IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ubi/deawps/38.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

The tourist area lifecycle and the unit roots test. A new economic perspective for a classic paradigm in tourism

Author

Listed:
  • Antoni Luis Alcover Casasnovas

    () (Universitat de les Illes Balears)

  • Andreu Sansó Rosselló

    () (Universitat de les Illes Balears)

Abstract

As many traditional tourist destinations have experienced a slow down in tourist arrivals and expenditure, Butler’s (1980) Tourist Area Life Cycle (TALC) model seems to attract new attention from tourist researchers. The TALC describes the evolution of a tourist area from its discovery to its final stage picturing an evolutionary path represented with an S shaped curve associated to the logistic function. The limits of growth and the shape of the curve represent the existence of congestion problems and upper carrying capacity limits. But the TALC has been repeatedly criticized by its lack of operability and its departures from the anticipated curve. An alternative way to test its existence is to estimate its theoretical logistic curve and test the presence of unit roots. The application of this new technique to Majorca concludes that the evolutionary path predicted by the TALC does not apply in this particular case. Even more, the empirical results could imply that shocks that affect to this destination will have not temporary but permanent effects, encouraging the adoption of pro-active policy measures.

Suggested Citation

  • Antoni Luis Alcover Casasnovas & Andreu Sansó Rosselló, 2009. "The tourist area lifecycle and the unit roots test. A new economic perspective for a classic paradigm in tourism," DEA Working Papers 38, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Departament d'Economía Aplicada.
  • Handle: RePEc:ubi:deawps:38
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://dea.uib.es/download?filename=w38.pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Seidl, Irmi & Tisdell, Clem A., 1999. "Carrying capacity reconsidered: from Malthus' population theory to cultural carrying capacity," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 395-408, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Destination lifecycle; carrying capacity; logistic function; unit root test;

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ubi:deawps:38. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: (Xisco Oliver). General contact details of provider: http://edirc.repec.org/data/dauibes.html .

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service hosted by the Research Division of the Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis . RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.