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Electricity price forecasting by a hybrid model, combining wavelet transform, ARMA and kernel-based extreme learning machine methods

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  1. Lu, Xin & Qiu, Jing & Lei, Gang & Zhu, Jianguo, 2022. "Scenarios modelling for forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: Case studies in Australia," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 308(C).
  2. Xiaoming Xie & Meiping Li & Du Zhang, 2021. "A Multiscale Electricity Price Forecasting Model Based on Tensor Fusion and Deep Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-14, November.
  3. Bigerna, Simona, 2018. "Estimating temperature effects on the Italian electricity market," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 118(C), pages 257-269.
  4. Meng, Anbo & Wang, Peng & Zhai, Guangsong & Zeng, Cong & Chen, Shun & Yang, Xiaoyi & Yin, Hao, 2022. "Electricity price forecasting with high penetration of renewable energy using attention-based LSTM network trained by crisscross optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 254(PA).
  5. Lago, Jesus & De Ridder, Fjo & Vrancx, Peter & De Schutter, Bart, 2018. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices in Europe: The importance of considering market integration," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 211(C), pages 890-903.
  6. Shen, Meng & Lu, Yujie & Wei, Kua Harn & Cui, Qingbin, 2020. "Prediction of household electricity consumption and effectiveness of concerted intervention strategies based on occupant behaviour and personality traits," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 127(C).
  7. Liyang Tang, 2020. "Application of Nonlinear Autoregressive with Exogenous Input (NARX) neural network in macroeconomic forecasting, national goal setting and global competitiveness assessment," Papers 2005.08735, arXiv.org.
  8. Ding, Yishan, 2018. "A novel decompose-ensemble methodology with AIC-ANN approach for crude oil forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 328-336.
  9. Lago, Jesus & Marcjasz, Grzegorz & De Schutter, Bart & Weron, Rafał, 2021. "Forecasting day-ahead electricity prices: A review of state-of-the-art algorithms, best practices and an open-access benchmark," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 293(C).
  10. Wang, Delu & Wang, Yadong & Song, Xuefeng & Liu, Yun, 2018. "Coal overcapacity in China: Multiscale analysis and prediction," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 244-257.
  11. Yin, Linfei & Qiu, Yao, 2022. "Neural network dynamic differential control for long-term price guidance mechanism of flexible energy service providers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 255(C).
  12. Matheus Henrique Dal Molin Ribeiro & Stéfano Frizzo Stefenon & José Donizetti de Lima & Ademir Nied & Viviana Cocco Mariani & Leandro dos Santos Coelho, 2020. "Electricity Price Forecasting Based on Self-Adaptive Decomposition and Heterogeneous Ensemble Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(19), pages 1-22, October.
  13. Yuehjen E. Shao & Yi-Shan Tsai, 2018. "Electricity Sales Forecasting Using Hybrid Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average and Soft Computing Approaches in the Absence of Explanatory Variables," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-22, July.
  14. Paweł Pijarski & Adrian Belowski, 2024. "Application of Methods Based on Artificial Intelligence and Optimisation in Power Engineering—Introduction to the Special Issue," Energies, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-42, January.
  15. Agrawal, Rahul Kumar & Muchahary, Frankle & Tripathi, Madan Mohan, 2019. "Ensemble of relevance vector machines and boosted trees for electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 250(C), pages 540-548.
  16. Sharifzadeh, Mahdi & Sikinioti-Lock, Alexandra & Shah, Nilay, 2019. "Machine-learning methods for integrated renewable power generation: A comparative study of artificial neural networks, support vector regression, and Gaussian Process Regression," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 513-538.
  17. Afanasyev, Dmitriy O. & Fedorova, Elena A., 2019. "On the impact of outlier filtering on the electricity price forecasting accuracy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 236(C), pages 196-210.
  18. Sergio Cantillo-Luna & Ricardo Moreno-Chuquen & Jesus Lopez-Sotelo & David Celeita, 2023. "An Intra-Day Electricity Price Forecasting Based on a Probabilistic Transformer Neural Network Architecture," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(19), pages 1-24, September.
  19. Jacob Hale & Suzanna Long, 2020. "A Time Series Sustainability Assessment of a Partial Energy Portfolio Transition," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-14, December.
  20. He, Kaijian & Tso, Geoffrey K.F. & Zou, Yingchao & Liu, Jia, 2018. "Crude oil risk forecasting: New evidence from multiscale analysis approach," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 76(C), pages 574-583.
  21. Chan-Uk Yeom & Keun-Chang Kwak, 2017. "Short-Term Electricity-Load Forecasting Using a TSK-Based Extreme Learning Machine with Knowledge Representation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-18, October.
  22. Marcjasz, Grzegorz & Uniejewski, Bartosz & Weron, Rafał, 2019. "On the importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting with NARX neural networks," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1520-1532.
  23. Mira Watermeyer & Thomas Mobius & Oliver Grothe & Felix Musgens, 2023. "A hybrid model for day-ahead electricity price forecasting: Combining fundamental and stochastic modelling," Papers 2304.09336, arXiv.org.
