Efficient interval scoring rules
Author
Abstract
Suggested Citation
Download full text from publisher
References listed on IDEAS
- Reinhard Selten & Abdolkarim Sadrieh & Klaus Abbink, 1999. "Money Does Not Induce Risk Neutral Behavior, but Binary Lotteries Do even Worse," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 46(3), pages 213-252, June.
- Andersen, Steffen & Fountain, John & Harrison, Glenn W. & Rutström, Elisabet, 2009. "Eliciting Beliefs," Working Papers 03-2009, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
- Huck, Steffen & Weizsacker, Georg, 2002. "Do players correctly estimate what others do? : Evidence of conservatism in beliefs," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 47(1), pages 71-85, January.
- Roberto Galbiati & Karl Schlag & Joël van der Weele, 2009.
"Can sanctions induce pessimism? An experiment,"
Economics Working Papers
1150, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra.
- Roberto Galbiati & Karl Schlag & Joël van der Weele, 2009. "Can Sanctions Induce Pessimism? An Experiment," Labsi Experimental Economics Laboratory University of Siena 024, University of Siena.
- Theo Offerman & Joep Sonnemans & Gijs Van De Kuilen & Peter P. Wakker, 2009. "A Truth Serum for Non-Bayesians: Correcting Proper Scoring Rules for Risk Attitudes ," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 76(4), pages 1461-1489.
- Schmalensee, Richard, 1976. "An Experimental Study of Expectation Formation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 44(1), pages 17-41, January.
- Dufwenberg, Martin & Gneezy, Uri, 2000. "Measuring Beliefs in an Experimental Lost Wallet Game," Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 30(2), pages 163-182, February.
- Croson, Rachel T. A., 2000. "Thinking like a game theorist: factors affecting the frequency of equilibrium play," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 41(3), pages 299-314, March.
- Rutstrom, E. Elizabet & Wilcox, Nathaniel, 2008. "Stated versus inferred beliefs: A methodological inquiry and experimental test," MPRA Paper 11852, University Library of Munich, Germany.
Citations
Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
Cited by:
- Galbiati, Roberto & Schlag, Karl H. & van der Weele, Joël J., 2013.
"Sanctions that signal: An experiment,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 34-51.
- Roberto Galbiatiy & Karl Schlagz & Joel van der Weele, 2010. "Sanctions that Signal: an Experiment," Levine's Working Paper Archive 661465000000001104, David K. Levine.
- Roberto Galbiati & Karl Schlag & Joël van Der Weele, 2013. "Sanctions that signal: An experiment," SciencePo Working papers Main hal-03461037, HAL.
- Roberto Galbiati & Karl Schlag & Joel van der Weele, 2011. "Sanctions that Signal: an Experiment," Vienna Economics Papers vie1107, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
- Roberto Galbiati & Karl Schlag & Joël van Der Weele, 2013. "Sanctions that signal: An experiment," Post-Print hal-03461037, HAL.
- Elena Cettolin & Arno Riedl, 2017.
"Justice Under Uncertainty,"
Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 63(11), pages 3739-3759, November.
- Cettolin, E. & Riedl, A.M., 2013. "Justice under uncertainty," Research Memorandum 036, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
- Elena Cettolin & Arno Riedl, 2013. "Justice under Uncertainty," CESifo Working Paper Series 4326, CESifo.
- Elena Cettolin & Arno Riedl, 2011.
"Partial Coercion, Conditional Cooperation, and Self-Commitment in Voluntary Contributions to Public Goods,"
CESifo Working Paper Series
3556, CESifo.
- Cettolin, E. & Riedl, A.M., 2011. "Partial coercion, conditional cooperation, and self-commitment in voluntary contributions to public goods," Research Memorandum 041, Maastricht University, Maastricht Research School of Economics of Technology and Organization (METEOR).
- Ronald Peeters & Leonard Wolk, 2017. "Eliciting interval beliefs: An experimental study," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 12(4), pages 1-15, April.
- Blume, Andreas & Lai, Ernest K. & Lim, Wooyoung, 2019.
"Eliciting private information with noise: The case of randomized response,"
Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 356-380.
- Blume, Andreas & Lai, Ernest K. & Lim, Wooyoung, 2014. "Eliciting Private Information with Noise: The Case of Randomized Response," Center for Mathematical Economics Working Papers 490, Center for Mathematical Economics, Bielefeld University.
- Galbiati, Roberto & Schlag, Karl H. & van der Weele, Joël J., 2013.
"Sanctions that signal: An experiment,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 94(C), pages 34-51.
- Roberto Galbiatiy & Karl Schlagz & Joel van der Weele, 2010. "Sanctions that Signal: an Experiment," Levine's Working Paper Archive 661465000000001104, David K. Levine.
