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Quality-Adjusted Repeat-Sale House Price Indices

  • James Bugden

    ()

    (School Economics, La Trobe University)

In the standard repeat-sales method, the maintained assumption is that the quality does not change between a house?s two sale dates. This assumption has been called into question. In particular quality changes from renovations carried out between a house?s two sales are not accounted for in the repeat- sales method. In this paper, I consider four simple adjustments to the standard repeat- sales method that attempt to control for quality changes between sales: in- cluding an intercept term; including a set of neighbourhood indicators as independent variables; de?ating the dependent variable appreciation rates by an estimate of renovations between sales; and dropping short-hold repeat- sales. I fi?nd that the neighbourhood and renovations methods work best and that the standard repeat-sales house price index signi?cantly over-estimates housing in?ation by over twenty percentage points over a a decade

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Paper provided by School of Economics, La Trobe University in its series Working Papers with number 2014.01.

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Length: 26 pages
Date of creation: 2014
Date of revision:
Handle: RePEc:trb:wpaper:2014.01
Note: ISSN-1837-2198
Contact details of provider: Web page: http://www.latrobe.edu.au/economics

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  1. Joe Hirschberg & Jenny Lye, 2001. "The interpretation of multiple dummy variable coefficients: an application to industry effects in wage equations," Applied Economics Letters, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(11), pages 701-707.
  2. Quigley, John M & Van Order, Robert, 1995. "Explicit Tests of Contingent Claims Models of Mortgage Default," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 11(2), pages 99-117, September.
  3. Karl E. Case & Robert J. Shiller, 1987. "Prices of single-family homes since 1970: new indexes for four cities," New England Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, issue Sep, pages 45-56.
  4. Dag Sommervoll, 2006. "Temporal Aggregation in Repeated Sales Models," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 33(2), pages 151-165, September.
  5. R. Carter Hill & J. R. Knight & C. F. Sirmans, 1997. "Estimating Capital Asset Price Indexes," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 79(2), pages 226-233, May.
  6. Goetzmann, W.N. & Spiegel, M., 1992. "Non-temporal Components of Residential Real Estate Appreciation," Papers 92-20, Columbia - Graduate School of Business.
  7. Kathryn Graddy & Jonathan Hamilton & Rachel Pownall, 2012. "Repeatā€Sales Indexes: Estimation without Assuming that Errors in Asset Returns Are Independently Distributed," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 40(1), pages 131-166, 03.
  8. Callum Jones, 2010. "House Price Measurement: The Hybrid Hedonic Repeat-Sales Method," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 86(272), pages 95-97, 03.
  9. Halvorsen, Robert & Palmquist, Raymond, 1980. "The Interpretation of Dummy Variables in Semilogarithmic Equations," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 70(3), pages 474-75, June.
  10. Palmquist, Raymond B, 1980. "Alternative Techniques for Developing Real Estate Price Indexes," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 62(3), pages 442-48, August.
  11. Suits, Daniel B, 1984. "Dummy Variables: Mechanics v. Interpretation," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 66(1), pages 177-80, February.
  12. Gatzlaff, Dean H. & Haurin, Donald R., 1998. "Sample Selection and Biases in Local House Value Indices," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 43(2), pages 199-222, March.
  13. Zabel, Jeffrey E, 1999. "Controlling for Quality in House Price Indices," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 19(3), pages 223-41, November.
  14. James Bugden, 2013. "Renovations and the Repeat-Sales House Price Index," Working Papers 2013.08, School of Economics, La Trobe University.
  15. Steele, Marion & Goy, Richard, 1997. "Short Holds, the Distributions of First and Second Sales, and Bias in the Repeat-Sales Price Index," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 14(1-2), pages 133-54, Jan.-Marc.
  16. John M. Clapp & Carmelo Giaccotto, 1999. "Revisions in Repeat-Sales Price Indexes: Here Today, Gone Tomorrow?," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 27(1), pages 79-104.
  17. Clapp, John M & Giaccotto, Carmelo, 1992. "Estimating Price Trends for Residential Property: A Comparison of Repeat Sales and Assessed Value Methods," The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Springer, vol. 5(4), pages 357-74, December.
  18. Daniel P. McMillen & Paul Thorsnes, 2006. "Housing Renovations and the Quantile Repeat-Sales Price Index," Real Estate Economics, American Real Estate and Urban Economics Association, vol. 34(4), pages 567-584, December.
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