  24. Luo, Shuman & Weng, Yang, 2019. "A two-stage supervised learning approach for electricity price forecasting by leveraging different data sources," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C), pages 1497-1512.
  25. Hakan Acaroğlu & Fausto Pedro García Márquez, 2021. "Comprehensive Review on Electricity Market Price and Load Forecasting Based on Wind Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-23, November.
  26. Beltrán, Sergio & Castro, Alain & Irizar, Ion & Naveran, Gorka & Yeregui, Imanol, 2022. "Framework for collaborative intelligence in forecasting day-ahead electricity price," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
  27. Xiaohui Gao, 2022. "Monthly Wind Power Forecasting: Integrated Model Based on Grey Model and Machine Learning," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-14, November.
  28. Liu, Luyao & Bai, Feifei & Su, Chenyu & Ma, Cuiping & Yan, Ruifeng & Li, Hailong & Sun, Qie & Wennersten, Ronald, 2022. "Forecasting the occurrence of extreme electricity prices using a multivariate logistic regression model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
  29. Krishna Prakash N. & Jai Govind Singh, 2023. "Electricity price forecasting using hybrid deep learned networks," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1750-1771, November.
  30. Vasallo, Manuel Jesús & Cojocaru, Emilian Gelu & Gegúndez, Manuel Emilio & Marín, Diego, 2021. "Application of data-based solar field models to optimal generation scheduling in concentrating solar power plants," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1130-1149.
  31. Pourghorban, Mojtaba & Mamipour, Siab, 2020. "Modeling and Forecasting the Electricity Price in Iran Using Wavelet-Based GARCH Model," MPRA Paper 115042, University Library of Munich, Germany.
  32. Guo, Zhifeng & Zhou, Kaile & Zhang, Xiaoling & Yang, Shanlin, 2018. "A deep learning model for short-term power load and probability density forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 1186-1200.
  33. Sana Mujeeb & Nadeem Javaid & Manzoor Ilahi & Zahid Wadud & Farruh Ishmanov & Muhammad Khalil Afzal, 2019. "Deep Long Short-Term Memory: A New Price and Load Forecasting Scheme for Big Data in Smart Cities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-29, February.
  34. Bhatia, Kushagra & Mittal, Rajat & Varanasi, Jyothi & Tripathi, M.M., 2021. "An ensemble approach for electricity price forecasting in markets with renewable energy resources," Utilities Policy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
  35. Cojocaru, Emilian Gelu & Bravo, José Manuel & Vasallo, Manuel Jesús & Santos, Diego Marín, 2019. "Optimal scheduling in concentrating solar power plants oriented to low generation cycling," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 789-799.
  36. Stefenon, Stefano Frizzo & Seman, Laio Oriel & Aquino, Luiza Scapinello & Coelho, Leandro dos Santos, 2023. "Wavelet-Seq2Seq-LSTM with attention for time series forecasting of level of dams in hydroelectric power plants," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 274(C).
  37. Halužan, Marko & Verbič, Miroslav & Zorić, Jelena, 2020. "Performance of alternative electricity price forecasting methods: Findings from the Greek and Hungarian power exchanges," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
  38. Ilkay Oksuz & Umut Ugurlu, 2019. "Neural Network Based Model Comparison for Intraday Electricity Price Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(23), pages 1-14, November.
  39. Fang Li & Anxiang Lu & Jihua Wang, 2017. "Modeling of Chromium, Copper, Zinc, Arsenic and Lead Using Portable X-ray Fluorescence Spectrometer Based on Discrete Wavelet Transform," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-12, September.
  40. Amir Mosavi & Mohsen Salimi & Sina Faizollahzadeh Ardabili & Timon Rabczuk & Shahaboddin Shamshirband & Annamaria R. Varkonyi-Koczy, 2019. "State of the Art of Machine Learning Models in Energy Systems, a Systematic Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-42, April.
  41. Zhao, Yong-Ping & Hu, Qian-Kun & Xu, Jian-Guo & Li, Bing & Huang, Gong & Pan, Ying-Ting, 2018. "A robust extreme learning machine for modeling a small-scale turbojet engine," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C), pages 22-35.
  42. Kavita Jain & Muhammed Basheer Jasser & Muzaffar Hamzah & Akash Saxena & Ali Wagdy Mohamed, 2022. "Harris Hawk Optimization-Based Deep Neural Networks Architecture for Optimal Bidding in the Electricity Market," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-19, June.
  43. AL-Alimi, Dalal & AlRassas, Ayman Mutahar & Al-qaness, Mohammed A.A. & Cai, Zhihua & Aseeri, Ahmad O. & Abd Elaziz, Mohamed & Ewees, Ahmed A., 2023. "TLIA: Time-series forecasting model using long short-term memory integrated with artificial neural networks for volatile energy markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 343(C).
  44. Shao, Zhen & Yang, Yudie & Zheng, Qingru & Zhou, Kaile & Liu, Chen & Yang, Shanlin, 2022. "A pattern classification methodology for interval forecasts of short-term electricity prices based on hybrid deep neural networks: A comparative analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 327(C).
