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A Data-Reconstructed Fractional Volatility Model

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  • Mendes, Rui Vilela
  • Oliveira, Maria J.

Abstract

Based on criteria of mathematical simplicity and consistency with empirical market data, a stochastic volatility model is constructed, the volatility process being driven by fractional noise. Price return statistics and asymptotic behavior are derived from the model and compared with data. Deviations from Black-Scholes and a new option pricing formula are also obtained.

Suggested Citation

  • Mendes, Rui Vilela & Oliveira, Maria J., 2008. "A Data-Reconstructed Fractional Volatility Model," Economics Discussion Papers 2008-22, Kiel Institute for the World Economy (IfW Kiel).
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:ifwedp:7284
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ghysels, E. & Harvey, A. & Renault, E., 1995. "Stochastic Volatility," Papers 95.400, Toulouse - GREMAQ.
    2. Juuso Toyli & Marko Sysi-aho & Kimmo Kaski, 2004. "Models of asset returns: changes of pattern from high to low event frequency," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(3), pages 373-382.
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    8. R. Vilela Mendes & R. Lima & T. Araújo, 2002. "A Process-Reconstruction Analysis Of Market Fluctuations," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 5(08), pages 797-821.
    9. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
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    12. Heston, Steven L, 1993. "A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options," Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 6(2), pages 327-343.
    13. Cox, John C. & Ross, Stephen A., 1976. "The valuation of options for alternative stochastic processes," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 3(1-2), pages 145-166.
    14. Breidt, F. Jay & Crato, Nuno & de Lima, Pedro, 1998. "The detection and estimation of long memory in stochastic volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 83(1-2), pages 325-348.
    15. Black, Fischer & Scholes, Myron S, 1973. "The Pricing of Options and Corporate Liabilities," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 81(3), pages 637-654, May-June.
    16. Silva, A. Christian & Prange, Richard E. & Yakovenko, Victor M., 2004. "Exponential distribution of financial returns at mesoscopic time lags: a new stylized fact," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 344(1), pages 227-235.
    17. Hull, John C & White, Alan D, 1987. "The Pricing of Options on Assets with Stochastic Volatilities," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 42(2), pages 281-300, June.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Archil Gulisashvili, 2017. "Large deviation principle for Volterra type fractional stochastic volatility models," Papers 1710.10711, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2018.
    2. R. Vilela Mendes & M. J. Oliveira & A. M. Rodrigues, 2012. "The fractional volatility model: No-arbitrage, leverage and completeness," Papers 1205.2866, arXiv.org.
    3. Li Meng & Mei Wang, 2010. "Comparison of Black–Scholes Formula with Fractional Black–Scholes Formula in the Foreign Exchange Option Market with Changing Volatility," Asia-Pacific Financial Markets, Springer;Japanese Association of Financial Economics and Engineering, vol. 17(2), pages 99-111, June.
    4. Harms, Philipp & Stefanovits, David, 2019. "Affine representations of fractional processes with applications in mathematical finance," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 129(4), pages 1185-1228.
    5. R. Vilela Mendes, 2022. "The fractional volatility model and rough volatility," Papers 2206.02205, arXiv.org.
    6. Philipp Harms & David Stefanovits, 2015. "Affine representations of fractional processes with applications in mathematical finance," Papers 1510.04061, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2018.
    7. Vilela Mendes, R. & Oliveira, M.J. & Rodrigues, A.M., 2015. "No-arbitrage, leverage and completeness in a fractional volatility model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 419(C), pages 470-478.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Fractional noise; induced volatility; statistics of returns; option pricing;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C51 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Construction and Estimation
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates

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