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The Impact of Overnight Periods on Option Pricing

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  • Boes, M.J.

    (Tilburg University, Center For Economic Research)

  • Drost, F.C.

    (Tilburg University, Center For Economic Research)

  • Werker, B.J.M.

    (Tilburg University, Center For Economic Research)

Abstract

This paper investigates the effect of closed overnight exchanges on option prices. During the trading day, asset prices follow the literature's standard affine model that allows for stochastic volatility and random jumps. Independently, the overnight asset price process is modeled by a single jump. We find that the overnight component reduces the variation in the random jump process significantly. However, neither the random jumps nor the overnight jumps alone are able to empirically describe all features of option prices. We conclude that both random jumps during the day and overnight jumps are important in explaining option prices, where the latter account for about one quarter of total jump risk.
(This abstract was borrowed from another version of this item.)

Suggested Citation

  • Boes, M.J. & Drost, F.C. & Werker, B.J.M., 2005. "The Impact of Overnight Periods on Option Pricing," Discussion Paper 2005-1, Tilburg University, Center for Economic Research.
    • Handle: RePEc:tiu:tiucen:2c3a7553-f718-4caa-90f2-b8237270de05
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    Cited by:

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    2. Ito, Ryoko, 2013. "Modeling Dynamic Diurnal Patterns in High-Frequency Financial Data," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1315, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    3. Nicholas Taylor, 2008. "The predictive value of temporally disaggregated volatility: evidence from index futures markets," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 27(8), pages 721-742.
    4. Fang Liang & Lingshan Du & Zhuo Huang, 2023. "Option pricing with overnight and intraday volatility," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 43(11), pages 1576-1614, November.
    5. Shou-Lei Wang & Yu-Fei Yang & Yu-Hua Zeng, 2014. "The Adjoint Method for the Inverse Problem of Option Pricing," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2014, pages 1-7, March.
    6. Entrop, Oliver & Scholz, Hendrik & Wilkens, Marco, 2009. "The price-setting behavior of banks: An analysis of open-end leverage certificates on the German market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 33(5), pages 874-882, May.
    7. Piccotti, Louis R., 2018. "Jumps, cojumps, and efficiency in the spot foreign exchange market," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 87(C), pages 49-67.
    8. Tianyi Wang & Sicong Cheng & Fangsheng Yin & Mei Yu, 2022. "Overnight volatility, realized volatility, and option pricing," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(7), pages 1264-1283, July.
    9. Kaplanski, Guy & Levy, Haim, 2015. "Trading breaks and asymmetric information: The option markets," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 390-404.
    10. Tsiakas, Ilias, 2008. "Overnight information and stochastic volatility: A study of European and US stock exchanges," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 32(2), pages 251-268, February.
    11. Patrizia Perras & Niklas Wagner, 2020. "On the pricing of overnight market risk," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 59(3), pages 1307-1327, September.
    12. Ally Quan Zhang & Matthias Thul, 2017. "How much is the gap?—Efficient jump risk-adjusted valuation of leveraged certificates," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 17(9), pages 1387-1401, September.
    13. Ahoniemi, Katja & Lanne, Markku, 2013. "Overnight stock returns and realized volatility," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 592-604.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Derivative pricing; Jump diffusion; Stochastic volatility;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G11 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Portfolio Choice; Investment Decisions
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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