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Short-term power load probability density forecasting method using kernel-based support vector quantile regression and Copula theory

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  1. Fan, Guo-Feng & Peng, Li-Ling & Hong, Wei-Chiang, 2018. "Short term load forecasting based on phase space reconstruction algorithm and bi-square kernel regression model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 13-33.
  2. Shepero, Mahmoud & van der Meer, Dennis & Munkhammar, Joakim & Widén, Joakim, 2018. "Residential probabilistic load forecasting: A method using Gaussian process designed for electric load data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C), pages 159-172.
  3. Wang, Xuewei & Wang, Jing & Wang, Lin & Yuan, Ruiming, 2019. "Non-overlapping moving compressive measurement algorithm for electrical energy estimation of distorted m-sequence dynamic test signal," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C), pages 1-1.
  4. van der Meer, D.W. & Shepero, M. & Svensson, A. & Widén, J. & Munkhammar, J., 2018. "Probabilistic forecasting of electricity consumption, photovoltaic power generation and net demand of an individual building using Gaussian Processes," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 195-207.
  5. Lemos-Vinasco, Julian & Bacher, Peder & Møller, Jan Kloppenborg, 2021. "Probabilistic load forecasting considering temporal correlation: Online models for the prediction of households’ electrical load," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
  6. Ji, Qiang & Liu, Bing-Yue & Fan, Ying, 2019. "Risk dependence of CoVaR and structural change between oil prices and exchange rates: A time-varying copula model," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 80-92.
  7. Lei Zhang & Lun Xie & Qinkai Han & Zhiliang Wang & Chen Huang, 2020. "Probability Density Forecasting of Wind Speed Based on Quantile Regression and Kernel Density Estimation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-24, November.
  8. He, Yaoyao & Zheng, Yaya, 2018. "Short-term power load probability density forecasting based on Yeo-Johnson transformation quantile regression and Gaussian kernel function," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 143-156.
  9. Zhang, Dongxue & Wang, Shuai & Liang, Yuqiu & Du, Zhiyuan, 2023. "A novel combined model for probabilistic load forecasting based on deep learning and improved optimizer," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
  10. Yang, Youlong & Che, Jinxing & Deng, Chengzhi & Li, Li, 2019. "Sequential grid approach based support vector regression for short-term electric load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 1010-1021.
  11. Lei, Heng & Xue, Minggao & Liu, Huiling, 2022. "Probability distribution forecasting of carbon allowance prices: A hybrid model considering multiple influencing factors," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 113(C).
  12. Lu, Shixiang & Xu, Qifa & Jiang, Cuixia & Liu, Yezheng & Kusiak, Andrew, 2022. "Probabilistic load forecasting with a non-crossing sparse-group Lasso-quantile regression deep neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 242(C).
  13. Bilin Shao & Zixuan Yao & Yifan Qiang, 2023. "Point-Interval Forecasting for Electricity Load Based on Regular Fluctuation Component Extraction," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(4), pages 1-20, February.
  14. Serrano-Guerrero, Xavier & Briceño-León, Marco & Clairand, Jean-Michel & Escrivá-Escrivá, Guillermo, 2021. "A new interval prediction methodology for short-term electric load forecasting based on pattern recognition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 297(C).
  15. Dai, Yeming & Zhao, Pei, 2020. "A hybrid load forecasting model based on support vector machine with intelligent methods for feature selection and parameter optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 279(C).
  16. Sreekumar, Sreenu & Yamujala, Sumanth & Sharma, Kailash Chand & Bhakar, Rohit & Simon, Sishaj P. & Rana, Ankur Singh, 2022. "Flexible Ramp Products: A solution to enhance power system flexibility," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 162(C).
  17. He, Yaoyao & Cao, Chaojin & Wang, Shuo & Fu, Hong, 2022. "Nonparametric probabilistic load forecasting based on quantile combination in electrical power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
  18. Wang, Jianzhou & Wang, Shuai & Zeng, Bo & Lu, Haiyan, 2022. "A novel ensemble probabilistic forecasting system for uncertainty in wind speed," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
  19. Do, Linh Phuong Catherine & Lyócsa, Štefan & Molnár, Peter, 2021. "Residual electricity demand: An empirical investigation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
  20. Faheem Jan & Ismail Shah & Sajid Ali, 2022. "Short-Term Electricity Prices Forecasting Using Functional Time Series Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-15, May.
