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Relative Productivity and SME Closure During COVID-19: Exploring Optimal Productivity Levels for Firm Resilience

Author

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  • Pandit, Rajendra
  • Stratton, Leslie S.

Abstract

Firm failures have far-reaching consequences for employees, investors, communities, and the broader economy. Less productive firms are generally more likely to fail. However, high productivity may come at a cost that hampers survival, especially during sudden, unforeseen crises such as COVID-19. Using data from the World Bank Enterprise Survey for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in 20 European countries, this study tests whether there was a nonlinear association between productivity and survival during the COVID-19 pandemic. The findings suggest that SMEs with below-average productivity relative to their industry were more likely to shut down, whereas firms with exceptionally high productivity do not experience additional survival advantages. These results, while not causal, also hold across alternative SME definitions, underscoring the robustness of the results.

Suggested Citation

  • Pandit, Rajendra & Stratton, Leslie S., 2026. "Relative Productivity and SME Closure During COVID-19: Exploring Optimal Productivity Levels for Firm Resilience," GLO Discussion Paper Series 1801, Global Labor Organization (GLO).
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:glodps:1801
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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • D24 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Production; Cost; Capital; Capital, Total Factor, and Multifactor Productivity; Capacity
    • L25 - Industrial Organization - - Firm Objectives, Organization, and Behavior - - - Firm Performance
    • G33 - Financial Economics - - Corporate Finance and Governance - - - Bankruptcy; Liquidation
    • O30 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Innovation; Research and Development; Technological Change; Intellectual Property Rights - - - General

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