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National economic security measurable indicators for the CDNES conceptual model

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  • Solov, Roumen

Abstract

Translating theoretical frameworks of National Economic Security (NES) into actionable policy requires robust, empirical, and multi-dimensional measurement systems. Traditional economic metrics - designed primarily to track output velocity, financial efficiency, and short-run equilibrium - fail to capture systemic vulnerabilities, non-linear shock propagation, and strategic dependencies within complex global networks. This paper operationalizes the Comprehensive and Dynamic National Economic Security (CDNES) conceptual model by constructing a multi-tiered, quantitative indicator framework. Mapping the national economy as a Complex & Dynamic Adaptive System (CDAS), we construct an analytical taxonomy across three structural levels (macro, meso, micro) and five functional vectors: Financial, Industrial/Supply Chain, Technological, Energy/Resource, and Human Capital. To overcome the limitations of standard linear composite indices-where high performance in one domain mathematically masks critical failures in another-we formulate a non-compensatory geometric and min-operator mathematical aggregation architecture. Furthermore, we integrate Dynamic Inoperability Input-Output (DIIM) parameters to capture threshold effects and time-to-recovery dynamics. The resulting framework bridges abstract systemic security theory with executive decision-support toolkits, providing a rigorous empirical foundation for real-time risk monitoring, strategic stress-testing, and anti-fragile policy design.

Suggested Citation

  • Solov, Roumen, 2026. "National economic security measurable indicators for the CDNES conceptual model," EconStor Research Reports 344129, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics.
  • Handle: RePEc:zbw:esrepo:344129
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    File URL: https://www.econstor.eu/bitstream/10419/344129/3/New-MEASURABLE-INDICATORS-CDNES.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • F52 - International Economics - - International Relations, National Security, and International Political Economy - - - National Security; Economic Nationalism
    • C02 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - General - - - Mathematical Economics

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