  21. Sen Wang & Yonghui Sun & Yan Zhou & Rabea Jamil Mahfoud & Dongchen Hou, 2019. "A New Hybrid Short-Term Interval Forecasting of PV Output Power Based on EEMD-SE-RVM," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(1), pages 1-17, December.
  22. Liu, Luyao & Zhao, Yi & Chang, Dongliang & Xie, Jiyang & Ma, Zhanyu & Sun, Qie & Yin, Hongyi & Wennersten, Ronald, 2018. "Prediction of short-term PV power output and uncertainty analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 700-711.
  23. Wang, Xuewei & Wang, Jing & Yuan, Ruiming & Jiang, Zhenyu, 2019. "Dynamic error testing method of electricity meters by a pseudo random distorted test signal," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 249(C), pages 67-78.
  24. Lebotsa, Moshoko Emily & Sigauke, Caston & Bere, Alphonce & Fildes, Robert & Boylan, John E., 2018. "Short term electricity demand forecasting using partially linear additive quantile regression with an application to the unit commitment problem," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 104-118.
  25. Niemierko, Rochus & Töppel, Jannick & Tränkler, Timm, 2019. "A D-vine copula quantile regression approach for the prediction of residential heating energy consumption based on historical data," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 691-708.
  26. Xu Ran & Chang Xu & Lei Ma & Feifei Xue, 2022. "Wind Power Interval Prediction with Adaptive Rolling Error Correction Based on PSR-BLS-QR," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-22, June.
  27. Liang Wang & Tingjia Xu, 2022. "Bidirectional Risk Spillovers between Exchange Rate of Emerging Market Countries and International Crude Oil Price–Based on Time-varing Copula-CoVaR," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(1), pages 383-414, January.
  28. Yang, Yandong & Li, Shufang & Li, Wenqi & Qu, Meijun, 2018. "Power load probability density forecasting using Gaussian process quantile regression," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 213(C), pages 499-509.
  29. Fuqiang Li & Shiying Zhang & Wenxuan Li & Wei Zhao & Bingkang Li & Huiru Zhao, 2019. "Forecasting Hourly Power Load Considering Time Division: A Hybrid Model Based on K-means Clustering and Probability Density Forecasting Techniques," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(24), pages 1-17, December.
  30. Nan Wei & Changjun Li & Jiehao Duan & Jinyuan Liu & Fanhua Zeng, 2019. "Daily Natural Gas Load Forecasting Based on a Hybrid Deep Learning Model," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-15, January.
  31. Farrell, Niall & Devine, Mel T. & Soroudi, Alireza, 2018. "An auction framework to integrate dynamic transmission expansion planning and pay-as-bid wind connection auctions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 2462-2477.
  32. Zhang, Wenjie & Quan, Hao & Srinivasan, Dipti, 2018. "Parallel and reliable probabilistic load forecasting via quantile regression forest and quantile determination," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 810-819.
  33. Lilin Cheng & Haixiang Zang & Tao Ding & Rong Sun & Miaomiao Wang & Zhinong Wei & Guoqiang Sun, 2018. "Ensemble Recurrent Neural Network Based Probabilistic Wind Speed Forecasting Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-23, July.
  34. Peng Li & Chen Zhang & Huan Long, 2019. "Solar Power Interval Prediction via Lower and Upper Bound Estimation with a New Model Initialization Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(21), pages 1-17, October.
  35. van der Meer, D.W. & Widén, J. & Munkhammar, J., 2018. "Review on probabilistic forecasting of photovoltaic power production and electricity consumption," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 81(P1), pages 1484-1512.
  36. He, Yaoyao & Qin, Yang & Wang, Shuo & Wang, Xu & Wang, Chao, 2019. "Electricity consumption probability density forecasting method based on LASSO-Quantile Regression Neural Network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 233, pages 565-575.
  37. Ding, Lili & Zhao, Zhongchao & Han, Meng, 2021. "Probability density forecasts for steam coal prices in China: The role of high-frequency factors," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
  38. Zhang, Shu & Wang, Yi & Zhang, Yutian & Wang, Dan & Zhang, Ning, 2020. "Load probability density forecasting by transforming and combining quantile forecasts," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
  39. Che, Jinxing & Yuan, Fang & Deng, Dewen & Jiang, Zheyong, 2023. "Ultra-short-term probabilistic wind power forecasting with spatial-temporal multi-scale features and K-FSDW based weight," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 331(C).
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