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Movilidad de ingreso y trampas de pobreza : nueva evidencia para los paí­ses del Cono Sur

Author

Listed:
  • Rodrigo Arim

    (Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economí­a)

  • Matí­as Brum

    (Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economí­a)

  • Andrés Dean

    (Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economí­a)

  • Martí­n Leites

    (Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economí­a)

  • Gonzalo Salas

    (Universidad de la República (Uruguay). Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y de Administración. Instituto de Economí­a)

Abstract

This paper tests the existence of poverty traps in three Southern Cone countries: Argentina, Brazil and Uruguay. We apply the methodology developed by Antman and McKenzie (2005): based on pseudopanels, we model the income dynamics of households and analyze the existence of heterogeneity in their path and their reactions to recessions. We also focus in income trajectories for different educational levels, and estimate the rate at which households overcome poverty situations or return to their equilibrium income level after a shock. The record of high volatility and strong macroeconomic crisis shared by Argentina, Uruguay and to a lesser extent Brazil, are an opportunity to carry out this type of analysis, which in turn is justified as a contribution to the design of public policies. This papers aims at identifying situations where the future trajectory of households' income will be systematically below a certain threshold, as a result of past performance. General estimates do not confirm the presence of poverty traps in these three countries during the study period. However, when educational levels are taken into account, poverty traps are found in the cases of Brazil and Uruguay for households whose head belongs to low educational levels.

Suggested Citation

  • Rodrigo Arim & Matí­as Brum & Andrés Dean & Martí­n Leites & Gonzalo Salas, 2010. "Movilidad de ingreso y trampas de pobreza : nueva evidencia para los paí­ses del Cono Sur," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 10-06, Instituto de Economía - IECON.
    • Handle: RePEc:ulr:wpaper:dt-10-06
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    File URL: https://hdl.handle.net/20.500.12008/4190
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    Cited by:

    1. Ronny Correa-Quezada & Diego Fernando García-Vélez & María de la Cruz Del Río-Rama & José Álvarez-García, 2018. "Poverty Traps in the Municipalities of Ecuador: Empirical Evidence," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-18, November.
    2. Leonardo Lucchetti & Renos Vakis & Jamele Rigolini, 2016. "Left Behind [Los olvidados : pobreza crónica en América Latina y el Caribe - resumen ejecutivo]," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 21552, April.
    3. María Fernanda Torres Penagos, 2018. "Índice de pobreza multidimensional oculta para la localidad de Teusaquillo (Bogotá): propuesta metodológica a partir de percepciones ciudadanas," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, vol. 37(74), pages 555-588.
    4. María Fernanda Torres Penagos, 2018. "Índice de Pobreza Multidimensional oculta para la localidad de Teusaquillo (Bogotá): propuesta metodológica a partir de percepciones ciudadanas," Revista Cuadernos de Economia, Universidad Nacional de Colombia, FCE, CID, vol. 37(74), pages 555-588.
    5. Brum, Matias & De Rosa, Mauricio, 2021. "Too little but not too late: nowcasting poverty and cash transfers’ incidence during COVID-19’s crisis," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    6. Paula Carrasco, 2012. "El efecto de las condiciones de ingreso al mercado de trabajo en los jóvenes uruguayos. Un análisis basado en la protección de la seguridad social," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 12-13, Instituto de Economía - IECON.
    7. Matías Brum & Mauricio de Rosa, 2020. "Too little but not too late. Nowcasting poverty and cash transfers' incidence in Uruguay during COVID-19's crisis," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 20-09, Instituto de Economía - IECON.

    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • O12 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - Microeconomic Analyses of Economic Development
    • D31 - Microeconomics - - Distribution - - - Personal Income and Wealth Distribution
    • I32 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Welfare, Well-Being, and Poverty - - - Measurement and Analysis of Poverty

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