- Roberto Galbiati & Karl Schlag & Joël van der Weele, 2013. "Sanctions that signal: An experiment," Sciences Po publications info:hdl:2441/7o52iohb7k6, Sciences Po.
- Roberto Galbiati & Karl Schlag & Joel van der Weele, 2011. "Sanctions that Signal: an Experiment," Vienna Economics Papers 1107, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
- Peeters, Ronald & Vorsatz, Marc & Walzl, Markus, 2015.
"Beliefs and truth-telling: A laboratory experiment,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 113(C), pages 1-12.
- Ronald Peeters & Marc Vorsatz & Markus Walzl, 2012. "Beliefs and truth-telling: A laboratory experiment," Working Papers 2012-17, Faculty of Economics and Statistics, Universität Innsbruck, revised Nov 2014.
- Michał Krawczyk, 2011. "Overconfident for real? Proper scoring for confidence intervals," Working Papers 2011-15, Faculty of Economic Sciences, University of Warsaw.
- Franziska Tausch & Jan Potters & Arno Riedl, 2014.
"An experimental investigation of risk sharing and adverse selection,"
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 48(2), pages 167-186, April.
- Franziska Tausch & Jan Potters & Arno Riedl, 2013. "An Experimental Investigation of Risk Sharing and Adverse Selection," CESifo Working Paper Series 4192, CESifo.
- Tausch, F. & Potters, J.A.M. & Riedl, A.M., 2013. "An experimental investigation of risk sharing and adverse selection," Research Memorandum 015, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
- Tausch, F. & Potters, J.J.M. & Riedl, A., 2014. "An experimental investigation of risk sharing and adverse selection," Other publications TiSEM 996c104d-73be-4e86-9a73-1, Tilburg University, School of Economics and Management.
- Peeters, Ronald & Vorsatz, Marc, 2021.
"Simple guilt and cooperation,"
Journal of Economic Psychology, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
- Ronald Peeters & Marc Vorsatz, 2018. "Simple guilt and cooperation," Working Papers 1801, University of Otago, Department of Economics, revised Jan 2018.
- Peeters, R.J.A.P. & Wolk, K.L., 2014. "Eliciting and aggregating individual expectations: An experimental study," Research Memorandum 029, Maastricht University, Graduate School of Business and Economics (GSBE).
Most related items
These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.- Eyting, Markus & Schmidt, Patrick, 2021. "Belief elicitation with multiple point predictions," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 135(C).
- Armantier, Olivier & Treich, Nicolas, 2013.
"Eliciting beliefs: Proper scoring rules, incentives, stakes and hedging,"
European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 62(C), pages 17-40.
- Armantier, Olivier & Treich, Nicolas, 2010. "Eliciting Beliefs: Proper Scoring Rules, Incentives, Stakes and Hedging," IDEI Working Papers 643, Institut d'Économie Industrielle (IDEI), Toulouse.
- Armantier, Olivier & Treich, Nicolas, 2010. "Eliciting Beliefs: Proper Scoring Rules, Incentives, Stakes and Hedging," LERNA Working Papers 10.26.332, LERNA, University of Toulouse.
- Armantier, Olivier & Treich, Nicolas, 2010. "Eliciting Beliefs: Proper Scoring Rules, Incentives, Stakes and Hedging," TSE Working Papers 10-213, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Armantier, Olivier & Treich, Nicolas, 2010. "Eliciting Beliefs: Proper Scoring Rules, Incentives, Stakes and Hedging," TSE Working Papers 10-156, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
- Charness, Gary & Gneezy, Uri & Rasocha, Vlastimil, 2021. "Experimental methods: Eliciting beliefs," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 234-256.
- Karl Schlag & James Tremewan & Joël Weele, 2015.
"A penny for your thoughts: a survey of methods for eliciting beliefs,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 18(3), pages 457-490, September.
- Karl Schlag & James Tremewan & Joel van der Weele, 2014. "A Penny for Your Thoughts:A Survey of Methods for Eliciting Beliefs," Vienna Economics Papers 1401, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
- Nagore Iriberri & Pedro Rey‐Biel, 2013.
"Elicited beliefs and social information in modified dictator games: What do dictators believe other dictators do?,"
Quantitative Economics, Econometric Society, vol. 4(3), pages 515-547, November.
- Nagore Iriberri & Pedro Rey-Biel, "undated". "Elicited Beliefs and Social Information in Modified Dictator Games: What Do Dictators Believe Other Dictators Do?," Working Papers 405, Barcelona School of Economics.
- Nagore Iriberri & Pedro Rey-Biel, 2008. "Elicited beliefs and social information in modified dictator games: What do dictators believe other dictators do?," Economics Working Papers 1137, Department of Economics and Business, Universitat Pompeu Fabra, revised Jan 2009.
