, February.
  33. Valeria Gargiulo & Christian Matthes & Katerina Petrova, 2024. "Monetary Policy across Inflation Regimes," Staff Reports 1083, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
  34. Karanasos, Menelaos & Paraskevopoulos, Alexandros & Magdalinos, Anastasios & Canepa, Alessandra, 2024. "A Unified Theory for Arma Models with Varying Coefficients: One Solution Fits All," Department of Economics and Statistics Cognetti de Martiis. Working Papers 202413, University of Turin.
  35. Yayi Yan & Jiti Gao & Bin Peng, 2020. "A Class of Time-Varying Vector Moving Average Models: Nonparametric Kernel Estimation and Application," Papers 2010.01492, arXiv.org.
  36. Yousuf, Kashif & Ng, Serena, 2021. "Boosting high dimensional predictive regressions with time varying parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 224(1), pages 60-87.
  37. Zakipour-Saber, Shayan, 2019. "Forecasting in the euro area: The role of the US long rate," Economic Letters 5/EL/19, Central Bank of Ireland.
  38. Li, Xixi & Yuan, Jingsong, 2024. "DeepTVAR: Deep learning for a time-varying VAR model with extension to integrated VAR," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 40(3), pages 1123-1133.
  39. Mykola Babiak & Jozef Barunik, 2021. "Uncertainty Network Risk and Currency Returns," CERGE-EI Working Papers wp687, The Center for Economic Research and Graduate Education - Economics Institute, Prague.
  40. Philippe Goulet Coulombe, 2020. "Time-Varying Parameters as Ridge Regressions," Papers 2009.00401, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2024.
  41. Yayi Yan & Jiti Gao & Bin Peng, 2021. "Asymptotics for Time-Varying Vector MA(∞) Processes," Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers 22/21, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
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