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Mixed Logit Estimation Of Radical Islamic Terrorism In Europe And North America: A Comparative Study

Listed author(s):
  • Carlos Barros


  • Isabel Proença


This paper estimates what characteristics (e.g. location, number of casualties, and type of attack) are associated with an Islamic terrorist attack. This is established by identifying the significant determinants of the probability that an attack had been carried out by Islamic terrorists. For Europe, the United States, and Canada, the analysis employs ITERATE data from October 1979 to December 2002 to ascertain the significant characteristics of Islamic terrorist attacks. A random- parameter logit model is used to analyze the probability of such attacks, taking into account the heterogeneity of the sample data. This model outperforms the standard logit model. Some policy implications are presented.

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Paper provided by EconWPA in its series Microeconomics with number 0508005.

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Length: 21 pages
Date of creation: 08 Aug 2005
Handle: RePEc:wpa:wuwpmi:0508005
Note: Type of Document - pdf; prepared on windows; pages: 21
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