  45. Derek W. Bunn & Angelica Gianfreda & Stefan Kermer, 2018. "A Trading-Based Evaluation of Density Forecasts in a Real-Time Electricity Market," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-13, October.
  46. Yasir Alsaedi & Gurudeo Anand Tularam & Victor Wong, 2019. "Application of ARIMA Modelling for the Forecasting of Solar, Wind, Spot and Options Electricity Prices: The Australian National Electricity Market," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 9(4), pages 263-272.
  47. Blázquez, Cristina Sáez & Borge-Diez, David & Nieto, Ignacio Martín & Martín, Arturo Farfán & González-Aguilera, Diego, 2021. "Multi-parametric evaluation of electrical, biogas and natural gas geothermal source heat pumps," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 1682-1691.
  48. Li, Jinchao & Wu, Qianqian & Tian, Yu & Fan, Liguo, 2021. "Monthly Henry Hub natural gas spot prices forecasting using variational mode decomposition and deep belief network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
  49. Demir, Sumeyra & Mincev, Krystof & Kok, Koen & Paterakis, Nikolaos G., 2021. "Data augmentation for time series regression: Applying transformations, autoencoders and adversarial networks to electricity price forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
  50. Faheem Jan & Ismail Shah & Sajid Ali, 2022. "Short-Term Electricity Prices Forecasting Using Functional Time Series Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-15, May.
  51. Shan, Rui & Sasthav, Colin & Wang, Xianxun & Lima, Luana M.M., 2020. "Complementary relationship between small-hydropower and increasing penetration of solar photovoltaics: Evidence from CAISO," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C), pages 1139-1146.
  52. Rodrigo A. de Marcos & Antonio Bello & Javier Reneses, 2019. "Short-Term Electricity Price Forecasting with a Composite Fundamental-Econometric Hybrid Methodology," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-15, March.
  53. Chang, Zihan & Zhang, Yang & Chen, Wenbo, 2019. "Electricity price prediction based on hybrid model of adam optimized LSTM neural network and wavelet transform," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
  54. Grzegorz Marcjasz & Bartosz Uniejewski & Rafal Weron, 2017. "Importance of the long-term seasonal component in day-ahead electricity price forecasting revisited: Neural network models," HSC Research Reports HSC/17/03, Hugo Steinhaus Center, Wroclaw University of Technology.
  55. Yang, Wendong & Sun, Shaolong & Hao, Yan & Wang, Shouyang, 2022. "A novel machine learning-based electricity price forecasting model based on optimal model selection strategy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
  56. Yang, Haolin & Schell, Kristen R., 2022. "GHTnet: Tri-Branch deep learning network for real-time electricity price forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
  57. Leerbeck, Kenneth & Bacher, Peder & Junker, Rune Grønborg & Goranović, Goran & Corradi, Olivier & Ebrahimy, Razgar & Tveit, Anna & Madsen, Henrik, 2020. "Short-term forecasting of CO2 emission intensity in power grids by machine learning," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
  58. Díaz, Guzmán & Coto, José & Gómez-Aleixandre, Javier, 2019. "Prediction and explanation of the formation of the Spanish day-ahead electricity price through machine learning regression," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(C), pages 610-625.
  59. Lu, Xiaohui & Yang, Yang & Wang, Peifang & Fan, Yiming & Yu, Fangzhong & Zafetti, Nicholas, 2021. "A new converged Emperor Penguin Optimizer for biding strategy in a day-ahead deregulated market clearing price: A case study in China," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
  60. Qiao, Weibiao & Yang, Zhe, 2020. "Forecast the electricity price of U.S. using a wavelet transform-based hybrid model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
  61. Yang, Haolin & Schell, Kristen R., 2021. "Real-time electricity price forecasting of wind farms with deep neural network transfer learning and hybrid datasets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
  62. Micha{l} Narajewski & Florian Ziel, 2020. "Ensemble Forecasting for Intraday Electricity Prices: Simulating Trajectories," Papers 2005.01365, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2020.
  63. Debnath, Kumar Biswajit & Mourshed, Monjur, 2018. "Forecasting methods in energy planning models," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 297-325.
  64. Mingfei Hu & Xinyi Hu & Zhenzhou Deng & Bing Tu, 2022. "Fault Diagnosis of Tennessee Eastman Process with XGB-AVSSA-KELM Algorithm," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-25, April.
  65. Miguel Pinhão & Miguel Fonseca & Ricardo Covas, 2022. "Electricity Spot Price Forecast by Modelling Supply and Demand Curve," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-20, June.
  66. Zendehboudi, Sohrab & Rezaei, Nima & Lohi, Ali, 2018. "Applications of hybrid models in chemical, petroleum, and energy systems: A systematic review," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 2539-2566.
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  68. Óscar Trull & J. Carlos García-Díaz & Alicia Troncoso, 2019. "Application of Discrete-Interval Moving Seasonalities to Spanish Electricity Demand Forecasting during Easter," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-16, March.
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