- Simon Gächter & Elke Renner, 2010.
"The effects of (incentivized) belief elicitation in public goods experiments,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 13(3), pages 364-377, September.
- Simon Gaechter & Elke Renner, 2006. "The Effects of (Incentivized) Belief Elicitation in Public Good Experiments," Discussion Papers 2006-16, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Simon Gaechter & Elke Renner, 2010. "The effects of (incentivized) belief elicitation in public goods experiments," Discussion Papers 2010-12, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Simon Gächter & Elke Renner, 2010.
"The effects of (incentivized) belief elicitation in public goods experiments,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 13(3), pages 364-377, September.
- Simon Gaechter & Elke Renner, 2006. "The Effects of (Incentivized) Belief Elicitation in Public Good Experiments," Discussion Papers 2006-16, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Simon Gaechter & Elke Renner, 2010. "The effects of (incentivized) belief elicitation in public goods experiments," Discussion Papers 2010-12, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Simon Gaechter & Elke Renner, 2010. "The effects of (incentivized) belief elicitation in public goods experiments," Discussion Papers 2010-12, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Simon Gaechter & Elke Renner, 2006. "The Effects of (Incentivized) Belief Elicitation in Public Good Experiments," Discussion Papers 2006-16, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Blanco, Mariana & Engelmann, Dirk & Koch, Alexander K. & Normann, Hans-Theo, 2014.
"Preferences and beliefs in a sequential social dilemma: a within-subjects analysis,"
Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 122-135.
- Blanco, Mariana & Engelmann, Dirk & Koch, Alexander K. & Normann, Hans-Theo, 2009. "Preferences and Beliefs in a Sequential Social Dilemma: A Within-Subjects Analysis," IZA Discussion Papers 4624, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
- Blanco, Mariana & Engelmann, Dirk & Koch, Alexander K. & Normann, Hans-Theo, 2014. "Preferences and beliefs in a sequential social dilemma: A within-subjects analysis," DICE Discussion Papers 145, Heinrich Heine University Düsseldorf, Düsseldorf Institute for Competition Economics (DICE).
- Karl Schlag & James Tremewan & Joël Weele, 2015.
"A penny for your thoughts: a survey of methods for eliciting beliefs,"
Experimental Economics, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 18(3), pages 457-490, September.
- Karl Schlag & James Tremewan & Joel von der Weele, 2014. "A Penny for your Thoughts: A Survey of Methods of Eliciting Beliefs," Vienna Economics Papers vie1401, University of Vienna, Department of Economics.
- Sandra Ludwig & Julia Nafziger, 2011. "Beliefs about overconfidence," Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 70(4), pages 475-500, April.
- Anna Conte & M. Levati, 2014.
"Use of data on planned contributions and stated beliefs in the measurement of social preferences,"
Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 76(2), pages 201-223, February.
- Anna Conte & M. Vittoria Levati, 2011. "Use of data on planned contributions and stated beliefs in the measurement of social preferences," Jena Economics Research Papers 2011-039, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
- Dufwenberg, Martin & Gächter, Simon & Hennig-Schmidt, Heike, 2011.
"The framing of games and the psychology of play,"
Games and Economic Behavior, Elsevier, vol. 73(2), pages 459-478.
- Dufwenberg, Martin & Gächter, Simon & Henning-Schmidt, Heike, 2008. "The Framing of Games and the Psychology of Play," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers 15/2008, University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE).
- Martin Dufwenberg & Simon Gaechter & Heike Hennig-Schmidt, 2010. "The Framing of Games and the Psychology of Play," Discussion Papers 2010-16, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Dufwenberg, Martin & Gächter, Simon & Hennig-Schmidt, Heike, 2010. "The Framing of Games and the Psychology of Play," Bonn Econ Discussion Papers 15/2010, University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE).
- Anna Conte & M. Vittoria Levati & Natalia Montinari, 2019.
"Experience in public goods experiments,"
Theory and Decision, Springer, vol. 86(1), pages 65-93, February.
- Conte, Anna & Levati, Vittoria & Montinari, Natalia, 2014. "Experience in Public Goods Experiments," Working Papers 2014:20, Lund University, Department of Economics.
- Anna Conte & M. Vittoria Levati & Natalia Montinari, 2014. "Experience in Public Goods Experiments," Jena Economics Research Papers 2014-010, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
- Frédéric Koessler & Charles Noussair & Anthony Ziegelmeyer, 2007.
"Information Aggregation and Beliefs in Experimental Parimutuel Betting Markets,"
Papers on Strategic Interaction
2005-12, Max Planck Institute of Economics, Strategic Interaction Group.
