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Confidence Intervals for the Underground Economy in Australia

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Abstract

Economists have proposed several different techniques for measuring the underground economy but the literature gives only point estimates not standard errors. This makes it difficult to see if different estimates are contained in one confidence band. This paper provides an approach to estimating confidence intervals for estimates of illicit economic behaviour. The approach is adaptable to existing econometric techniques and is likely to offer a better way to access the reliability of point estimates of the underground economy than subjective opinion.

Suggested Citation

  • Chris Bajada, 1999. "Confidence Intervals for the Underground Economy in Australia," Working Paper Series 91, Finance Discipline Group, UTS Business School, University of Technology, Sydney.
    • Handle: RePEc:uts:wpaper:91
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    File URL: http://www.finance.uts.edu.au/research/wpapers/wp91.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Kreps,David M. & Wallis,Kenneth F. (ed.), 1997. "Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Theory and Applications," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521589819.
    2. Philip Cagan, 1958. "The Demand for Currency Relative to Total Money Supply," NBER Chapters, in: The Demand for Currency Relative to Total Money Supply, pages 1-37, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    3. Feige,Edgar L. (ed.), 1989. "The Underground Economies," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521262309.
    4. Bajada, Christopher, 1999. "Estimates of the Underground Economy in Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 75(231), pages 369-384, December.
    5. Edgar L. Feige, 1979. "How Big Is the Irregular Economy?," Challenge, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(5), pages 5-13, November.
    6. Christopher Bajada, 1999. "Estimates of the Underground Economy in Australia," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 75(4), pages 369-384, December.
    7. Kreps,David M. & Wallis,Kenneth F. (ed.), 1997. "Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Theory and Applications," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521589833.
    8. Andrew Dilnot & C. N. Miller, 1981. "What do we know about the black economy?," Fiscal Studies, Institute for Fiscal Studies, vol. 2(1), pages 58-73, March.
    9. Kreps,David M. & Wallis,Kenneth F. (ed.), 1997. "Advances in Economics and Econometrics: Theory and Applications," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521589826.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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