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Global per capita CO2 emissions - stable in the long run?

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Abstract

Global per capita CO2 emissions have been relatively stable during the last decades. It has been suggested that the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) and its scenario makers have ignored this stability. This paper presents a simple analytical framework explaining generally the stability of global per capita CO2 emissions during the last decades. The same analytical framework, supported by numerical illustrations, indicates that this stability is unlikely to persist and that current trends in regional per capita emissions are in close agreement with the IPCC scenarios

Suggested Citation

  • Bjart Holtsmark, 2005. "Global per capita CO2 emissions - stable in the long run?," Discussion Papers 438, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
  • Handle: RePEc:ssb:dispap:438
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    File URL: https://www.ssb.no/a/publikasjoner/pdf/DP/dp438.pdf
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    1. Ross McKitrick & Mark C. Strazicich, 2005. "Stationarity of Global Per Capita Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Implications for Global Warming Scenarios," Working Papers 0503, University of Guelph, Department of Economics and Finance.
    2. Nebojsa Nakicenovic & Arnulf Grübler & Stuard Gaffin & Tae Tong Jung & Tom Kram & Tsuneyuki Morita & Hugh Pitcher & Keywan Riahi & Michael Schlesinger & P. R. Shukla & Detlef van Vuuren & Ged Davis &, 2003. "IPCC Sres Revisited: A Response," Energy & Environment, , vol. 14(2), pages 187-214, May.
    3. Bjart J. Holtsmark & Knut H. Alfsen, 2004. "PPP-correction of the IPCC emission scenarios - does it matter?," Discussion Papers 366, Statistics Norway, Research Department.
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    Cited by:

    1. Carlos Barros & Luis Gil-Alana & Fernando Perez de Gracia, 2016. "Stationarity and Long Range Dependence of Carbon Dioxide Emissions: Evidence for Disaggregated Data," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 63(1), pages 45-56, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Global carbon emissions; SRES; IPCC; scenarios.;

    JEL classification:

    • Q30 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Nonrenewable Resources and Conservation - - - General
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices

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