- Frédéric Koessler & Charles Noussair & Anthony Ziegelmeyer, 2012. "Information Aggregation and Beliefs in Experimental Parimutuel Betting Markets," PSE-Ecole d'économie de Paris (Postprint) halshs-00754582, HAL.
- Frédéric Koessler & Charles Noussair & Anthony Ziegelmeyer, 2012. "Information Aggregation and Beliefs in Experimental Parimutuel Betting Markets," Post-Print halshs-00754582, HAL.
- Frederic Koessler & Charles Noussair & Anthony Ziegelmeyer, 2007. "Information Aggregation and Beliefs in Experimental Parimutuel Betting Markets," Jena Economics Research Papers 2007-033, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
- Kaushik Basu & Leonardo Becchetti & Luca Stanca, 2011.
"Experiments with the Traveler’s Dilemma: welfare, strategic choice and implicit collusion,"
Social Choice and Welfare, Springer;The Society for Social Choice and Welfare, vol. 37(4), pages 575-595, October.
- Basu, Kaushik & Becchetti, Leonardo & Stanca, Luca, 2008. "Experiments with the Traveler's Dilemma: Welfare, Strategic Choice and Implicit Collusion," Working Papers 08-07, Cornell University, Center for Analytic Economics.
- Kaushik Basu & Leonardo Becchetti & Luca Stanca, 2011. "Experiments with the Traveler's Dilemma: Welfare, Strategic Choice and Implicit Collusion," CEIS Research Paper 188, Tor Vergata University, CEIS, revised 23 Mar 2011.
- Kaushik Basuy & Leonardo Becchetti & Luca Stanca, 2008. "Experiments with the Traveler's Dilemma: Welfare, Strategic Choice and Implicit Collusion," Working Papers 147, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Oct 2008.
- Steffen Andersen & John Fountain & Glenn Harrison & E. Rutström, 2014.
"Estimating subjective probabilities,"
Journal of Risk and Uncertainty, Springer, vol. 48(3), pages 207-229, June.
- Andersen, Steffen & Fountain, John & Harrison, Glenn W. & Rutström, Elisabet E., 2009. "Estimating Subjective Probabilities," Working Papers 05-2009, Copenhagen Business School, Department of Economics.
- Steffen Andersen & John Fountain & Glenn W. Harrison & E. Elisabet Rutström, 2010. "Estimating Subjective Probabilities," Experimental Economics Center Working Paper Series 2010-08, Experimental Economics Center, Andrew Young School of Policy Studies, Georgia State University.
- Miguel A. Costa-Gomes & Georg Weizsäcker, 2008.
"Stated Beliefs and Play in Normal-Form Games,"
The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 75(3), pages 729-762.
- Miguel A. Costa-Gomes & Georg Weizsäcker, 2004. "Stated Beliefs and Play in Normal Form Games," Levine's Bibliography 122247000000000236, UCLA Department of Economics.
- Miguel A. Costa-Gomes & Georg Weizsäcker, 2004. "Stated Beliefs and Play in Normal-Form Games," ISER Discussion Paper 0614, Institute of Social and Economic Research, Osaka University.
- Palfrey, Thomas R. & Wang, Stephanie W., 2009.
"On eliciting beliefs in strategic games,"
Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 71(2), pages 98-109, August.
- Palfrey, Thomas R. & Wang, Stephanie W., "undated". "On eliciting beliefs in strategic games," Working Papers 1271, California Institute of Technology, Division of the Humanities and Social Sciences.
- Dufwenberg, Martin & Gächter, Simon & Henning-Schmidt, Heike, 2006.
"The framing of games and the psychology of strategic choice,"
Bonn Econ Discussion Papers
19/2006, University of Bonn, Bonn Graduate School of Economics (BGSE).
- Martin Dufwenberg & Simon Gaechter & Heike Hennig-Schmidt, 2006. "The Framing of Games and the Psychology of Strategic Choice," Discussion Papers 2006-20, The Centre for Decision Research and Experimental Economics, School of Economics, University of Nottingham.
- Lejarraga, Tomás & Lucena, Abel & Rubí-Barceló, Antoni, 2020. "Beliefs estimated from choices in Proposer-Responder Games," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 179(C), pages 442-459.
More about this item
Keywords
Belief elicitation; scoring rules; subjective probabilities;All these keywords.
JEL classification:
- C60 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - General
- C91 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Design of Experiments - - - Laboratory, Individual Behavior
- D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty
NEP fields
This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:- NEP-UPT-2009-10-24 (Utility Models and Prospect Theory)
Statistics
Access and download statisticsCorrections
All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:upf:upfgen:1176. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.
If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.
If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .
If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.
For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: the person in charge (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.econ.upf.edu/ .
Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.